Another Random Circulation.

A tropical Cyclone in the Atlantic is moving North.  It is expected to continue to develop but to do that away from  the United States.   So, for now, totally great.  It was another hot day here and still very warm. Currently the temperature is 75 with Relative Humidity 99% and winds are CALM.  And it is nearly 10PM.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
321 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-132030-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-
Grant-Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-
Logan-Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
321 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017 /221 PM MDT Sat Aug 12 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and
north central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this
afternoon and evening. The area of concern is generally west of a
line from Springview to Rose to Broken Bow.

Wind damage and very large hail, 2 inches or larger in diameter,
are the primary hazards. An isolated tornado may form and this
would be most likely to occur late in the afternoon or early this
evening. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

Sunday and Sunday night holds a risk for isolated strong to
severe thunderstorms across much of the area with the best
chances in the eastern Nebraska Panhandle and far southwest
Nebraska. Large hail and damaging winds are the main hazards.

Unsettled conditions continue Monday through Thursday with
thunderstorms forecast mainly in the afternoon and night.
However, the threat for strong or severe thunderstorms is
uncertain at this time.

Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
NEC085-130730-
/O.NEW.KLBF.FF.W.0002.170813T0123Z-170813T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service North Platte NE
823 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

The National Weather Service in North Platte has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southern Hayes County in southwestern Nebraska...

* Until 230 AM CDT Sunday

* At 822 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have
  already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Hayes Center and Hamlet.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 inch is possible in the warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 10133 4055 10079 4041 10078 4035 10078
      4035 10134

$$

CDC



Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 449
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM MDT SAT AUG 12 2017

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 449 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM MDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NEC005-007-009-013-017-029-031-033-041-045-047-049-057-063-069-
075-085-087-091-101-103-105-111-113-115-117-123-135-145-149-157-
161-165-171-130500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0449.170812T2100Z-170813T0500Z/

NE
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ARTHUR               BANNER              BLAINE
BOX BUTTE            BROWN               CHASE
CHERRY               CHEYENNE            CUSTER
DAWES                DAWSON              DEUEL
DUNDY                FRONTIER            GARDEN
GRANT                HAYES               HITCHCOCK
HOOKER               KEITH               KEYA PAHA
KIMBALL              LINCOLN             LOGAN
LOUP                 MCPHERSON           MORRILL
PERKINS              RED WILLOW          ROCK
SCOTTS BLUFF         SHERIDAN            SIOUX
THOMAS

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
702 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-131100-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
702 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected through mid evening. Cloud to
ground lightning and heavy rain will accompany some of these storms.
A few storms could produce winds gusts over 50 mph.

Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage along and north
of Interstate 20 late evening, possibly forming into a complex or
two that would move east across North Texas. Locally heavy rainfall
and flash flooding will be the main threats during the overnight
hours. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for parts of North and
Northeast Texas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Thunderstorm chances will continue Sunday through Tuesday, mainly
north of a line from Comanche to Palestine. The better rain chances
will continue to be north of Interstate 20. Coverage of storms will
be isolated to scattered and severe weather is not expected.

Heat index values of 100 to 108 degrees will be common each
afternoon through next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Limited spotter activation may be requested through 10 PM.
Timely reports of flash flooding are also appreciated.

$$



 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
848 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

TXC097-181-130245-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-170813T0245Z/
Cooke TX-Grayson TX-
848 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN COOKE AND NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES...

At 847 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Callisburg, or
near Whitesboro, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 65 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Sherman, Denison, Whitesboro, Pottsboro, Callisburg, Knollwood,
Eisenhower State Park, southern Lake Texoma, Southmayd and Sadler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection stay inside a sturdy structure and keep away from
windows.

If on or near Lake Texoma, get off of from the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Do not be caught on the water in a
thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3396 9691 3387 9688 3385 9685 3387 9683
      3387 9680 3382 9675 3384 9669 3392 9666
      3389 9663 3389 9658 3385 9663 3382 9654
      3359 9658 3366 9708 3382 9705 3386 9706
      3384 9705 3389 9698 3395 9699 3394 9697
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 273DEG 18KT 3374 9694

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...65MPH

$$

24-Bain



 

Severe Weather Statement

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
848 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

TXC097-181-130245-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-170813T0245Z/
Cooke TX-Grayson TX-
848 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN COOKE AND NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES...

At 847 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Callisburg, or
near Whitesboro, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 65 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Sherman, Denison, Whitesboro, Pottsboro, Callisburg, Knollwood,
Eisenhower State Park, southern Lake Texoma, Southmayd and Sadler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection stay inside a sturdy structure and keep away from
windows.

If on or near Lake Texoma, get off of from the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Do not be caught on the water in a
thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3396 9691 3387 9688 3385 9685 3387 9683
      3387 9680 3382 9675 3384 9669 3392 9666
      3389 9663 3389 9658 3385 9663 3382 9654
      3359 9658 3366 9708 3382 9705 3386 9706
      3384 9705 3389 9698 3395 9699 3394 9697
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 273DEG 18KT 3374 9694

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...65MPH

$$

24-Bain



 

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
835 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

TXZ092-093-130200-
Grayson TX-Cooke TX-
835 PM CDT SAT AUG 12 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL COOKE AND
NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 835 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Callisburg, or 9 miles northwest of Whitesboro, moving east at 25
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sherman, Whitesboro, Pottsboro, Callisburg, Knollwood, Eisenhower
State Park, southern Lake Texoma, Southmayd and Sadler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3389 9663 3389 9658 3385 9663 3382 9658
      3359 9659 3365 9711 3372 9711 3374 9709
      3380 9709 3382 9705 3384 9706 3384 9703
      3389 9689 3385 9686 3387 9683 3387 9679
      3382 9675 3384 9669 3392 9667
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 269DEG 22KT 3374 9702

$$

24-Bain



 

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
621 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...Flash Flood Watch in effect this evening and overnight for
parts of North and Northeast Texas....

TXZ092>095-105>107-130730-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.A.0005.170813T0000Z-170813T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-
Including the cities of Gainesville, Sherman, Denison, Bonham,
Paris, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper, and Sulphur Springs
621 PM CDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Texas and northeast Texas, including
  the following areas, in north central Texas, Cooke, Fannin,
  Grayson, and Hunt. In northeast Texas, Delta, Hopkins, and
  Lamar.

* Through Sunday morning

* Numerous thunderstorms are expected to affect areas near the
  Red River overnight. Localized rainfall totals over 3 inches
  are possible in the Watch area which may lead to flash
  flooding.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions are favorable for heavy
rain which may lead to flash flooding. You should monitor the
latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and be
prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued for
your area.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
426 AM MST Sat Aug 12 2017

AZZ004>018-037>040-130230-
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Coconino Plateau-Yavapai County Mountains-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-Chinle Valley-
Chuska Mountains and Defiance Plateau-
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Navajo County-
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County-
Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-
Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-
Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-Black Mesa Area-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas South of Hwy 264-
426 AM MST Sat Aug 12 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for Apache...Coconino...
Northern Gila...Navajo...and Yavapai Counties in Northern
Arizona.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Lingering monsoon moisture will lead to scattered showers and
thundertorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening. Some local
areas could see heavy rain lead to flash flooding, and this will
be the main concern. Small hail and gusty winds are also possible
with stronger cells.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Expect typical monsoon weather conditions Sunday with scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Thunderstorm threats will include
lightning, heavy rain, and small hail. Drier air will bring
decreasing thunderstorm activity Monday, with little to no chance
of storms Tuesday through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

$$


 

Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
654 PM MST SAT AUG 12 2017

AZC025-130445-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FA.Y.0055.170813T0154Z-170813T0445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai-
654 PM MST SAT AUG 12 2017

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 945 PM MST

* At 650 PM MST, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
  large area of thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall over central
  Yavapai county. This will cause many instances of minor flooding
  in the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Chino Valley, Prescott Valley, Prescott, Dewey-humboldt, Skull
  Valley, Williamson Valley, Iron Springs and White Spar Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Never drive your vehicle into
areas where water covers the roadway. Flood waters are usually deeper
than they appear. Just one foot of flowing water is powerful enough
to sweep vehicles off the road. When encountering flooded roads, make
the smart choice: turn around, don`t drown.

&&

LAT...LON 3471 11223 3448 11222 3451 11241 3444 11284
      3467 11270 3483 11247

$$



 

Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
647 PM MST SAT AUG 12 2017

AZC025-130300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0080.000000T0000Z-170813T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai-
647 PM MST SAT AUG 12 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MST FOR
YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 640 PM MST, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated
moderate to heavy rainfall had moved back into the warning area.
About a half inch of additional rainfall in expected in the West
Clear Creek drainage, located east of Camp Verde and near Bullpen
Ranch. Therefore, the Flash Flood Warning will continue.

River gages on West Clear Creek near the Bullpen Swimming area
reported about a rise of about a foot. Other smaller creeks and
washes in the region may experience higher rises.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Bullpen Swimming Area and Clear Creek Campgrounds.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Walker Creek...
Long Canyon...Verde River and West Clear Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.

&&

LAT...LON 3461 11157 3453 11157 3452 11167 3452 11171
      3451 11173 3451 11183 3452 11181 3453 11176
      3459 11171 3461 11164

$$



 

Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
636 PM MST SAT AUG 12 2017

AZC025-130330-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0081.000000T0000Z-170813T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai-
636 PM MST SAT AUG 12 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM MST FOR
YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 630 PM MST, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated that
heavy rainfall was moving quickly east of the Rimrock, Lake
Montezuma, McGuireville and Camp Verde areas. Light rain was still
occurring in the warning location.

River gages on Beaver Creek reported a 4 foot rise at 625 PM MST.
Additional rises are likely as runoff moves into the basin.

Spotters are reporting anywhere from 1 t 4 inches of rain.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Camp Verde, Montezuma Castle National Monument, Middle Verde,
Mcguireville and Lake Montezuma.

This includes the following streams and drainages...Beaver Creek...
Cherry Creek...Russell Wash...Dry Beaver Creek...Oak Creek...West
Clear Creek...Grief Hill Wash...Verde River and Gaddis Wash.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.

&&

LAT...LON 3472 11178 3464 11175 3458 11178 3454 11184
      3458 11197 3469 11194

$$

 

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Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
247 PM PDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FOR ZONES 640, 642,
643, 644, AND 645...

.A trough of low pressure will cross the area, generating
scattered thunderstorms across the higher elevations through this
evening.

ORZ640-642>645-WAZ643-645-130600-
/O.CON.KPDT.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-170813T0600Z/
Central Mountains of Oregon-
Southern Blue and Strawberry Mountains-
Northern Blue Mountains of Oregon-Central Blue Mountains-
Wallowa District-Blue Mountains of Washington-Asotin County-
247 PM PDT Sat Aug 12 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...

* LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL...3.

* PRECIPITATION...A tenth to a quarter of an inch.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

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