ANZ899-170545- 1115 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR MID ATLC WATERS…Hurricane Gert was located at 37.4N 65.7W at 11 am this morning and was moving northeast at 22 kt. Gert is forecast to track NE to near 39.0N 61.3W by 8 pm tonight and continue to move rapidly NE overnight and Thu. Otherwise, a stationary front will extend over the nrn areas of the offshore waters today.
A weak cold front will move into the N waters later this afternoon and merge with the stalled front, then persist over this region tonight through Thu night, then slowly lift NE and N of the waters as a warm front Fri and Fri night.
A high pres ridge will build just N of the area Thu and Thu night, then shift NE of the area Fri and Fri night. A weak cold front will push SE into the NW portion Sat night, then continue slowly SE across the N and central waters Sun into Sun night as another ridge builds in from the NW. $$
ANZ910-170545- East of 69W and south of 39N to 250 nm offshore- 1115 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY SE portion…E to NE winds 25 to 35 kt early, then becoming NW 20 to 30 kt. NW portion…E to NE winds 20 to 30 kt early, then becoming NW 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft…except NW portion 10 to 18 ft.
TSTMs and scattered showers early. TONIGHT N winds diminishing to 10 to 20 kt, becoming N to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas subsiding to 7 to 12 ft. THU Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas subsiding to 3 to 6 ft. THU NIGHT Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. FRI Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
FRI NIGHT SE winds less than 10 kt, becoming S to SE. Seas 2 to 3 ft. SAT S winds 5 to 15 kt, increasing to 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SAT NIGHT S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SUN S to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SUN NIGHT NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
A series of Tropical Weather systems off the African coast has a 40% chance of development. Not big numbers, and but between 3-5 days, we will know a bit more.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 1120 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171630- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 1120 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Elevated Hail risk. Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk. Elevated Flooding risk. Significant Lightning risk. Limited Excessive heat risk. DISCUSSION... Afternoon heat indices will top out in the middle to upper 90s, mainly across western Missouri and southeastern Kansas. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop from west to east across the outlook area this afternoon. Additional thunderstorms can then be expected tonight as a cold front moves southeast through the region. A few severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and tonight, mainly to the west and north of a Gainesville to Salem line. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible with the strongest storms. Torrential rainfall can also be expected from these storms due to high moisture content in the atmosphere. Flash flooding will therefore be possible in areas where multiple storms move over the same areas. The highest risk for flash flooding will be across southeastern Kansas and western Missouri. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Periodic showers and thunderstorms will occur through the upcoming week and into the weekend. Heat index values will be the 90s each day into the weekend and as high as 100 by early next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed later this afternoon and tonight mainly to the west and north of a Gainesville to Salem line. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf $$ Schaumann
Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning KSC021-MOC011-097-170000- /O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0072.170816T1703Z-170817T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Springfield MO 1203 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017 The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Cherokee County in southeastern Kansas... Southeastern Barton County in southwestern Missouri... Northwestern Jasper County in southwestern Missouri... * Until 700 PM CDT Wednesday * At 1202 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain has already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly. * Creeks, streams, and low water crossings will be especially susceptible to the dangers of flash flooding. Locations in the warning include... Northern Joplin... Webb City... Carl Junction... Lamar... Baxter Springs... Columbus... Galena... Oronogo... Jasper... Golden City... Airport Drive... Weir... Lowell... Alba... Scammon... Purcell... Nashville... Carytown... Asbury... Neck City... This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water crossings... Highway 7 at Little Cherry Creek north of Columbus... Route JJ at Center Creek southeast of Carl Junction... Highway 126 at The Spring River 3 miles north of Jasper... Route O at The Spring River just south of Alba... and Route C at Horse Creek east of Milford. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately. Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate precautions to protect life and property. && LAT...LON 3722 9503 3734 9469 3734 9462 3736 9462 3755 9432 3760 9420 3762 9408 3741 9408 3732 9416 3712 9454 3706 9462 3700 9462 3700 9507 3715 9508 $$ Cramer
Flash Flood Watch
Flood Watch National Weather Service Springfield MO 1054 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...Heavy Rainfall Likely Into Tonight... .Multiple rounds of torrential rainfall are expected across portions of southeastern Kansas and western Missouri into tonight ahead of an approaching frontal boundary. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts exceeding 5 inches possible. Given the large amount of moisture in the atmosphere, intense rainfall rates may quickly lead to flash flooding. KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066>068-077>080-088>091-093-094-171200- /O.NEW.KSGF.FF.A.0008.170816T1600Z-170817T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Vernon-St. Clair-Hickory-Barton-Cedar- Polk-Dallas-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Newton-Lawrence- Including the cities of Fort Scott, Pawnee Station, Chicopee, Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Baxter Springs, Lowell, Riverton, Columbus, Neutral, Sherwin, Stippville, NEVADA, Tiffin, Appleton City, Johnson City, Weaubleau, Hermitage, Quincy, Wheatland, Cross Timbers, Kenoma, Lamar, Cedar Springs, El Dorado Springs, Filley, Arnica, Caplinger Mills, Stockton, Bolivar, Buffalo, Charity, Foose, March, Plad, Windyville, Olive, Joplin, Carthage, Greenfield, Lockwood, Meinert, Springfield, Marshfield, Northview, Seymour, Rogersville, Neosho, Aurora, Mount Vernon, and Marionville 1054 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Kansas and Missouri, including the following areas, in southeast Kansas, Bourbon, Cherokee, and Crawford. In Missouri, Barton, Cedar, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Hickory, Jasper, Lawrence, Newton, Polk, St. Clair, Vernon, and Webster. * Through Thursday morning * Multiple rounds of torrential rainfall are expected through tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected with localized amounts over 5 inches possible. The rain will fall at a very rapid rate and may quickly lead to flash flooding. * Areas that receive multiple rounds of thunderstorms will see an increased risk for flash flooding. Rapid rises along area creeks and streams can be expected, along with the potential flooding of low water crossings. Motorists and campers should be especially alert for flash flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1009 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 NCZ099-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-171415- Columbus-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion- Williamsburg-Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown- Coastal Georgetown- 1009 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Heat Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Heat index values of 100-104 this afternoon and 102-107 Friday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington NC 1007 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... NCZ099-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-162100- /O.NEW.KILM.HT.Y.0005.170816T1700Z-170816T2100Z/ Columbus-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence- Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown- Coastal Georgetown- Including the cities of Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, Lake Waccamaw, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, and Murrells Inlet 1007 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a Heat Advisory, which is in effect until 5 PM EDT this afternoon. * Heat Index Values...Up to 106 due to temperatures in the lower 90s, and dewpoints in the mid and upper 70s. * Timing...Early this afternoon into early evening. * Impacts...High heat and humidity will increase the risk fo