Nothing to see here!!

The tropical system that braved Africa and the Atlantic Basin is now awash with a few thunderstorms and not much else.  This was a no-brainer.  At the outset you had barely a disturbance and the 20% was a stretch.   I do like the more expansive descriptions and degrees of separation.  It is very impotant to understand that and an inter-active discussion yields a more informed public.


As forecasted here,  I saw very little justification.  Out!

The Valley,  Elmira area of NY State.  The area has not seen this kind od flooding, some 40 years ago.   Route 17 (Highway)  has been closed.   Bridges and other structures will need major repairs.

A drier regime will inch it’s way into the Valley and all the way to near Buffalo.  This drie air will continue to punch its way into most of NY/PA.

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service State College PA
310 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Including the cities of Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford,
McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey,
Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
310 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017


The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following
  areas, Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cumberland, Dauphin,
  Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Lancaster, Lebanon,
  Mifflin, Perry, Somerset, and York.

* Through Saturday afternoon

* Heavy rainfall of two to three inches with local amounts of over
  four inches is possible, especially in higher terrain. Areas
  that received the heavy rainfall last weekend are most
  susceptible to flooding.


Review flood safety and preparedness information at

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE…Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

Flash Flood Watch.

Some storms could contain gusty winds and small hail this afternoon
and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

Flash Flood Watch.




Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
327 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
327 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
 A Heat Advisory remains in effect for areas east and south of a
line from Killeen to Denton to Sulphur Springs through 8 pm this

There is a small chance of thunderstorms late today and tonight,
mainly northeast of a Breckenridge to Dallas to Canton line. Gusty
downburst winds, brief heavy downpours and frequent lightning will be
the primary hazards. Most locations will remain rain-free through
tonight, however.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
A weak cold front will move across the region Saturday. However, it
will remain hot, especially across Central Texas where temperatures
will reach or exceed 100 degrees, and some areas will experience heat
index values in excess of 105 degrees. A Heat Advisory will be in
effect for much of Central Texas on Saturday afternoon.

Low thunderstorm chances will linger across the region Saturday and
for areas mainly west of I-35 Saturday night through Tuesday. All of
North and Central Texas will see increasing thunderstorm chances by
the middle of next week.

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.



Heat Advisory

National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
232 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

...Heat Advisory remains in effect late today east and south of a
Killeen to Denton to Sulphur Springs line through 8 pm, then
continues Saturday afternoon east and south of a Killeen to Glen
Rose to Terrell/Canton line on Saturday afternoon...

Including the cities of Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville,
Flower Mound, Plano, McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville,
Commerce, Sulphur Springs, Weatherford, Briar, Fort Worth,
Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Emory, East Tawakoni, Point,
Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie,
Ennis, and Midlothian
232 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017


* TEMPERATURE...High temperatures from 95 to 102 degrees.

* HEAT INDEX...105 to 110 degrees.

* IMPACTS...Individuals and pets outdoors during peak heating
  without adequate shade and/or water may succumb to heat
  exhaustion or heat stroke.


Be sure to check on persons with health problems and the they are the most susceptible to heat exhaustion and
heat stroke. Never leave young children or pets in an enclosed
vehicle...even for a short temperatures can quickly
rise to life threatening levels.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside.  When
possible...reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when
possible and drink plenty of water.

To reduce risk during outdoor work the occupational safety and
health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency - call 911.



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
556 AM MDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains-Wasatch Mountain Valleys-
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-
Western Uinta Mountains-Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-
Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-San Rafael Swell-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Central Mountains-
Southern Mountains-Southwest Wyoming-
556 AM MDT Fri Jul 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the western two thirds of
Utah and southwest Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Moisture will maintain a threat for showers and thunderstorms
across the outlook area. These storms will be most numerous over
the higher terrain, as well as across southern and eastern Utah.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible with the strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A gradual drying trend is expected across the north over the
weekend into early next week, while moisture remains in place
across the south, maintaining a threat for showers and
thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rainfall through at least


Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.


For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service visit...

For information on potential road travel impacts visit...


Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
443 PM MDT FRI JUL 28 2017

Garfield UT-San Juan UT-Kane UT-
443 PM MDT FRI JUL 28 2017


At 438 PM MDT, Rainfall continues across the southern border of the
flash flood warning. However, the majority of the precipitation has
moved out of the area.  Radar rainfall estimates across the majority
of this are includes around an inch, with selected areas of 2+
inches of precipitation.

This area is highly flash flood prone, and is traveled by hikers,
canyoneers, and campers in the Coyote Gulch area and other slot
canyons along the Hole In The Rock Road.

Flash flooding is expected to continue until the evening hours.
Depending on further thunderstorm development, flooding may continue
into the night time hours.

Please use prudent judgement when traveling through this area until
the morning hours of Saturday.


Excessive Heat Watch

National Weather Service Medford OR
227 PM PDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Western Siskiyou County-Central Siskiyou County-
South Central Siskiyou County-
North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County-
Central Douglas County-Eastern Curry County and Josephine County-
Eastern Douglas County Foothills-Jackson County-
South Central Oregon Cascades-
Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades-
Including the cities of Etna, Fort Jones, Yreka, Weed,
Mount Shasta, Dunsmuir, Mccloud, Roseburg, Sutherlin, Green,
Myrtle Creek, Canyonville, Glendale, Grants Pass, Cave Junction,
Steamboat, Toketee Falls, Medford, Ashland, Union Creek,
Howard Prairie, and Siskiyou Summit
227 PM PDT Fri Jul 28 2017


The National Weather Service in Medford has issued an Excessive
Heat Watch...which is in effect from Monday morning through
Thursday evening.

* Valley Temperatures: Daily high temperatures of 100 to 110
  degrees, with overnight lows of 65 to 75 degrees.

* Mountain Temperatures: Daily high temperatures of 95 to 100
  degrees, with overnight lows of 70 to 75 degrees.

* Locations include: Most of Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, and
  Siskiyou counties, including Medford, Roseburg, Grants Pass,
  Montague, Mount Shasta City, and the Cascades.

* Impacts: Very high temperatures and limited relief overnight
  will increase chances for heat related illness, especially for
  sensitive groups and people without access to air conditioning.
  Heat stress is possible for livestock and outdoor pets. Also,
  area rivers still run cold and fast, increasing the risk for
  hypothermia and water rescues.

* View the hazard area in detail at

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

* An Excessive Heat Watch means that a prolonged period of hot
  temperatures is expected.

* These hot temperatures are likely to create a DANGEROUS
  SITUATION in which heat illnesses are possible.

* Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, and
  stay out of the sun.


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
900 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
900 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017



Isolated to scattered showers and storms will develop across the
area into the afternoon. Greatest coverage of this activity is
expected toward Brevard County and the Treasure Coast into mid to
late afternoon, where sea and lake breeze boundary collisions are
favored. A few stronger storms will be possible, producing
frequent lightning strikes, strong wind gusts up to 40 to 50 mph
and locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches. Storm motion will be
toward the east around 10 to 15 mph.

Hot temperatures with highs in the mid 90s and high humidity
today will again create a dangerous situation in which heat
illnesses are possible. Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-
conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives
and neighbors.

Isolated to scattered storms will develop this afternoon, moving
eastward around 10 to 15 knots across inland lakes and offshore,
especially from the Cape southward from mid to late afternoon. Any
storms that develop will have the potential to produce wind gusts
in excess of 34 knots.

Drier air and lack of an east coast sea breeze will keep
thunderstorm coverage below normal Saturday. Increasing moisture
ahead of an approaching frontal trough will then lead to
scattered to numerous afternoon showers and storms Sunday
afternoon into early next week. The main threats from storms will
be frequent lightning, gusty winds, and torrential downpours.

Spotter activation will not be needed today.



Grandfather Time…. We didn’t start the fire!!



The VA is a place of healing but a healing that is part transcendence and part acquiescence.   A kind of home to the many homeless and/or hurting.    Like an old military training film,  the memories of soldiers are rekindled,  with the ebbing of the time and tide and the constant changes that slowly and almost imperceptibly evolve.

Sitting in chairs lined up like eggs the shiny floors and a plethora of young people with a whole lot more than you in their lives talk loud and authoritatively.   Nurse Cratchett with her Ben Casey cap mulls over the scene keeping it as quiet as she can with a prescription in hand and whispering where to go next.  There is order here,  and signs telling you what you should do as and where you should do them.   Part suggestion and part demand….  you comply.

What I see is a bunch of old, white men/women constantly berating the President. Don’t believe me…check out Fox News’ viewing demographics….You guys seem to fit right in their target demo. Face the fact that your generation is dying off and being replaced with multiracial, non-religious, informed citizens that don’t buy the corporate bull shit anymore. Thank you all for your service, but it’s time to give up on your 50s “Leave it to Beaver” dream world and accept that America is changing.

(And this was from a military site and a part of my point in this blog)

Shuffling past the new partitions and faded drapes you humbly canter onward to a room to wait some more.  Then the eager young doctor rolls into the room, inquiring about what brought you there that day.   Like he doesn’t already know.  His intentions are generally good and his allocation of time is ten words and a prescription(s).     Back in your chair you wait.   The minutes tick laboriously on with black and white clocks making their rounds in your head.    And you feel like a bursting dam full of still water.     The coldness of put-out caregivers with dissembling glances stare obtusely at you.

You are whisked away in rubber chariots with the air-conditioner breaking the disturbing silence that has long been established.      Only so many retold stories can they bear and what they show to their friends is markedly different than what you experience.   The tar on the road causes a clicking and thudding as tires roll and roll and roll and you fall fast asleep.

At home there there are no cupboards,   just a chair,  a bed and perhaps a TV.    The walls are yellow and gray brick,  the mortar hardened like the souls of man.   The ceiling fan in steed of a dream whirring and whirling and the tick,  tick,  tick of an electric chain.   Bound to reflection you start to complain but feel the potential sting or words,   those silent statues in an antiquated museum.   Their only destiny an auction or the city dump.

Old pumps

Children's phone

The plain yellow curtains burp and rustle against the warm walls as the A/C is clicked on and you fall asleep and you faintly hear the sound of doors and the rustling of tires on hot gravel.    Magical cupboards are laden with product,  generic brands of what you used to consume and settle on mashed potatoes and country cream corn,   as much due to chewing as it is to satiation.

Pretty soon your cat or cats or maybe a dog gather up with you,  finding a place to call their own and that is the closest you had that day to affection,  non-contrived and totally about you!   Yet the emotional give and take is the soft mortar which has not nor will ever harden until the by and by.