Hurricane Irma go West!!!~

mfl

This current fix (position) is helpful for me.   My daughter resides in Palm Beach and while Irma’s tentacles stretch encompasses most of the southern 2-3rds of Florida, it would be beneficial for me and a great many of Florida.

214634_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

Latest data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane a few hours ago
indicate that Irma’s intensity continues to fluctuate, and the
winds are estimated at 135 kt. The last minimum central pressure
was 925 mb. Another reconnaissance plane will check Irma soon.

The environment is favorable for Irma to maintain its category 4
status, and only unpredictable eyewall replacement cycles could
result in intensity fluctuations during the next 48 hours. The
interaction of the hurricane’s circulation with Cuba will probably
not result in any relevant change in intensity. In summary, the NHC
forecast brings Irma near south Florida as a category 4 hurricane.
After landfall, interaction with land and an increase in wind shear
should induce gradual weakening.

Satellite images and radar fixes from Cuba indicate that Irma has
slowed down and is now moving toward the west or 280 degrees at
about 10 kt. The hurricane should continue on this track for the
next 12 hours to 24 hours, and this track will bring the core of
Irma very close to the north coast of Cuba. After that time, Irma
should reach the southwestern edge of the subtropical high and begin
to move toward the northwest and north-northwest toward the Florida
peninsula. The precise moment of this turn is still uncertain, and
that is why NHC emphasizes that nobody should focus on the exact
track of the center. This afternoon’s NHC forecast was again
adjusted a little bit westward following the trend of the ECMWF
model and both the HFIP corrected consensus and the FSU
Superensemble. In fact, these 3 aids continued to be tightly packed.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Irma will continue to bring life-threatening wind, storm surge,
and rainfall hazards to portions of the Bahamas and the north coast
of Cuba, especially over the adjacent Cuban Keys, through Saturday.

2. Irma is expected to make landfall in Florida as an extremely
dangerous major hurricane, and will bring life-threatening wind
impacts to much of the state regardless of the exact track of the
center.

3. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation in
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next 36 hours,
where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. The threat of significant
storm surge flooding along the southwest coast of Florida has
increased, and 8 to 12 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in this area. This is a life-threatening situation.
Everyone in these areas should take all actions to protect life and
property from rising water and follow evacuation instructions from
local officials.

4. Irma is expected to produce very heavy rain and inland flooding.
Total rain accumulations of 8 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of
20 inches are expected over the Florida Keys and much of the Florida
peninsula through Tuesday night. The highest amounts are expected
over the eastern Florida peninsula and upper Florida Keys. Irma
will likely bring periods of heavy rain to much of Georgia, South
Carolina, and western North Carolina early next week, including some
mountainous areas which are more prone to flash flooding. All areas
seeing heavy rainfall from Irma will experience a risk of flooding
and flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/2100Z 22.1N 76.5W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 09/0600Z 22.4N 78.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
24H 09/1800Z 23.0N 79.9W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 10/0600Z 24.1N 81.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
48H 10/1800Z 25.7N 81.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
72H 11/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W 50 KT 60 MPH…INLAND
96H 12/1800Z 35.0N 85.9W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
120H 13/1800Z 35.6N 87.0W 20 KT 25 MPH…POST-TROP/INLAND

=============================================================

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GULFWV172512145

214634 (1)

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

…HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS…
…HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA…

 

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…22.1N 76.5W
ABOUT 195 MI…310 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 345 MI…555 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…155 MPH…250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…925 MB…27.32 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward for east coast of
Florida to Sebastian Inlet, and along the west coast of the
peninsula northward to Anna Maria Island.

The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward along the west coast
of Florida to Suwannee River.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued north of Venice to the Anclote
River, including Tampa Bay, and from Ponce Inlet to the Flagler/
Volusia County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Venice
* Florida Keys

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County line
* North of Venice to Anclote River
* Tampa Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Anna
Maria Island
* Florida Keys
* Lake Okeechobee
* Florida Bay
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and
Villa Clara
* Central Bahamas
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County Line
* North of Anna Maria Island to the Suwannee River
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United
States should monitor the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 76.5 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest
is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of
Irma should continue to move near the north coast of Cuba and the
central Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and be near the Florida
Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
to continue during the next day or two, and Irma is expected to
remain a powerful category 4 hurricane as it approaches Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

SW Florida from Captiva to Cape Sable…8 to 12 ft
Cape Sable to Boca Raton including the Florida Key…5 to 10 ft
Venice to Captiva…5 to 8 ft
Anclote River to Venice including Tampa Bay…3 to 5 ft
Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County line…3 to 6 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking
waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the
following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the
north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Southeastern and central Bahamas…15 to 20 ft
Northwestern Bahamas…5 to 10 ft
Northern coast of Cuba in the warning area…5 to 10 ft

WIND: Hurricane conditions are still occurring in portions of the
southeastern and Central Bahamas. Hurricane conditions are expected
to continue within the hurricane warning area along the north coast
of Cuba through Saturday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the
northwestern Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and in portions of
southern and central Florida and the Florida Keys Saturday night or
early Sunday.

Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in central
and north Florida by Sunday, with tropical storm conditions
possible by late Saturday.

RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Tuesday night:

Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Turks and Caicos…additional 1 to 3
inches.
Southern Bahamas and northern Cuba…10 to 15 inches, isolated 20
inches.
Southern Cuba…4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.
Jamaica…1 to 2 inches.
The Florida Keys, much of the Florida peninsula, and southeast
Georgia…8 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches.
Western and Northern Florida peninsula from Tampa northward…4 to 8
inches, isolated 12 inches.
Rest of Eastern Georgia, western South Carolina, and Western North
Carolina…4 to 7 inches.
Western Georgia, eastern and northern Alabama, and southern
Tennessee…2 to 5 inches.

In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods
and, in some areas, mudslides.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes will be possible beginning Saturday
morning across south Florida.

SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeastern
Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the
Dominican Republic, and should start affecting portions of the
southeast coast of the United States tonight. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

========================================================================

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FOR EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA TO SEBASTIAN INLET… AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.

THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO SUWANNEE RIVER.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF VENICE TO THE ANCLOTE
RIVER… INCLUDING TAMPA BAY… AND FROM PONCE INLET TO THE FLAGLER/
VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO VENICE
* FLORIDA KEYS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF VENICE TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* TAMPA BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY… CIEGO DE AVILA… SANCTI
SPIRITUS… AND
VILLA CLARA
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO… HOLGUIN… LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO… HOLGUIN… AND LAS TUNAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION… FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE…
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC… AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION… FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE… IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC… AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS… CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA… FLORIDA… AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 76.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT……. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…….100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…….160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 180SE 60SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 76.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 76.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 78.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT…GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 79.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT…GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.1N 81.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT…GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT…170NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N 81.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT…GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…190NE 170SE 130SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT…170NE 170SE 150SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 35.0N 85.9W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 35.6N 87.0W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 76.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

=======================================================================

 

HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1
NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135
KTS…155 MPH…250 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

 

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)

CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)

CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)

WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)

BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)

FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13)

COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) X(19)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)

MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13)

GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 4(24) X(24)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 5(33) 1(34)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)

ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22)

AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 12(28) 1(29)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)

SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 5(42) 1(43)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)

KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 62(64) 3(67) X(67)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 2(29) 1(30)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13)

WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 57(58) 8(66) 1(67)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) 1(24)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)

MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 65(69) 1(70) X(70)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 2(32) X(32)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15)

JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 67(71) 2(73) 1(74)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 1(33) X(33)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 76(84) 1(85) X(85)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 2(52) X(52)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22)

DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 67(82) X(82) X(82)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) X(47) X(47)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24)

THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 73(90) X(90) X(90)
THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 61(62) 1(63) X(63)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33)

ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) 61(93) X(93) X(93)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 60(64) 1(65) X(65)
ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) X(36) X(36)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 30(36) 49(85) X(85) X(85)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 43(47) X(47) X(47)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)

PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 31(37) 48(85) X(85) 1(86)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 44(48) X(48) X(48)
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)

FT PIERCE FL 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 44(58) 28(86) X(86) X(86)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 34(45) X(45) X(45)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) X(21) X(21)

W PALM BEACH 34 2 5( 7) 28(35) 43(78) 11(89) X(89) X(89)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 19(48) X(48) X(48)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) X(20) X(20)

FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 11(14) 44(58) 29(87) 5(92) X(92) X(92)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 11(11) 36(47) 9(56) X(56) X(56)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25)

MIAMI FL 34 3 20(23) 50(73) 20(93) 2(95) X(95) X(95)
MIAMI FL 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 40(62) 7(69) X(69) X(69)
MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 7(38) X(38) X(38)

HOMESTEAD ARB 34 4 30(34) 48(82) 14(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X 2( 2) 35(37) 35(72) 5(77) X(77) X(77)
HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) 10(10) 31(41) 4(45) X(45) X(45)

MARATHON FL 34 4 50(54) 41(95) 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MARATHON FL 50 X 6( 6) 72(78) 17(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
MARATHON FL 64 X 1( 1) 50(51) 28(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81)

KEY WEST FL 34 3 35(38) 53(91) 6(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
KEY WEST FL 50 X 3( 3) 59(62) 20(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) 35(35) 28(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)

NAPLES FL 34 1 6( 7) 44(51) 41(92) 5(97) X(97) X(97)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 56(65) 17(82) X(82) X(82)
NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 21(64) X(64) X(64)

FT MYERS FL 34 X 5( 5) 27(32) 51(83) 13(96) X(96) X(96)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 45(48) 30(78) X(78) X(78)
FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 34(60) X(60) X(60)

VENICE FL 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 47(60) 26(86) X(86) X(86)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 40(62) X(62) X(62)
VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 38(46) X(46) X(46)

TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 51(86) X(86) X(86)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 56(62) X(62) X(62)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) X(42) X(42)

CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 64(75) X(75) X(75)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 45(46) 1(47) X(47)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 1(29) X(29)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 4(48) X(48)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13)

ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 46(48) 2(50) X(50)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15)

APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 1(38) X(38)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 2(19) X(19)
APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10)

GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 1(38) X(38)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17) X(17)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)

PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 2(28) X(28)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)

COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27) X(27)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)

BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10)

MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) 1(16)

WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12)

MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 5( 8) 13(21) 24(45) 11(56) X(56) X(56)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34 20 10(30) 6(36) 5(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ANDROS 34 83 2(85) 1(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
ANDROS 50 11 4(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ANDROS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

GREAT EXUMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GREAT EXUMA 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

SAN SALVADOR 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

HAVANA 34 2 18(20) 33(53) 6(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
HAVANA 50 X 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
HAVANA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ISLE OF PINES 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

CIENFUEGOS 34 15 63(78) 7(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
CIENFUEGOS 50 2 26(28) 10(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

CAMAGUEY 34 92 1(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
CAMAGUEY 50 60 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
CAMAGUEY 64 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

GRAND CAYMAN 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

MONTEGO BAY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X(4)

============================================================================

 

IRMA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

.HURRICANE IRMA

CAUTION…THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST…AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.

FLZ069-070-073>078-168-172>174-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ054-059-064-160-162-165-265-090600-
/O.UPG.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ063-066>068-071-072-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ056>058-061-255-260-262-090600-
/O.UPG.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ155-090600-
/O.UPG.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.SS.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017$$

FLZ047-141-147-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ050-151-090600-
/O.EXA.KNHC.SS.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ041-044>046-052-053-144-251-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ043-139-142-148-149-239-242-248-249-090600-
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

===========================================================

http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mfl#hti

You can find  more information in the link above.   PLEASE DO THAT!!

And right behind that,  Hurricane Jose.  Pray for your loved-ones and what has turned out to be,  a virtual nightmare!!!

Be safe Rachel!

AMX_loop (2)

Hurricane Local Statement

Hurricane Irma Local Statement Advisory Number 39
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-090530-

Hurricane Irma Local Statement Advisory Number 39
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL112017
530 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

This product covers South Florida

**MAJOR HURRICANE IRMA CONTINUES MOVING CLOSER TO SOUTH FLORIDA FOR
THIS WEEKEND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Broward, Coastal Collier, Coastal Miami-Dade, Coastal
      Palm Beach, Far South Miami-Dade, Inland Collier, Inland
      Miami-Dade, Mainland Monroe, and Metro Miami-Dade
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Glades, Hendry, Inland
      Broward, Inland Palm Beach, Metro Broward, and Metro Palm Beach

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 340 miles southeast of Miami FL or about 430 miles
      southeast of Naples FL
    - 22.1N 76.5W
    - Storm Intensity 155 mph
    - Movement West or 280 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Category 4 Hurricane Irma continues to move west northwest across
the southern Bahamas this afternoon, and will impact South Florida
beginning Saturday. Hurricane Irma continues to remain a severe and
extremely dangerous threat for all of South Florida. Direct major
hurricane landfall is likely somewhere across South Florida this
weekend.

The primary concerns continue to be for catastrophic major hurricane
force winds and life-threatening storm surge. Additional concerns
include the potential for flooding rainfall, isolated tornadoes,
significant beach erosion and surf, and life-threatening rip currents.

Depending on the eventual track of Hurricane Irma, flash flooding is
also possible around portions of Lake Okeechobee in association with a
possible overwash or minor to moderate overtopping of the Herbert
Hoover Dike. Interests near Lake Okeechobee should heed the orders of
local and state emergency management officials.

Preparations to protect life and property are strongly urged to be
completed by tonight. All persons in South Florida should take shelter
by early Saturday morning. Hurricane Irma is a potentially deadly
situation and should not be taken lightly. Everyone is urged to
exercise extreme caution in order to protect their lives.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible devastating
impacts across coastal Miami-Dade, Mainland Monroe, and Collier
counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly
      accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to
      buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded
      from considerable floating debris. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
      severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
    - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted
      onshore and stranded.

Also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible
significant to extensive impacts across the immediate coast of Broward
and Palm Beach counties.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across all of South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
      and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
      greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
      may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
    - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Widespread power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets, parking lots and underpasses become submerged. Driving
      conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with
      some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Broward County: Mandatory evacuation ordered for areas east of
Federal Highway, barrier islands, low-lying areas, and mobile homes.

Collier County: Mandatory evacuations of locations south and west of US
41, and those living in mobile homes.

Miami-Dade County: Mandatory evacuation of mobile homes, evacuation
zone A, zone B, portions of zone C, and barrier islands which
include Bal Harbour, Bay Harbour Islands, Golden Beach, Indian Creek
Village, Miami Beach, North Bay Village, Sunny Isles Beach, and
Surfside.

Palm Beach County: Mandatory evacuation of zones A and B, as well as
mobile homes and flood-prone areas. Voluntary evacuation of zone C.
Effective at 10 AM Friday.

For further information, contact 311 for Miami-Dade and Broward counties
and 211 across the rest of South Florida.

If evacuating away from the area or relocating to a nearby shelter,
leave early before weather conditions become hazardous.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Check-in with your emergency points of contact among family, friends,
and workmates. Inform them of your status and well-being. Let them
know how you intend to ride out the storm and when you plan to
check-in again.

Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.

In emergencies it is best to remain calm. Stay informed and focused
on the situation at hand. Exercise patience with those you encounter.
Be a good neighbor and help others.

If relocating to a nearby shelter or to the home of a family member
or friend, drive with extra caution, especially on secondary roads.
Remember, many bridges and causeways will be closed once higher winds
arrive. Also, if you encounter water covering the road, seek an
alternate route. Always obey official road signs for closures and
detours.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$



 

Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Miami FL
538 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

FLZ068>075-168-172>174-090800-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.A.0005.170908T2138Z-170912T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-Inland Broward-
Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-Mainland Monroe-
Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-Dade-
Far South Miami-Dade-
538 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of South Florida, including the
  following areas, Coastal Broward, Coastal Collier, Coastal
  Miami-Dade, Coastal Palm Beach, Far South Miami-Dade, Inland
  Broward, Inland Collier, Inland Miami-Dade, Mainland Monroe,
  Metro Broward, Metro Miami-Dade, and Metro Palm Beach.

* Through Monday evening.

* Excessive rainfall from Hurricane Irma which will lead to
  possible widespread flooding.

* Impacts: Flood waters entering structures, significant to major
  street flooding with road closures, areas of rapid inundation at
  underpasses, low lying, and poor drainage areas, and possible
  evacuations and rescues due to flood waters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$


 

Hurricane Warning

Irma Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 39
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL112017
520 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

FLZ068-090530-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Metro Palm Beach-
520 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Boca West
    - Palm Springs
    - Florida Gardens
    - Palm Beach Gardens

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 75 mph
        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Sunday morning
          until early Monday morning

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          major hurricane force wind greater than 110 mph of
          equivalent Category 3 intensity or higher.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          devastating to catastrophic wind impacts. Remaining efforts
          to secure properties should now be brought to completion.
        - Extremely dangerous and life-threatening wind is possible.
          Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury,
          loss of life, or immense human suffering. Move to safe
          shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete
          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile
          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne
          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or
          months.
        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences
          and roadway signs blown over.
        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,
          and access routes impassable.
        - Widespread power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 8-12 inches, with locally
          higher amounts

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: High
        - The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
          assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          major flooding where peak rainfall totals well exceed
          amounts conducive for flash flooding and rapid inundation.
          Rescues and emergency evacuations are likely.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          extensive flooding rain impacts.
        - Life-threatening flooding is possible. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury or significant loss of
          life. If flood related watches and warnings are issued,
          heed recommended actions. Poor decisions may result in
          being cut off or needlessly risk lives. If vulnerable,
          relocate to safe shelter on higher ground before flood
          waters arrive.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
          rescues.
        - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in
          multiple places. Flood control systems and barriers may
          become stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets, parking lots and underpasses become
          submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road
          and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Moderate
        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous
          assessment.
        - When implementing emergency plans, include should include a
          reasonable threat for scattered tornadoes.
        - To be safe, earnestly prepare for the potential of
          significant tornado impacts.
        - Listen for tornado watches and warnings. Be ready to
          shelter quickly if a tornado approaches.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
          communications failures.
        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Florida  ----------------------


 

 

Advertisements

Tropical Unrest.

A few weeks ago we were basking in relative calm.   Even those systems would steer away into the Central Atlantic.  Those in the area of the Yucatan Peninsula and into Mexico.   But something was afoot,   I sensed a problem when the system slowed and gathered moisture and dumped tons of rain.

This was the perfect storm.   Harvey began to ramp up.  I referenced this slowing and the dangers, in so many words.   I did not expect what happened.   It was NOT climate change.   It was an anomaly and weather is about changes.  It’s highs and lows, tightening  pressure gradients and a myriad of other things.

As a consequence of what had happened, thousands were displaced and hungry,  exposed and afraid.  Let’s not criticise people who are doing the best they can.

Going forward,  there are new challenges and new storm systems.  This evening here in North Carolina, we are experiencing lower  clouds before the rain.    There is a quasi-stationary front (warm sector) which will keep the temperatures rather uniform, with overnight lows 68-70.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
448 PM EDT Thu Aug 31 2017

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-010930-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
448 PM EDT Thu Aug 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible along and south of southward
drifting cold front Friday afternoon and into Friday night. There is
a good chance for severe thunderstorms, capable of producing
tornadoes as well as damaging wind gusts. In addition, locally heavy
rain is expected which may lead to flash flooding, especially in poor
drainage areas.

US (5)

southmissvly_loop

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1101 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

ALZ011>015-017>050-011915-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
1101 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

The remnants of Harvey will approach Alabama and is expected to
bring a threat for brief tornadoes to the forecast area. The threat
could continue until 10 PM. The best chance for brief tornadoes
should generally be along and northwest of a line from Selma to
Clanton to Wedowee, though a brief tornado cannot be ruled out
farther south and east.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
through tonight.

$$



 

Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
249 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

...Gusty Winds Possible Across North Central Alabama...

ALZ011>015-017>020-024-026-011100-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WI.Y.0007.170831T1949Z-170901T2100Z/
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-
Cherokee-Jefferson-St. Clair-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Sulligent, Vernon, Fayette,
Double Springs, Jasper, Oneonta, Gadsden, Anniston, Centre,
Birmingham, Hoover, Pell City, and Moody
249 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 4 PM CDT Friday.

* TIMING...will continue through Friday afternoon.

* WINDS...will be between 15 and 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* IMPACTS...of the strong winds may break small limbs and cause
  hazardous driving conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that wind gusts of 35 mph are expected.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for
high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$



 

Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 476
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT THU AUG 31 2017

TORNADO WATCH 476 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-057-059-063-065-073-075-077-079-083-
091-093-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-010100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0476.170831T1615Z-170901T0100Z/

AL
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIBB                 BLOUNT              CHILTON
COLBERT              CULLMAN             DALLAS
FAYETTE              FRANKLIN            GREENE
HALE                 JEFFERSON           LAMAR
LAUDERDALE           LAWRENCE            LIMESTONE
MARENGO              MARION              MORGAN
PERRY                PICKENS             SHELBY
SUMTER               TUSCALOOSA          WALKER
WINSTON

Birmingham, Birmingham International Airport 16:53 Overcast 81 71 72 SE 10 29.83
Anniston Metro Airport 16:53 Mostly Cloudy 84 71 65 SE 9 G 20 29.88
Atlanta, Hartsfield – Jackson Atlanta International Airport 16:52 Partly Cloudy 82 67 60 SE 5 29.96
Auburn-Opelika Airport 16:56 Mostly Cloudy 82 73 74 S 15 G 21 29.94
Nashville, Nashville International Airport 16:53 Overcast 77 73 88 NE 9 29.87
Alabaster, Shelby County Airport 16:53 Mostly Cloudy 84 72 67 S 17 G 23 29.82
Huntsville, Huntsville International / Jones Field 16:53 Overcast 82 74 77 SE 13 G 24 29.81
Jackson, Jackson International Airport 16:54 Light Rain Fog/Mist 74 72 94 SW 15 G 26 29.75
Memphis International Airport 16:54 Heavy Rain Fog/Mist and Windy 69 66 90 NE 28 G 44 29.67
Montgomery, Dannelly Field 16:53 Partly Cloudy 88 72 59 S 10 G 22 29.86
Tuscaloosa Regional Airport 16:53 Fair 83 76 79 S 13 G 24 29.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
317 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

.SHORT TERM...

The post-tropical center of Harvey is now analyzed south of Tunica,
MS. A synoptic scale warm front was located via surface pressure
field analysis from the surface low center east to just south of
Tupelo, MS. Across the state of Mississippi, surface winds generally
shift across this front but as this feature extends into Alabama, it
is primarily defined by a pressure trough with little in the way of
a wind shift or change in the thermodynamic environment.

Sounding data along with upper air guidance suggests drier air aloft
is present in greater magnitude to the east and the north while
profiles are more moist to the south and the west.

Rotating storms remain likely across our south-central, southwest
and western counties with a limited tornado risk. While
conditions had become somewhat calmer in the short- term,
additional development across our south and west counties continue
to be monitored closely. Tornadoes remain possible as we remain
in the synoptically favored right front quadrant of a former
tropical cyclone.

Breaks in cloud cover continue across our eastern, southeast and
south-central counties and solar insolation continues to result in
surface heating that is increasing instability values. Wind shear is
most prominent off the surface at this time, supporting broad storm
rotation. Wind shear values will increase across our western and
northwest counties for the remainder of this afternoon and evening
as the remnants of Harvey move into western Tennessee.

Radar imagery indicates storms that we are closely watching in
Pickens, Perry and Marengo Counties with more activity to the
southwest. Our southwest and west-central counties continue to have
the greatest potential for rotating storms and possible tornadoes.

JH/05

.LONG TERM...

Rain chances will drop significantly for Friday as much drier air
aloft moves into the region around the southern periphery of
Harvey`s remnant low. The weekend looks dry for most if not all
of our forecast area with the arrival of northwesterly flow. The
next chance of rain may not come until Tuesday as southerly flow
develops in advance of an approaching upper-level trough.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

Band one has exited the TAF window to the east and now watching
band 2 begin to work in from the west. Looks to move into TCL at
or just past 18Z and then work into EET and BHM by 20 to 21Z and
then sliding northeastward after that. There should be a line that
moves through MGM and TOI as well, but they may not see the amount
of activity as the northern sites. As the center of the remnants
of Harvey moves northeast, we will see low clouds and showers
overnight at the northern sites along with the main low itself.

Note: Have put in AMD NOT SKED for KASN TAF since winds are
missing from the observation and will be a factor in the forecast
today and tonight.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

High rain chances are expected through tonight with tropical
moisture in place. A drying trend will follow for Friday and the
weekend. There are no fire weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     69  80  60  81  60 /  90  50  20  10  10
Anniston    70  82  63  83  62 /  90  40  20  10  10
Birmingham  70  82  64  83  64 /  90  30  20  10  10
Tuscaloosa  70  84  66  86  64 /  90  20  10  10   0
Calera      70  82  65  85  65 /  90  20  10  10  10
Auburn      71  84  66  84  65 /  70  30  20  10  10
Montgomery  73  88  67  88  67 /  70  20  10  10  10
Troy        72  87  68  87  66 /  40  20  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT Friday for the following counties:
Blount...Calhoun...Cherokee...Etowah...Fayette...Jefferson...
Lamar...Marion...St. Clair...Walker...Winston.

&&

mcd1605

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1605
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

Areas affected…Parts of eastern Mississippi into western Alabama

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

Valid 311531Z – 311730Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent

SUMMARY…Some increase in the risk for generally isolated and
relatively short-lived tornadoes may occur through midday and early
afternoon. It is not yet certain that a watch will be needed, but
trends are being monitored for this possibility.

DISCUSSION…East of the remnant circulation center of Harvey,
tropical boundary layer moisture (mid 70s+ F surface dew points)
remains present in a narrow corridor roughly centered near the
Mississippi/Alabama state border area. Breaks in cloud cover across
this region have allowed for some insolation and destabilization, as
a broken band of convection pivots across the region. Coinciding
with a broad belt of 30-50 kt southerly 850 mb flow, which is
contributing to sizable low-level hodographs where near surface flow
remains southeasterly (mainly ahead of the broken band of
convection), at least some risk for brief tornadoes remains evident.
However, the extent of this threat remains unclear, and will
probably hinge on whether rain cooled air now present across much of
central and southern Alabama can modify appreciably. Currently this
seems unlikely, but a couple of corridors of substantive further
boundary layer destabilization seem at least possible. One of these
may extend north and east of Biloxi MS into southwestern Alabama
(near/north of Mobile). The other may develop near Tuscaloosa
northwestward into areas near/east of Tupelo and Columbus MS.

..Kerr/Grams.. 08/31/2017

…Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…BMX…HUN…MOB…MEG…JAN…LIX…

LAT…LON 30618883 31698838 33188861 33878880 34578878 34878820
33188731 32508771 31978792 31188782 30448833 30368885
30618883

================================================================

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/wwa/

enh_0000

 

ww0476_radar

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 476
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1115 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and western Alabama
Northeast Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee

* Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 1115 AM until
800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY…Arcing bands of showers and storms will pose a risk for
brief tornadoes this afternoon into early evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
either side of a line from 60 miles north of Oxford MS to 55 miles
southeast of Tuscaloosa AL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 20030.

 

Go Away Now – Harvey

Locatio
7

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Harvey Advisory Number 43
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

…FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE OVER EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA…
…HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI
AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO…

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…31.7N 92.3W
ABOUT 30 MI…50 KM NNE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 100 MI…160 KM SE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding continues in southeastern
Texas and portions of southwestern Louisiana. Please see warnings
and other products issued by your local National Weather Service
office for additional information on this life-threatening
situation.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harvey
was located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 92.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the
northeast is expected Thursday or Thursday night. On the forecast
track, the center of Harvey should move through central Louisiana
tonight, then move through northeastern Louisiana and northwestern
Mississippi Thursday and Thursday night, and over the Tennessee
Valley region on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected over the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches from southwestern Louisiana and the
adjacent border of eastern Texas northeastward into western
Tennessee and Kentucky through Friday with isolated amounts up to 12
inches. The threat of heavy rains has ended in the Houston/
Galveston area. However catastrophic and life-threatening flooding
will continue in and around Houston, Beaumont/Port Arthur,
and eastward into southwest Louisiana for the rest of the week. The
expected heavy rains spreading northeastward from Louisiana into
western Kentucky may also lead to flash flooding and increased river
and small stream flooding. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED
AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED
ROADWAYS. Please see warnings and products issued by your local
National Weather Service office for additional information on this
life-threatening situation.

Elsewhere, the outer bands of Harvey are expected to produce
additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over portions of the
central and eastern Gulf States and 2 to 4 inches farther north into
parts of the Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and southern Mid Atlantic
through Saturday. These rains may lead to flooding concerns across
these areas.

A list of preliminary rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northwestern and northern
Gulf coast should subside very slowly over the next day or two.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight across parts of
Mississippi, southern Alabama, and southwest Georgia. Additional
tornadoes are possible on Thursday afternoon and evening across
northern portions of Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and into parts
of Tennessee.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Harvey. Future information on this system can be found in
Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning
at 4 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and
on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. These advisories will
also continue to be found on the National Hurricane Center website
at hurricanes.gov.

=====================================================================

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Harvey Advisory Number 43
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

…FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE OVER EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA…
…HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE MISSISSIPPI
AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO…

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…31.7N 92.3W
ABOUT 30 MI…50 KM NNE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
ABOUT 100 MI…160 KM SE OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding continues in southeastern
Texas and portions of southwestern Louisiana. Please see warnings
and other products issued by your local National Weather Service
office for additional information on this life-threatening
situation.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harvey
was located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 92.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the
northeast is expected Thursday or Thursday night. On the forecast
track, the center of Harvey should move through central Louisiana
tonight, then move through northeastern Louisiana and northwestern
Mississippi Thursday and Thursday night, and over the Tennessee
Valley region on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected over the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

LCH_loop (4)

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches from southwestern Louisiana and the
adjacent border of eastern Texas northeastward into western
Tennessee and Kentucky through Friday with isolated amounts up to 12
inches. The threat of heavy rains has ended in the Houston/
Galveston area. However catastrophic and life-threatening flooding
will continue in and around Houston, Beaumont/Port Arthur,
and eastward into southwest Louisiana for the rest of the week. The
expected heavy rains spreading northeastward from Louisiana into
western Kentucky may also lead to flash flooding and increased river
and small stream flooding. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED
AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED
ROADWAYS. Please see warnings and products issued by your local
National Weather Service office for additional information on this
life-threatening situation.

Elsewhere, the outer bands of Harvey are expected to produce
additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over portions of the
central and eastern Gulf States and 2 to 4 inches farther north into
parts of the Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and southern Mid Atlantic
through Saturday. These rains may lead to flooding concerns across
these areas.

A list of preliminary rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northwestern and northern
Gulf coast should subside very slowly over the next day or two.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight across parts of
Mississippi, southern Alabama, and southwest Georgia. Additional
tornadoes are possible on Thursday afternoon and evening across
northern portions of Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and into parts
of Tennessee.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Harvey. Future information on this system can be found in
Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning
at 4 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and
on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. These advisories will
also continue to be found on the National Hurricane Center website
at hurricanes.gov.

=================================================================

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 92.3W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 92.3W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 92.6W

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 32.8N 91.4W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.5N 89.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.9N 87.6W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 37.0N 85.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 92.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4, WMO HEADER
WTNT34 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

=========================================================================

Tropical Depression Harvey Discussion Number 43
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

Harvey has continued to weaken since this afternoon as the center
has moved farther inland over Louisiana. Surface observations
indicate that winds along the northern Gulf coast have decreased,
and the system became a tropical depression in the 0000 UTC
intermediate advisory. Harvey should continue to gradually weaken
as the circulation moves farther inland, and the cyclone is expected
to dissipate over the Ohio Valley within 72 hours.

Harvey is moving north-northeastward at about 8 kt. The cyclone
should turn northeastward around the northwestern portion of a
mid-level ridge that extends westward from the western Atlantic
across the eastern Gulf of Mexico. This steering pattern is
forecast to take Harvey across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee
Valleys during the next couple of days.

It should be noted that despite Harvey’s weakening, heavy rainfall
and flooding are forecast to occur along the path of Harvey during
the next few days, but its faster forward speed should keep
subsequent rainfall amounts well below what occurred along the
northwest Gulf coast.

This is last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on
Harvey. Future information on this system can be found in public
advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 4 AM
CDT under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the
web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. Additional information can
also be found in products issued by your local National Weather
Service office.

The National Hurricane Center would like to thank all the men and
women that have worked countless hours at local National Weather
Service Forecast offices along the Gulf coast providing life-saving
warnings and information during the past week, on top of preparing
their family and homes for the storm. The center would also like to
acknowledge the dedication of the Air Force and NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft crews that flew numerous missions into Harvey. In
addition, NHC thanks the staff at the Weather Prediction Center,
who led efforts to coordinate forecasts of the historic
flooding event, NWS River Forecast Centers that provided flood
guidance, and the Storm Prediction Center, that coordinated tornado
forecasts.

Key Messages:

1. Ongoing catastrophic and life-threatening flooding will continue
across southeastern Texas. While the threat of heavy rains has
ended in the Houston/Galveston area, catastrophic and life-
threatening flooding will continue in and around Houston, Beaumont/
Port Arthur, and eastward into southwest Louisiana for the rest
of the week. Isolated storm totals have reached 50 inches over the
upper Texas coast, including the Houston/Galveston metropolitan
area. Please heed the advice of local officials. Do not attempt to
travel if you are in a safe place, and do not drive into flooded
roadways. Refer to products from your local National Weather
Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more
information on the flooding hazard. A summary of rainfall totals
compiled by the Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

2. The flood threat has spread farther north and east, and
additional rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with isolated
amounts up to 10 inches are expected from southwestern Louisiana and
the adjacent border of eastern Texas northeastward into western
Kentucky through Friday. Please heed the advice of local officials,
and refer to products from your local National Weather Service
office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information
on the flooding hazard in these areas.

3. The Weather Prediction Center will issue public advisories on
Harvey as long as it remains a rainfall threat. These advisories
can continue to be found on the National Hurricane Center website
and at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0300Z 31.7N 92.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 31/1200Z 32.8N 91.4W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
24H 01/0000Z 34.5N 89.7W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
36H 01/1200Z 35.9N 87.6W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
48H 02/0000Z 37.0N 85.7W 20 KT 25 MPH…INLAND
72H 03/0000Z…DISSIPATED

=================================== ======================================

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH…LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS…35 MPH…55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

JACKSON MS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

Hurricane Local Statement

Tropical Depression Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 43
LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-311215-

Tropical Depression Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 43
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL092017
1102 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

This product covers SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS

**FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE OVER EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 30 miles north-northeast of Alexandria LA
    - 31.7N 92.3W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 30 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

As of 10 pm CDT, Tropical Depression Harvey was continuing to track
toward the northeast across Central Louisiana with maximum
sustained winds of 35 mph, and it is forecast to continue with this
motion overnight tonight and into Thursday.

Rainfall continues across interior East Texas into Central Louisiana,
where an additional one half to 1 inch of rainfall is possible the
rest of tonight, with locally higher amounts possible. A flash flood
watch remains in effect for these areas.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
East Texas and Extreme Western Louisiana. Remain well guarded against
life-threatening flood waters having additional devastating to
catastrophic impacts.
These impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
parts of Central Louisiana. Remain well guarded against
life-threatening flood waters having possible limited impacts.

* WIND:
Little to no additional impacts are anticipated at this time
across SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

* SURGE:
Little to no additional impacts are anticipated at this time
across coastal SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no additional impacts are anticipated at this time
across SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Do not return to evacuated areas until hazardous winds diminish
and flood waters abate.

RECOVERY PHASE - Do not return to evacuated areas until it is safe.
Listen for the all-clear signal from local authorities.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

As it pertains to this event...this will be the last local statement
issued by the National Weather Service in Lake Charles LA regarding
the effects of tropical cyclone hazards upon the area.

$$

13



Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
TXC199-241-245-351-361-457-311330-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FF.W.0084.000000T0000Z-170831T1330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1230 AM CDT THU AUG 31 2017

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR Jefferson, Tyler, Newton, Hardin,
Orange, and Jasper Counties of Southeast Texas...

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
  Tyler County in southeastern Texas...
  Newton County in southeastern Texas...
  Hardin County in southeastern Texas...
  Orange County in southeastern Texas...
  Jasper County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 830 AM CDT Thursday

* At 1224 AM CDT, Doppler radar and gauge reports indicated heavy
  rain has fallen across the warned area. 10 to 30 inches of rain
  have fallen with some spots seeing 50 inches. Flash flooding is
  already occurring.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Jefferson, Tyler, Newton,
Hardin, Orange, and Jasper Counties. This is a PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Beaumont, Port Arthur, Orange, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches,
  Lumberton, Vidor, Bridge City, Jasper, Silsbee, West Orange,
  Woodville, Newton, Kirbyville, Kountze, Sour Lake, Colmesneil, Nome
  and Chester.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3049 9454 3101 9466 3106 9456 3118 9354
      3082 9356 3054 9374 3044 9370 3033 9376
      3029 9371 3006 9370 2999 9386 2981 9395
      2969 9384 2967 9406 2956 9435 2989 9436
      2989 9444 3011 9445 3011 9460 3049 9473

$$

Rua



Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
944 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Village Creek Near Kountze

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake

TXC245-361-311644-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAT2.3.ER.170827T2236Z.170902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
944 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neches River Near Beaumont.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.4 feet by
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 13.0 feet...River is near flood of record
  which occurred october 1994. Widespread major flooding is
  occurring. Numerous homes in Northeast Beaumont and Rose City are
  flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 11.5 feet...Major flooding is occurring.
  River levels are near those reached during Tropical Storm Allison
  in 1989. Several streets in Northeast Beaumont are flooded and
  impassable and water is in homes near the river. Neighborhoods on
  the north side of Interstate 10 in Rose City are flooded with water
  in approximately 4 homes.
* Impact...At stages near 11.0 feet...Major flooding occurs at
  Colliers Ferry Park and around the Beaumont Country Club.
  Residential roads off of Pine Street are impassable and water up to
  homes. Several streets in Northeast Beaumont also become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 10.0 feet...Major flooding around the
  Beaumont Country Club, Colliers Ferry Park and Pine Street can be
  expected.


$$


Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
944 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Village Creek Near Kountze

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake

TXC199-241-245-361-311644-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NSBT2.3.ER.170827T1530Z.170902T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
944 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was estimated to be near 11.7 feet.
* Forecast... continue rising to a stage near 15.1 feet by Saturday morning
  and begin falling by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 10.0 feet...Major flooding along the river
  including Northwest Orange County From Lake View to the Saltwater
  Barrier with several homes and camps flooded. Flooding is also
  occurring along the river in Beaumont.
* Impact...At stages near 9.5 feet...Major flooding in Lakeview
  Estates.
* Impact...At stages near 8.0 feet...Widespread flooding, especially
  in Northwest Orange County from Lake View downstream to the
  Saltwater Barrier. Several homes and camps are flooded or
  threatend.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 9404 3008 9401 3008 9413 3033 9421

$$


Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
920 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Sabine River Near Orange

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-311619-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DWYT2.3.ER.170828T1352Z.170902T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.4 feet by
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 29.0 feet...Major flooding occurring
  leaving the town of Deweyville isolated. Numerous homes are
  flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 27.9 feet...This flooding will be similar
  to the flooding expierenced in the flood of March 2001. Homes in
  Deweyville have water in them.
* Impact...At stages near 27.0 feet...Widespread moderate lowland
  flooding will occur. Homes in Deweyville closest to the river are
  flooded. Flooding of homes in the Indian Lakes and River Oaks
  sections will also occur. Low-lying roads and a few homes in
  Southwest Beauregard Parish have some flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3057 9363 3011 9364 3011 9378 3031 9381
      3062 9378

$$


Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
920 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Sabine River Near Orange

LAC019-TXC361-311619-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ORNT2.3.ER.170830T0615Z.170903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 PM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Orange.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.5 feet by
  Sunday early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 6.0 feet...Major flooding can be expected.
  Numerous roads and homes in Orange are subject to flooding.
  Backwater flooding along Adams Bayou can be expected. Water begins
  to approach the travel lanes on I-10.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Moderate flooding can be
  expected along the river with some roads in Orange likely flooded.
  Back water flooding can also be expected along Adams Bayou in
  Orange.

&&

LAT...LON 3018 9376 3018 9365 3014 9363 2998 9372
      3001 9381

$$




Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
529 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
311030-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
529 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Tropical Storm Harvey has moved onshore and will continue to move
to the north northeast today and tomorrow. Heavy rainfall is
expected to continue across southeast Texas and will further
exacerbate flooding ongoing across the region. As Harvey
progresses northeastward, the flooding threat could shift into
western Louisiana. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the
entire area.

Gusty winds are expected today as Harvey continues to move inland. A
Tropical Storm Warning continues for areas along and south of I-10
today. A Wind Advisory is in effect for areas along and north of
I-10.

There is a Marginal Risk for tornadoes today in the rainbands
rotating around the center of Harvey.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire region on Thursday
with the possibility of additional showers which could lead to
additional flooding.

Chances for rain will decrease on Friday and Saturday as drier
air filters into the area. However, moderate to major flooding is
expected to continue along area rivers.

Chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase late this
weekend and early next week as a week as the next weather system
approaches the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...images (24)

Harvey – Go away now

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Harvey Advisory Number 41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

…CENTER OF HARVEY MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA…
…FLOODING RAINS CONTINUING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA…

 

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION

151152WPCQPF_sm (1)
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.5N 93.3W
ABOUT 30 MI…45 KM NNW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 75 MI…115 KM SW OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.33 INCHES

=======================================================================

151152

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Watch is discontinued west of Sabine Pass, Texas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Holly Beach Louisiana to Morgan City Louisiana

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Sabine Pass Texas to west of Holly Beach Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* East of High Island Texas to Grand Isle Louisiana

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding continues in southeastern
Texas and portions of southwestern Louisiana. Please see warnings
and other products issued by your local National Weather Service
office for additional information on this life-threatening
situation.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 12 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

151152_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

 

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was
located near latitude 30.5 North, longitude 93.3 West. Harvey is
moving toward the north-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn
toward the northeast is expected Thursday night and Friday. On the
forecast track, the center of Harvey should move through
southwestern and central Louisiana today and tonight, then move
through northeastern Louisiana and northwestern Mississippi Thursday
and Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours as Harvey moves
farther inland, and the cyclone is expected to weaken to a tropical
depression tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
mainly to the south of the center. During the past few hours,
there have been reports of wind gusts of 40-50 mph (65-80 km/h) in
southwestern Louisiana and southeastern Texas near Lake Charles,
Cameron, and Sabine Pass.

The minimum central pressure based on surface observations is
993 mb (29.33 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches from southwestern Louisiana and the
adjacent border of eastern Texas northeastward into western
Tennessee and Kentucky through Friday with isolated amounts up to 10
inches. The threat of heavy rains has ended in the Houston/
Galveston area. However catastrophic and life threatening flooding
will continue in and around Houston, Beaumont/Port Arthur, eastward
into southwest Louisiana for the rest of the week. The expected
heavy rains spreading northeastward from Louisiana into western
Kentucky may also lead to flash flooding and increased river, small
stream flooding. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREA IF
YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS. Please
see warnings and products issued by your local National Weather
Service office for additional information on this life-threatening
situation.

Elsewhere, the outer bands of Harvey are expected to produce
additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over portions of the
central and eastern Gulf States and 2 to 4 inches farther north into
parts of the Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley and southern Mid Atlantic
through Saturday. These rains may lead to flooding concerns across
these areas.

A list of preliminary rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Holly Beach to Morgan City…2 to 4 ft
San Luis Pass to west of Holly Beach incl. Galveston Bay…1 to 3 ft
Morgan City to Grand Isle…1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of
the warning area along the coast and are likely to persist through
this afternoon.

SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are still affecting the coasts of
Texas and Louisiana. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products
from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight over
parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, southern Alabama, and southeast
Arkansas.

151152_current_wind_sm

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

============================================================================

 

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE STORM SURGE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED WEST OF SABINE PASS… TEXAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* HOLLY BEACH LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* SABINE PASS TEXAS TO WEST OF HOLLY BEACH LOUISIANA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. PLEASE SEE WARNINGS
AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION…FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE…
DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK…PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC…AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 93.3W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT……. 40NE 70SE 70SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 93.3W AT 30/1500Z…INLAND
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 93.5W…INLAND

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 31.4N 92.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 0NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 32.8N 91.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.4N 90.1W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.8N 88.3W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.5N 84.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.5N 93.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

151152_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34

============================================================================

Tropical Storm Harvey Discussion Number 41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

Harvey has changed little in organization since landfall, with
satellite and radar data showing continued convective banding, most
notably in the northwestern quadrant. Winds gusts of 35-45 kt have
been reported over the coastal regions south of the center, and the
central pressure has risen only slightly to 993 mb. Based on these
data, the initial intensity remains 40 kt. It should be noted that
a large area of winds just below tropical-storm-force is occurring
over the Gulf of Mexico south of the coasts of south-central and
southeastern Louisiana.

Radar and surface observations indicate that the center of Harvey
moved northward for a period of several hours near landfall, but now
is resuming a north-northeastward motion of roughly 020/7. The
cyclone is located on the northwestern side of a mid-tropospheric
high, which should steer it north-northeastward and then
northeastward across the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys
during the next few days until the system dissipates.

Harvey should gradually weaken as it moves farther inland, with the
intensity expected to drop below tropical-storm strength shortly
after the 12 h point. Subsequently, the system should decay to a
remnant low by 72 h and dissipate completely by 96 h. The forecast
weakening will not eliminate the risk of continued heavy rainfall
and flooding along Harvey’s path, although the system’s faster
motion will prevent rainfall totals from being anywhere near what
occurred over southeastern Texas.

Key Messages:

1. Ongoing catastrophic and life-threatening flooding will continue
across southeastern Texas. While the threat of heavy rains has
ended in the Houston/Galveston area, catastrophic and life-
threatening flooding will continue in and around Houston,
Beaumont/Port Arthur, eastward into southwest Louisiana for the rest
of the week. Isolated storm totals have reached 50 inches over the
upper Texas coast, including the Houston/Galveston metropolitan
area. Please heed the advice of local officials. Do not attempt to
travel if you are in a safe place, and do not drive into flooded
roadways. Refer to products from your local National Weather Service
office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information
on the flooding hazard. A summary of rainfall totals compiled by
the Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

2. The flood threat has spread farther north and east, and
additional rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with isolated
amounts up to 10 inches are expected from southwestern Louisiana and
the adjacent border of eastern Texas northeastward into western
Kentucky through Friday. Please heed the advice of local officials
and refer to products from your local National Weather Service
office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information
on the flooding hazard in these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/1500Z 30.5N 93.3W 40 KT 45 MPH…INLAND
12H 31/0000Z 31.4N 92.7W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
24H 31/1200Z 32.8N 91.7W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
36H 01/0000Z 34.4N 90.1W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
48H 01/1200Z 35.8N 88.3W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
72H 02/1200Z 38.5N 84.5W 20 KT 25 MPH…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 03/1200Z…DISSIPATED

============================================================================

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2017

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS…45 MPH…75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

 

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

JACKSON MS 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 56 2(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

FORT POLK LA 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)

LAKE CHARLES 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)

CAMERON LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

JASPER TX 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

KOUNTZE TX 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

===============================================================

151152_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34

 

HARVEY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
1059 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2017

.TROPICAL STORM HARVEY

CAUTION…THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST…AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.

LAZ052>054-073-074-302300-
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
959 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2017

$$

TXZ215-302300-
/O.CAN.KNHC.SS.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
959 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2017

$$

LAZ041-042-055-056-059-065>068-TXZ216-302300-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
959 AM CDT WED AUG 30 2017

$$

ATTN…WFO…LCH…LIX…

=========================================================================

http://www.weather.gov/lix/satellite

activity_loop (6)

mcd1600

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1600
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

Areas affected…Parts of east central and southeast Louisiana
through southern Mississippi

Concerning…Severe potential…Tornado Watch likely

Valid 301451Z – 301645Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…80 percent

SUMMARY…At least some risk for mainly isolated, relatively
short-lived tornadoes is already evident. The extent of this threat
remains a bit unclear, but it seems likely to increase into and
through early afternoon, particularly within a corridor across east
central and southeast Louisiana through much of southern
Mississippi, perhaps as far north as the I-20 corridor.

DISCUSSION…Beneath the lower/mid tropospheric dry slot to the east
of the remnant circulation center of Harvey, breaks in low-level
cloud cover are likely already allowing for an increase in boundary
layer instability in response to insolation. This should continue
into and through the midday hours, particularly within a narrow
plume of tropical boundary layer moisture (with surface dew points
of 75F+) wrapping across southeast Louisiana and Mississippi coastal
areas, into the vicinity of the surface cyclone center which
continues to slowly track north northeast of Lake Charles.

Within/across this corridor of richer boundary layer moisture
content, a southeasterly component to the near surface flow beneath
southerly 850 mb flow on the order of 40 kt is already contributing
to favorable hodographs for the development of substantive low-level
mesocyclones. As cells embedded within ongoing and developing bands
of convection pivoting around Harvey occasionally strengthen, the
risk for mainly isolated, brief tornadoes will probably increase as
the boundary layer undergoes further destabilization into and
through early afternoon.

..Kerr/Grams.. 08/30/2017

…Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…MOB…JAN…LIX…LCH…SHV…

LAT…LON 32139187 32329116 32128998 31468851 30308856 29918954
30649045 30989167 31589237 32139187

mcd1600

   Mesoscale Discussion 1600
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0951 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

   Areas affected...Parts of east central and southeast Louisiana
   through southern Mississippi

   Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

   Valid 301451Z - 301645Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...At least some risk for mainly isolated, relatively
   short-lived tornadoes is already evident.  The extent of this threat
   remains a bit unclear, but it seems likely to increase into and
   through early afternoon, particularly within a corridor across east
   central and southeast Louisiana through much of southern
   Mississippi, perhaps as far north as the I-20 corridor.

   DISCUSSION...Beneath the lower/mid tropospheric dry slot to the east
   of the remnant circulation center of Harvey, breaks in low-level
   cloud cover are likely already allowing for an increase in boundary
   layer instability in response to insolation.  This should continue
   into and through the midday hours, particularly within a narrow
   plume of tropical boundary layer moisture (with surface dew points
   of 75F+) wrapping across southeast Louisiana and Mississippi coastal
   areas, into the vicinity of the surface cyclone center which
   continues to slowly track north northeast of Lake Charles.

   Within/across this corridor of richer boundary layer moisture
   content, a southeasterly component to the near surface flow beneath
   southerly 850 mb flow on the order of 40 kt is already contributing
   to favorable hodographs for the development of substantive low-level
   mesocyclones.  As cells embedded within ongoing and developing bands
   of convection pivoting around Harvey occasionally strengthen, the
   risk for mainly isolated, brief tornadoes will probably increase as
   the boundary layer undergoes further destabilization into and
   through early afternoon.

   ..Kerr/Grams.. 08/30/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   32139187 32329116 32128998 31468851 30308856 29918954
               30649045 30989167 31589237 32139187 

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That Harvey!

211730_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind (1)

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
700 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

…HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO THE GREATER HOUSTON AREA WHERE
CATASTROPHIC FLOODING CONTINUES…
…DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREAS IF YOU ARE IN
A SAFE PLACE AND DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS…

 

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…28.2N 95.5W
ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM E OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 150 MI…245 KM SW OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB…29.44 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Mesquite Bay to Intracoastal City

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Port Bolivar to Morgan City

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding continues in southeastern
Texas and portions of southwestern Louisiana. Please see warnings
and other products issued by your local National Weather Service
office for additional information on this life-threatening
situation.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

Interests elsewhere along the middle and upper Texas coast and in
southern Louisiana should continue to monitor the progress of
Harvey.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was
located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 95.5 West. Harvey is
moving toward the east-southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a slow
motion toward the southeast is expected through tonight. A gradual
turn toward the northeast and a continued slow forward speed are
expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the
center of Harvey is expected to be just offshore of the middle and
upper coasts of Texas through Tuesday night, then move inland over
the northwestern Gulf coast on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center. The National Ocean Service automated station at
the Matagorda Bay entrance recently reported sustained winds of 41
mph (67 km/h) and a wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from buoy observations is
997 mb (29.44 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 10 to 20 inches through Thursday over parts of the
upper Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana. Isolated storm
totals may reach 50 inches over the upper Texas coast, including the
Houston/Galveston metropolitan area. These rains are currently
producing catastrophic and life-threatening flooding over large
portions of southeastern Texas. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE
AFFECTED AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED
ROADWAYS. Please see warnings and products issued by your local
National Weather Service office for additional information on this
life-threatening situation.

Elsewhere, Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
5 to 15 inches farther south into the middle Texas coast and farther
east across south-central Louisiana. Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10
inches are expected in southeast Louisiana.

A list of rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA Weather
Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Port Aransas to Morgan City including Galveston Bay…1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in rain bands well
to the east of the center of Harvey, and along the coast to the
southwest of the center. Tropical storm conditions are likely to
persist within the warning area during the next couple of days.

SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the coasts of Texas
and Louisiana. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through Tuesday across
southern Louisiana and extreme southeast Texas.

===========================================================================

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
2100 UTC MON AUG 28 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EAST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT BOLIVAR TEXAS TO
MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MESQUITE BAY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PORT BOLIVAR TO MORGAN CITY

CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS. PLEASE SEE WARNINGS AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THIS LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION… FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE…IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC…AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
HARVEY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 95.7W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….150NE 150SE 60SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 95.7W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 95.9W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 28.4N 95.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…150NE 150SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.6N 95.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…150NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.2N 94.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…120NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 30.3N 94.1W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 32.5N 93.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 34.5N 91.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 37.0N 89.0W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 95.7W

wws

Tropical Storm Harvey Discussion Number 34…Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

Corrected initial intensity in first paragraph

Radar and surface data show that the center of Harvey remains near
or just off the Texas coast south of Matagorda. The associated
convection has increased in intensity and coverage in a cluster
extending from just north of the center northeastward into the
Houston metropolitan area. Surface observations indicate that the
central pressure is around 997 mb, and there are recent reports of
sustained tropical-storm-force winds about 50-60 n mi southwest of
the center. Based on these, the initial intensity is increased to
40 kt.

Very heavy rains and life-threatening flash flooding continue over
southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana. There have been
reports of 2-day rainfall totals of close to 35 inches in the
Greater Houston area. With the additional rains that are expected
over the next several days, rainfall totals could reach 50 inches in
some locations, which would be historic for the area.

While Harvey continues to produce widespread heavy rain, the
convective structure is not well organized in terms of being a
tropical cyclone. In addition, a dry slot is seen in water vapor
imagery over the southern and southeastern parts of the circulation,
and the intensity guidance is not showing much additional
development as Harvey crosses the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The
intensity forecast reflects these issues by showing little change
in strength before landfall. Weakening and eventual decay into a
remnant low are expected after landfall.

The center has drifted erratically eastward since the last
advisory, although a longer-term motion is 110/3. Harvey is
currently between the subtropical ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and
a large deep-layer ridge over the western United States, with a
large trough in the westerlies weakening the Gulf ridge just enough
to allow an east-southeastward motion. The large-scale models
suggest that the westerlies should erode the western ridge to some
extent during the forecast period, which should allow Harvey to
turn north-northeastward under the greater influence of the Gulf
ridge. The track guidance has changed little since the previous
advisory except to show a faster motion from 96-120 h. The new
forecast track remains close to that of the previous track, except
for an increased forward speed by 120 h.

 

Key Messages:

1. Ongoing catastrophic and life-threatening flooding will continue
across southeastern Texas. Additional rainfall accumulations of 15
to 25 inches are expected across the upper Texas coast, with
isolated storm totals as high as 50 inches. Please heed the advice
of local officials. Do not attempt to travel if you are in a safe
place, and do not drive into flooded roadways. Refer to products
from your local National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather
Prediction Center for more information on the flooding hazard. A
summary of rainfall totals compiled by the Weather Prediction Center
can be found at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

2. The flood threat is spreading farther east into Louisiana.
Additional rainfall amounts of 15 to 25 inches are expected in
southwestern Louisiana, with rainfall amounts of 5 to 15 inches
expected in south-central Louisiana and 5 to 10 inches in
southeastern Louisiana. Please heed the advice of local officials
and refer to products from your local National Weather Service
office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information
on the flooding hazard in these areas.

3. While Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended eastward along
the coast of Louisiana and a Storm Surge Watch has been issued, the
impacts of winds and storm surge are expected to be secondary
compared to that of the rains.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 28.5N 95.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 28.4N 95.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 28.6N 95.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 29.2N 94.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 30.3N 94.1W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
72H 31/1800Z 32.5N 93.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
96H 01/1800Z 34.5N 91.5W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
120H 02/1800Z 37.0N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH…POST-TROP/INLAND

rtr

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
2100 UTC MON AUG 28 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS…45 MPH…75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

 

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)

GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)

STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)

BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) 1(11)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10)

GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 6(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 12(20) 8(28) X(28) 1(29)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 3 6( 9) 9(18) 8(26) 4(30) X(30) X(30)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 3 7(10) 8(18) 8(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 33 16(49) 6(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17)
SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

FORT POLK LA 34 3 5( 8) 7(15) 14(29) 6(35) X(35) 1(36)
FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

LAKE CHARLES 34 11 14(25) 13(38) 10(48) 3(51) X(51) X(51)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

CAMERON LA 34 25 16(41) 11(52) 7(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61)
CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

JASPER TX 34 4 7(11) 7(18) 13(31) 4(35) X(35) X(35)
JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

KOUNTZE TX 34 33 7(40) 7(47) 6(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 46 8(54) 6(60) 5(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GALVESTON TX 50 3 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GALVESTON TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

HOUSTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HOUSTON TX 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

AUSTIN TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

FREEPORT TX 34 85 3(88) 1(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
FREEPORT TX 50 5 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 8 4(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

MATAGORDA TX 34 48 11(59) 2(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MATAGORDA TX 50 3 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

PORT O CONNOR 34 52 4(56) 1(57) X(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
PORT O CONNOR 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ROCKPORT TX 34 16 4(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34 7 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 38 4(42) 1(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)

MCALLEN TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

HARLINGEN TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

images (26)

 

HARVEY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
749 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

.TROPICAL STORM HARVEY

CAUTION…THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST…AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.

LAZ052-073-074-TXZ214-215-238-290800-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
649 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

$$

LAZ053-054-290800-
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
649 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

$$

TXZ200-213-235>237-247-290800-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
649 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

$$

ATTN…WFO…CRP…HGX…LCH…

humia

HGX_loop (2)

National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

NWS Homepage
Local weather forecast by “City, St” or zip code 

 
30 products issued by NWS for: 4 Miles NNW Houston TX


Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
634 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

TXC015-039-041-051-071-089-157-167-185-201-225-291-313-321-339-373-
407-455-471-473-477-481-290545-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170829T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Grimes TX-Washington TX-Brazos TX-Galveston TX-Montgomery TX-
San Jacinto TX-Houston TX-Brazoria TX-Chambers TX-Madison TX-
Waller TX-Polk TX-Walker TX-Harris TX-Trinity TX-Colorado TX-
Wharton TX-Austin TX-Burleson TX-Fort Bend TX-Liberty TX-
Matagorda TX-
634 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Grimes County in southeastern Texas...
  Washington County in southeastern Texas...
  Brazos County in southeastern Texas...
  Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
  Montgomery County in southeastern Texas...
  San Jacinto County in southeastern Texas...
  Houston County in southeastern Texas...
  Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
  Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
  Madison County in southeastern Texas...
  Waller County in southeastern Texas...
  Polk County in southeastern Texas...
  Walker County in southeastern Texas...
  Harris County in southeastern Texas...
  Trinity County in southeastern Texas...
  Colorado County in southeastern Texas...
  Eastern Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
  Austin County in southeastern Texas...
  Burleson County in southeastern Texas...
  Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
  Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
  Northeastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1245 AM CDT Tuesday.

* At 633 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
  that heavy rain was falling over the area. The heavy rain will
  cause flooding.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Pasadena, College Station, Pearland, League City, Sugar Land,
  Bryan, Baytown, Missouri City, Conroe, Galveston Island West End,
  Galveston Causeway, Texas City, Huntsville, Friendswood, La Porte,
  Deer Park, Rosenberg, Lake Jackson, Alvin and Angleton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 2862 9577 2957 9629 2934 9656 2963 9687
      2996 9657 3016 9679 3030 9664 3056 9695
      3109 9577 3132 9566 3151 9573 3158 9517
      3115 9486 3106 9456 3101 9466 3049 9454
      3049 9473 3011 9460 3011 9444 2956 9435

$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
446 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Colorado River...East Fork San
Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291-339-292146-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCET2.3.ER.170827T1157Z.170830T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
446 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Fork San Jacinto Near New Caney
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0428 PM Monday the stage was 75.9 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 78.0 feet by tomorrow
  evening then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

East Fork San Jacinto River
  New Caney            58    75.9   Mon 04 PM     77.9   77.5   76.5   75.0

&&

LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520 3014 9517


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
357 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers...

  Brays Bayou At South Main Street affecting the following counties in Texas...
  Harris


For Brays Bayou at South Main Street, Minor flooding is occuring, with Moderate
flooding forecasted.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to rising water and
take all precautions to protect their property. Do not drive or walk into
flooded areas the depth and water velocity could be too great for you to cross
safely. Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate
route. Livestock and equipment should be removed from the flood plain
immediately.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-290857-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0182.170828T2057Z-170829T1708Z/
/HBMT2.2.ER.170828T2057Z.170829T0300Z.170829T1108Z.NO/
357 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Brays Bayou At South Main Street.
* until Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0345 PM Monday the stage was 40.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 41.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  to near 42.5 feet by tonight.the river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow
  morning.



&&


                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Brays Bayou
  South Main Stre      41    40.0   Mon 04 PM     42.4   36.9   21.8   19.6

&&

LAT...LON  2970 9549 2974 9530 2971 9530 2967 9544


$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
346 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers...

  Bear Creek Near Barker affecting the following counties in Texas...Harris


For the Addicks Reservoir, at Barker, Major flooding is occuring and is expected
to continue.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to rising water and
take all precautions to protect their property. Do not drive or walk into
flooded areas the depth and water velocity could be too great for you to cross
safely. Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate
route. Livestock and equipment should be removed from the flood plain
immediately.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-290846-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0181.170828T2046Z-000000T0000Z/
/BBAT2.3.ER.170827T2143Z.170828T0515Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
346 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Bear Creek Near Barker.
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0330 PM Monday the stage was 118.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 111.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 118.0 feet by
  tomorrow morning. Additional rises are possible.



&&


                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

&&


Addicks Reservoir
LAT...LON 2991 9578 2985 9562 2980 9567 2987 9583


$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291-339-407-292041-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0156.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDT2.3.ER.170827T2308Z.170828T1930Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Fork San Jacinto In Cleveland
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0245 PM Monday the stage was 27.1 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 26.2 feet by Tuesday morning.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

East Fork San Jacinto River
  Cleveland            19    27.1   Mon 03 PM     25.9   24.9   23.7   21.8

&&

LAT...LON 3056 9514 3033 9505 3024 9504 3024 9515 3033 9516 3056 9525


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-292041-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0138.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHLT2.3.ER.170827T1234Z.170831T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Jacinto River Near Sheldon
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0304 PM Monday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.5 feet by late Thursday
  morning then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

West Fork San Jacinto River
  Sheldon              10    22.2   Mon 03 PM     25.0   27.4   28.5   27.4

&&

LAT...LON 2991 9507 2986 9504 2977 9501 2977 9511 2986 9514 2991 9518


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-292040-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-170831T0224Z/
/BBST2.3.ER.170827T2046Z.170828T1231Z.170830T1424Z.NO/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Bayou At Shepherd Drive
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0230 PM Monday the stage was 36.1 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late
  Wednesday morning.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Buffalo Bayou
  Shepherd Drive       28    36.1   Mon 02 PM     32.7   27.1   23.7   21.8

&&

LAT...LON 2979 9546 2978 9533 2974 9533 2973 9546


$$




Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-339-292041-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0144.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/POET2.3.ER.170828T0327Z.170829T1500Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Fork San Jacinto Near Porter
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0246 PM Monday the stage was 86.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 81.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 98.1 feet by tomorrow late
  morning then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

West Fork San Jacinto River
  Porter               81    86.1   Mon 03 PM     98.1   93.5   89.8   85.5

&&

LAT...LON 3023 9536 3015 9529 3008 9536 3018 9543


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-473-292041-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KHOT2.3.ER.170827T0640Z.170828T0829Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek Near Katy-Hockley Road
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0249 PM Monday the stage was 162.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 157.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 162.3 feet by late this
  afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Cypress Creek
  Katy-Hockley Ro     157   162.2   Mon 03 PM    162.3  162.0  160.7  160.0

&&

LAT...LON 3001 9586 2999 9581 2998 9568 2992 9568 2991 9581 2990 9586


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-292040-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PPTT2.3.ER.170827T0421Z.170827T1801Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Bayou Near Piney Point Village
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0301 PM Monday the stage was 62.3 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 52.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 63.5 feet by Thursday
  morning then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Buffalo Bayou
  Piney Point Vil      52    62.3   Mon 03 PM     62.8   63.2   63.4   63.1

&&

LAT...LON 2979 9564 2979 9546 2973 9546 2975 9564


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...West Fork
San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-339-292041-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMMT2.3.ER.170826T2352Z.170830T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
341 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Fork San Jacinto In Humble
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0245 PM Monday the stage was 63.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 49.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 65.3 feet by late Wednesday
  morning then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 12 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

West Fork San Jacinto River
  Humble               49    63.0   Mon 03 PM     64.9   65.3   64.2   62.5

&&

LAT...LON 3015 9529 3004 9520 2998 9527 3008 9536


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
245 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following
rivers in Texas...
  Willow Creek Near Tomball affecting the following counties in Texas...Harris


For the Willow Creek, at Tomball, Moderate flooding is occuring and is expected
to continue.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to rising water and
take all precautions to protect their property. Do not drive or walk into
flooded areas the depth and water velocity could be too great for you to cross
safely. Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate
route. Livestock and equipment should be removed from the flood plain
immediately.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-290745-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0145.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LWCT2.3.ER.170827T1122Z.170828T0746Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
245 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
 The Willow Creek Near Tomball
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 0220 PM Monday the stage was 132.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 129.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 132.7 feet by early
  Wednesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.




&&


                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 PM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Willow Creek
  Tomball             129   132.5   Mon 02 PM    132.5  132.6

&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
1155 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Clear Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC167-201-291655-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0155.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HCCT2.3.ER.170827T0429Z.170828T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1155 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Clear Creek In Friendswood at FM 528
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 1115 AM Monday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by this evening.
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Clear Creek
  Friendswood at       12    21.9   Mon 11 AM     21.8

&&

LAT...LON 2954 9520 2951 9516 2949 9516 2955 9520


$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Greens Bayou...
White Oak Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291531-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-170831T0156Z/
/HGTT2.3.ER.170827T0448Z.170827T1145Z.170830T1356Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning continues
for
  The White Oak Bayou At Heights Boulevard
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0645 AM Sunday the stage was 41.3 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday
  morning.



&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

White Oak Bayou
  Heights Bouleva      32    41.3   Sun 07 AM     34.6   34.0   17.1   10.3

&&

LAT...LON 2986 9544 2978 9535 2974 9537 2982 9548


$$



Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Greens Bayou...
White Oak Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291531-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170901T0630Z/
/GBHT2.3.ER.170826T1524Z.170828T0552Z.170901T0030Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Greens Bayou At U.S. Hwy 59
* until late Thursday night...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 1016 AM Monday the stage was 62.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 55.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday
  evening.
* At 61.0 feet...Major lowland flooding continues as homes on Sequoia Bend Drive
  begin flooding with widespread flooding of homes on McDermott Drive.



&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Greens Bayou
  U.S. Hwy 59          55    62.0   Mon 10 AM     60.9   60.2   57.9   52.7

&&

LAT...LON 2992 9538 2990 9525 2954 9525 2974 9538


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Greens Bayou...
White Oak Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291531-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-170901T0300Z/
/GBLT2.3.ER.170827T0649Z.170828T0003Z.170831T2100Z.NR/
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood Warning continues
for
  The Greens Bayou At Ley Road
* until Thursday evening...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 1023 AM Monday the stage was 39.4 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday
  afternoon.



&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Greens Bayou
  Ley Road             30    39.4   Mon 10 AM     37.3   36.5   33.0   23.2

&&

LAT...LON 2992 9521 2982 9522 2981 9526 2987 9537


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Buffalo Bayou...Greens Bayou...
White Oak Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291532-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSBT2.3.ER.170827T0519Z.170828T0539Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1032 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Buffalo Bayou In West Belt Drive
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0933 AM Monday the stage was 68.8 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 62.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 68.9 feet by this afternoon.
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

&&


Buffalo Bayou
LAT...LON 2979 9564 2979 9553 2972 9553 2975 9564


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Caney Creek...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...Spring
Creek...West Fork San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-339-291456-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0132.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPNT2.3.ER.170827T1216Z.170829T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring Creek Near Spring
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0938 AM Monday the stage was 109.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 91.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 112.5 feet by tonight then
  begin falling.
* At 112.0 feet...Top of Northgate Levee at I-45



&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Spring Creek
  Spring               92   109.5   Mon 10 AM    111.6  108.5  106.3  103.8

&&

LAT...LON 3020 9553 3015 9542 3007 9525 2999 9529 3006 9545 3012 9555


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Caney Creek...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...Spring
Creek...West Fork San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-291456-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CCGT2.3.ER.170827T0855Z.170829T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Grant Road
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0931 AM Monday the stage was 128.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 128.5 feet by tomorrow late
  evening then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Cypress Creek
  Grant Road          122   128.0   Mon 10 AM    128.4  128.3  127.5  126.3

&&

LAT...LON 2998 9568 3001 9560 3004 9551 2993 9551 2996 9560 2992 9568


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Caney Creek...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...Spring
Creek...West Fork San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-339-291456-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0149.000000T0000Z-170829T1500Z/
/TMBT2.3.ER.170827T1613Z.170828T1019Z.170829T0900Z.UU/
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring Creek Near Tomball
* until Tuesday morning...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0931 AM Monday the stage was 165.6 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 160.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early
  tomorrow.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Spring Creek
  Tomball             160   165.6   Mon 10 AM    158.8  157.0  158.7  153.4

&&

LAT...LON 3013 9581 3015 9567 3020 9553 3012 9555 3007 9563 3004 9579


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Caney Creek...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...Spring
Creek...West Fork San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-339-291456-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0143.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CFKT2.3.ER.170827T2340Z.170829T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Fork San Jacinto Near Conroe
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0930 AM Monday the stage was 123.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 115.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 126.9 feet by this evening
  then begin falling.
* At 126.1 feet...Flood of record set October 18, 1994.



&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

West Fork San Jacinto River
  Conroe              116   123.5   Mon 09 AM    126.6  124.6  123.9  121.3

&&

LAT...LON 3035 9549 3027 9542 3023 9536 3018 9543 3022 9550 3032 9559


$$


Flood Warning

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


A river flood warning remains in effect for the Caney Creek...Cypress Creek...
East Fork San Jacinto...Lake Creek...Peach Creek...San Jacinto River...Spring
Creek...West Fork San Jacinto.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons are urged to stay away from the river until water levels recede.

Motorists should avoid any water covered roads and find an alternate route.

Livestock and equipment should remain out of the flood plain for the next few
days.



Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further updates.

&&

TXC201-339-291456-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WFDT2.3.ER.170827T0557Z.170829T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
957 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek Near Westfield
* until further notice...or until the warning is canceled.
* At 0929 AM Monday the stage was 96.4 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 82.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 98.2 feet by tomorrow late
  evening then begin falling.




&&
                     Flood  Observed             Forecast 6 AM
Location             Stage  Stage   Day Time     Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Cypress Creek
  Westfield            83    96.4   Mon 09 AM     98.1   98.1   97.0   94.8

&&

LAT...LON 3004 9551 3007 9543 3007 9531 2998 9531 2999 9543 2993 9551


$$


Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1112 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2017

TXC157-201-040345-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.W.0007.170828T0412Z-170904T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fort Bend TX-Harris TX-
1112 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
  Northern Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
  West central Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1045 PM CDT Sunday.

* An areal flood warning is in effect through next Sunday September
  3rd for areas surrounding Addicks Reservoir and Barker Reservoir
  and neighborhoods adjacent to the reservoirs.

* Recent heavy to excessive rainfall is filling both Addicks and
  Barker Reservoirs and inundation of neighborhoods adjacent to the
  reservoirs is possible.

* Addicks Reservoir... The current level was 100.14 feet and the
  water level could reach 110.5 feet. The record level for Addicks
  Reservoir was 102.65 feet established in April 2016. Roads in
  neighborhoods adjacent to Addicks Reservoir begin to flood at
  101.2 feet.

* Barker Reservoir... The current level is 94.85 feet and the water
  level could reach 104.3 feet. The record level for Barker
  Reservoir was 95.25 feet established in April 2016. Roads in
  neighborhoods adjacent to Barker Reservoir begin to flood at 94.9
  feet.

* Flood waters will likely hamper traffic around the reservoirs and
  several roadways are closed including parts of Highway 6, Clay
  Road, Eldridge Parkway and Westheimer Parkway.

* Flood waters could also impact streets in sections of Bear Creek
  Village, Lakeforest of Kelliwood and Cinco Ranch which border the
  reservoir.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Addicks Park Ten, Eldridge / West Oaks, and Memorial.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

LAT...LON 2980 9571 2982 9567 2983 9567 2983 9565
      2986 9562 2984 9560 2985 9559 2984 9558
      2982 9557 2980 9558 2979 9559 2979 9564
      2978 9565 2976 9564 2973 9565 2970 9571
      2972 9575 2978 9569

$$


Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
TXC015-039-071-157-167-201-291-321-473-481-290415-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FF.W.0095.170829T0016Z-170829T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
716 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Eastern Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
  Southeastern Austin County in southeastern Texas...
  Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
  Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
  Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
  Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
  Southeastern Waller County in southeastern Texas...
  Southeastern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
  Northeastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...
  Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1115 PM CDT.

* At 713 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
  thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. 2 to 5
  inches of rain have fallen in the last 6 hours. Flash flooding is
  expected to begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Pasadena, Pearland, League City, Sugar Land, Baytown, Missouri
  City, Galveston Island West End, Galveston Causeway, Texas City,
  Friendswood, La Porte, Deer Park, Rosenberg, Lake Jackson, Alvin,
  Angleton, Dickinson, Stafford, Bay City and South Houston.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 2955 9439 2947 9436 2889 9546 2887 9581
      2905 9608 2938 9613 2979 9606 2990 9579
      3000 9540 2999 9495 2993 9444 2989 9444
      2989 9436 2956 9435

$$
39


Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
TXC201-290715-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170829T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
554 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in League City has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 215 AM CDT Tuesday.

* At 545 PM CDT, Due to extremely high and rising levels in Cypress
  Creek, the Inverness Forest Levee may overtop or breach. Areas in
  the Inverness Forest subdivision are under a MADNATORY evacuation.
  All residents in the following area are urged to evacuate as soon
  as possible. All streets north of Kingsbridge Road including east
  and west Greenbrook Drive and all of Kenchester Drive should
  evacuate. There is also the possibility of electrical or
  mechanical failure at the pump station. A flash flood emergency
  will be issued if breach is imminent.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Iverness Forest subdivision.

Flood waters are moving down Cypress Creek at record levels and may
crest at 98.9 feet Wednesday for Cypress Creek near Westfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3002 9542 3004 9542 3004 9541 3003 9540

$$


Civil Emergency Message

TXC201-290445-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
HARRIS
COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
541 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE HARRIS
COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT.

THIS IS A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING
AREAS OF INVERNESS FOREST SUBDIVISION. ALL STREETS NORTH OF
KINGSBRIDGE ROAD INCLUDING EAST AND WEST GREENBROOK DRIVE AND
KENCHESTER DRIVE. DUE TO EXTREMELY HIGH AND RISING LEVELS IN
CYPRESS CREEK THE INVERNESS FOREST LEVEE MAY OVERTOP OR BREACH.
THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF ELECTRICAL OR MECHANICAL FAILURE AT
THE PUMP STATION. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO EVACUATE AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT THE HARRIS COUNTY
FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT AT 713 684 4000

$$


Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
443 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-290545-
/O.CON.KHGX.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170831T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
Including the cities of Alvin, Anahuac, Angleton, Bay City,
Bellville, Brenham, Brookshire, Bryan, Caldwell, Cleveland,
Coldspring, College Station, Columbus, Conroe, Corrigan,
Crockett, Dayton, Eagle Lake, Edna, El Campo, Freeport,
Friendswood, Galveston, Groveton, Hempstead, Houston, Humble,
Huntsville, Katy, Lake Jackson, Lake Somerville, League City,
Liberty, Livingston, Madisonville, Missouri City, Mont Belvieu,
Navasota, Onalaska, Palacios, Pasadena, Pearland, Pierce,
Prairie View, Richmond, Rosenberg, Sealy, Shepherd, Sugar Land,
Texas City, The Woodlands, Tomball, Trinity, Weimar, Wharton,
Willis, and Winnie
443 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...AREA`S FLASH FLOODING AND BAYOU FLOODING WILL BE TRANSITIONING
TO RIVER FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Texas and southeast Texas...including
  the following counties...in Southeast Texas...Jackson. In
  southeast Texas...Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...
  Chambers...Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...
  Harris...Houston...Liberty...Madison...Matagorda...
  Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...Waller...
  Washington and Wharton.

* Through Wednesday evening

* Catastrophic and epic flooding continued this afternoon in and
  around the Houston and Galveston areas and surrounding
  communities. Rainfall since Saturday has totaled 15 to over 30
  inches. Additional life-threatening rainfall of 10 to 20 inches
  with isolated higher amounts are possible. If these amounts
  materialize, the results could be devastating, especially if any
  of these rains fall where catastrophic flooding has already
  occurred.

* The Flash Flood Watch could be extended beyond Thursday
  evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Do not attempt to travel into flooded areas if you are in a safe
place and do not drive into flooded roadways.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should additional Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$


Hurricane Local Statement

Tropical Storm Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 34
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-290530-

Tropical Storm Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 34
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX  AL092017
430 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This product covers Southeast Texas

**LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Chambers and Galveston

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brazoria, Harris,
      Jackson, Liberty, and Matagorda
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Chambers and Galveston

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 80 miles southwest of Galveston TX or about 20 miles
      east-southeast of Matagorda TX
    - 28.5N 95.7W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement East-southeast or 110 degrees at 3 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The life-threatening flooding event around the Houston metro continues
today with water rescues and evacuations still occurring in the area.
Per observations, a widespread 2 to 5 inches of rain has still fallen
in the past 6 hours across areas from SE Harris County southwestward to
northern Matagorda County. Given the completely saturated ground, this
amount of rainfall and future expected heavy rainfall will keep the
flooding threat at the forefront of this storm. Tornadoes have been a
threat the last couple of days and while there is still a threat today,
the overall threat is less than the last couple of days. Elevated
tides will cause the recession of coastal flood waters to be slow,
likely lasting into the first part of the week. As Harvey drifts just
off the Upper Texas Coast, the potential for tropical storm force winds
will also extend up the coastline. Ultimately, of the multiple hazards
present with this storm, the greatest threat to life and property
remains the ongoing extreme rainfall and its consequent prolonged and
catastrophic flash flooding event.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
southeast Texas. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood
waters having catastrophic impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.


* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across coastal
areas of Southeast Texas. Remain well braced against a tornado event
having limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
Galveston Bay and the Upper Texas Coast. Remain well away from locally
hazardous surge having limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Southeast Texas, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Southeast Texas. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having
limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not return to evacuated areas until hazardous winds diminish and
flood waters abate.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to remain safely sheltered from the storm. Stay
inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case
you lose electrical power. Locate your battery powered radio and
flashlight from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close.

During the peak of the storm, keep your shoes on and rain gear handy.
Boots and tennis shoes offer the best foot protection if you become
unexpectedly exposed to the elements.

Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as
possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for
personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications
systems with idle chatter.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane. Within the
eye, weather conditions may temporarily improve which can be
misleading. Once the eye passes, the wind will change direction and
return to dangerous speeds. Heavy rain will also return. Be smart and
remain safely hidden from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos. Be wise and avoid becoming another statistic.

Be ready to move to the identified safe room if your home or shelter
begins to fail. Quickly move to an interior room on the lowest floor.
Put as many sturdy walls between you and the storm as you can.
Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Houston/Galveston TX around 1030 PM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$


Tropical Storm Warning

Harvey Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 34
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX  AL092017
419 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

TXZ213-290530-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Harris-
419 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          tropical storm force wind of 39 to 57 mph.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited wind
          impacts. Remaining efforts to secure properties should now
          be brought to completion.
        - Hazardous wind is possible. Failure to adequately shelter
          may result in serious injury. Move to safe shelter before
          the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
          over.
        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
        - Scattered power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
        - Window of concern: Begins late this afternoon

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
          peak storm surge flooding of greater than 1 foot above
          ground.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited storm
          surge flooding impacts. Efforts should now be underway.
        - Localized inundation is possible. Follow the instructions
          of local officials. Consider voluntary evacuation if
          recommended. Leave if evacuation orders are issued.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
          immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
          farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
        - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become
          overspread with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous
          in places where surge water covers the road.
        - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes,
          mainly in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
        - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
          boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
          moorings.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 12-18 inches, with
          locally higher amounts

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat of
          extreme flooding where peak rainfall totals vastly exceed
          amounts conducive for flash flooding and rapid inundation.
          Rescues and emergency evacuations are very likely.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          devastating to catastrophic flooding rain impacts.
        - Life-threatening flooding is possible. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury, significant loss of
          life, or human suffering. If flood related watches and
          warnings are issued, heed recommended actions. Poor
          decisions may result in being cut off or needlessly risk
          lives. If vulnerable, relocate to safe shelter on higher
          ground before flood waters arrive.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
        - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations
          and rescues.
        - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their
          banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams,
          creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood
          control systems and barriers may become stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
          raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
          become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures
          with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - When implementing emergency plans, include a reasonable
          threat for isolated tornadoes.
        - To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited tornado
          impacts.
        - Listen for tornado watches and warnings. Be ready to
          shelter quickly if a tornado approaches.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
          power and communications disruptions.
        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
522 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-291100-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-
Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM-
Colorado-Fort Bend-Galveston-Galveston Bay-Grimes-Harris-Houston-
Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-Matagorda Bay-Montgomery-Polk-
San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM-
Wharton-
522 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of mainly light to moderate rain with embedded showers and
thunderstorms containing heavier rains can be expected across the
area today and tonight as Tropical Storm Harvey moves off the coast
near Matagorda Bay. Any heavy rain falling on locations that have
already received record breaking rainfall will be devastating.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Harvey is expected to work its way up the Texas coast on Tuesday
and Wednesday. This track should bring periods of mainly light to
moderate rain with embedded showers and thunderstorms containing
heavier rains for the area. Any heavy rain falling on locations
that have already received record breaking rainfall will be
devastating.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters will be possible through Wednesday.

US (4)


LCH_loop (3)


National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

NWS Homepage
Local weather forecast by “City, St” or zip code 

 
9 products issued by NWS for: 3 Miles S Lake Charles LA


Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
LAC019-023-053-290700-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0073.170828T2341Z-170829T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
641 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Cameron Parish in southwestern Louisiana...
  Jefferson Davis Parish in southwestern Louisiana...
  Calcasieu Parish in southwestern Louisiana...

* Until 200 AM CDT Tuesday

* At 631 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
  heavy rain falling across the warned area from near Moss Bluff to
  Lake Charles and Iowa extending south to Hayes and across Eastern
  Cameron Parish and extending into the Gulf. The rain is currently
  light across Western Calcasieu Parish. Rainfall amounts in the
  heavy band of rain across Eastern Calcasieu and Cameron Parishes
  three to 12 inches in just the past six hours. Across the Western
  portions of Calcasieu and Cameron Parishes rainfall amounts have
  been one to five inches. Flash flooding is already occurring and
  becoming much more serious across Eastern portions of Calcasieu
  Parish. Please if you are in a safe location do not venture out
  into the developing flood situation.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Lake Charles, Sulphur, Jennings, Westlake, Welsh, Vinton, Iowa,
  Lake Arthur, Elton, Fenton, Grand Lake, Hayes, Moss Bluff, De
  Quincy, Lacassine National Wildlife Refuge, Lake Charles Regional
  Airport, Starks, Klondike, Dequincy and Lunita.

Additional rainfall amounts of two to six inches are possible this
evening with locally higher amounts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
Residents living along streams and creeks and poor drainage
areas should take immediate precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3006 9370 3009 9373 3014 9369 3040 9373
      3040 9349 3049 9349 3049 9339 3040 9338
      3044 9278 3049 9277 3049 9263 3009 9262
      3004 9272 3004 9262 2994 9262 2994 9325
      3005 9328 3005 9333 2993 9334 2993 9376

$$


Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
402 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...HEAVY RAINS FROM HARVEY POISED TO BRING MORE FLOODING...

.Showers and thunderstorms associated with the outer bands of
Tropical Storm Harvey will continue to develop and move ashore
across Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana through much of
the coming week. Excessive rainfall amounts are likely through
Thursday, and with soil already saturated from recent rains,
flash flooding is likely.

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
290500-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170901T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
Including the cities of Fort Polk, Pickering, Leesville, Slagle,
Alexandria, Pineville, Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport,
Simmesport, Mansura, Bundick Lake, De Ridder, Fields, Oretta,
Oakdale, Kinder, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou,
Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Lake Charles, Sulphur,
Hathaway, Jennings, Topsy, Roanoke, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Crowley,
Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge,
Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux,
Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point,
Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista,
Stephensville, Hackberry, Johnson Bayou, Grand Lake, Klondike,
Cameron, Creole, Grand Chenier, Rutherford Beach, Town Bluff,
Fred, Hillister, Ivanhoe, Spurger, Warren, Woodville, Lumberton,
Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange,
Vidor, Bridge City, Holly Springs, Jasper, Kirbyville,
Magnolia Springs, Mt. Union, Roganville, Burkeville, Farrsville,
Jamestown, Newton, Wiergate, Bleakwood, Call, Gist, Buna,
Evadale, and Deweyville
402 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Louisiana and southeast Texas, including the
  following areas, in Louisiana, Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles,
  Beauregard, Calcasieu, East Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia,
  Jefferson Davis, Lafayette, Lower St. Martin, Rapides, St.
  Landry, St. Mary, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Vernon, and
  West Cameron. In southeast Texas, Hardin, Jefferson, Northern
  Jasper, Northern Newton, Orange, Southern Jasper, Southern
  Newton, and Tyler.

* Through Thursday evening

* Areal rainfall amounts of 10 to 15 inches are expected across
  Southeast Texas, Southwest Louisiana and portions of South-
  Central Louisiana, with 5 to 10 inches expected across Central
  Louisiana. Intense rainfall rates may overwhelm local drainage
  capacity.

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways,
  remember to turn around, don`t drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

25



Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
226 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Louisiana...Texas...

  Calcasieu River Near Oakdale
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Sabine River Near Orange

...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to Minor Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau

...Observed Flooding Changed from Minor to Nonflood Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile

LAC019-TXC361-290925-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0116.170830T1000Z-170903T0200Z/
/ORNT2.1.ER.170830T1000Z.170830T1200Z.170902T0200Z.NO/
226 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Sabine River Near Orange.
* from late Tuesday night to Saturday evening...or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  1:46 PM Monday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 4.1 feet by early Friday morning. the river will
  fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Moderate flooding can be
  expected along the river with some roads in Orange likely flooded.
  Back water flooding can also be expected along Adams Bayou in
  Orange.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Flooding of mainly secondary
  roads near the river can be expected. Steward Road may become
  impassable near the weigh station in Louisiana. The Louisiana weigh
  station is flooded. Water surrounds the Louisiana and Texas welcome
  centers.

&&

LAT...LON 3018 9376 3018 9365 3014 9363 2998 9372
      3001 9381

$$



Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 474
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

TORNADO WATCH 474 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

LAC001-005-007-019-023-033-045-047-051-053-055-057-063-071-075-
087-089-093-095-099-101-103-105-109-113-121-290500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0474.170828T1715Z-170829T0500Z/

LA
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA               ASCENSION           ASSUMPTION
CALCASIEU            CAMERON             EAST BATON ROUGE
IBERIA               IBERVILLE           JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS      LAFAYETTE           LAFOURCHE
LIVINGSTON           ORLEANS             PLAQUEMINES
ST. BERNARD          ST. CHARLES         ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. MARTIN          ST. MARY
ST. TAMMANY          TANGIPAHOA          TERREBONNE
VERMILION            WEST BATON ROUGE
$$



Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage
  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Village Creek Near Kountze
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State Park

LAC019-290551-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0100.170829T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCRL1.1.ER.170829T0000Z.170831T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State
  Park.
* from this evening until further notice...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to
  rise to near 6.0 feet by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At stages near 6.5 feet...Portions of South Perkins Ferry
  Road become impassable. Recreational areas in Sam Houston Jones
  State Park are under water, including the playground and campsites
  nearest the river.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Low spots on South Perkins
  Ferry Road have water on it. Water is over some boat docks on South
  Perkins Ferry Road and over boat ramps at Sam Houston Jones State
  Park. Extensive marshland flooding will occur upstream and
  downstream from the park.

&&

LAT...LON 3032 9323 3028 9323 3028 9331 3030 9332 3032 9329

$$


Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage
  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Village Creek Near Kountze
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State Park

LAC019-290551-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCHL1.2.FS.170826T1645Z.170831T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.5 feet by
  Thursday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At stages near 6.0 feet...Significant flooding of
  numerous recreational camps and homes will occur. River Road and
  much of Mims Road are impassable.
* Impact...At stages near 5.5 feet...Access roads including River
  Road in North Lake Charles and Mims Road in Westlake become
  impassable to some vehicles.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...River Road in North Lake
  Charles and Mims Road in Westlake are flooded. Extensive marshland
  flooding will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 4.5 feet...Water covers portions of River
  Road in north Lake Charles.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor marshland flooding
  occurs. Flooding also begins on River Road in north Lake Charles.

&&

LAT...LON 3036 9309 3029 9303 3014 9328 3017 9335 3035 9332

$$


Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage
  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Village Creek Near Kountze
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State Park

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-290551-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DWYT2.2.ER.170828T1352Z.170901T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.2 feet by
  Thursday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 27.0 feet...Widespread moderate lowland
  flooding will occur. Homes in Deweyville closest to the river are
  flooded. Flooding of homes in the Indian Lakes and River Oaks
  sections will also occur. Low-lying roads and a few homes in
  Southwest Beauregard Parish have some flooding.
* Impact...At stages near 26.8 feet...Deweyville schools may be
  closed due to school bus routes being flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 26.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding will
  occur. The lowest homes between Deweyville and the river begin to
  flood, especially in the Indian Lakes and River Oaks sections.
  Low-lying roads and a few homes in Southwestern Beauregard Parish
  have some flooding.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river
  flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition,
  low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded
  including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of
  Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around
  the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County
  become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will
  occur.
* Impact...At stages near 23.0 feet...The river is at bankfull
  stage.

&&

LAT...LON 3057 9363 3011 9364 3011 9378 3031 9381
      3062 9378

$$


Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage
  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Village Creek Near Kountze
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State Park

LAC019-290551-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.2.FS.170827T1000Z.170831T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  5:00 AM Monday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 6.5 feet by
  Thursday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 7.0 feet...Lower end of Pickrel Lane near
  the river begins to flood. Goos Ferry Road is impassable. Closure
  of the Calcasieu River to recreational boat traffic is likely from
  the Saltwater Barrier to the parish line.
* Impact...At stages near 6.0 feet...Goos Ferry Road becomes
  impassable. Calcasieu River from the Saltwater Barrier to the
  parish line may be closed to recreational boat traffic.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Water over lowest portions of
  Goos Ferry Road. Cars should be moved to higher ground.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry
  Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots
  along Goos Ferry Road will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329

$$


images (24)

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
635 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
291200-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
635 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Heavy rainfall from slowly moving Tropical Storm Harvey along the
Texas coast will produce several rounds of training showers and
thunderstorms across Southeast Texas, Central and Southern
Louisiana. A flash flood watch for the entire area continues.

The prolonged east to southeast winds will lead to minor coastal
flooding across Southeast Texas and Southwestern Louisiana.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Continued heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Harvey will continue
through Thursday. The chances of precipitation will slowly diminish
Friday into the Labor Day weekend and the entire system moves
further inland and weakens.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be required.

images (24)


Click on the location for previous observations
Location Sky/Weather Temperature Dewpoint Humidity Wind Pressure Obs Time
Lake Charles
Rain Fog/Mist
73.0

°F

73.0

°F

100

%

East at 16.1 MPH (14 KT)
29.75

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:53 pm CDT
Alexandria
Mostly Cloudy
72.0

°F

71.1

°F

97

%

Northeast at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
29.84

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:53 pm CDT
Beaumont
Overcast
75.0

°F

71.6

°F

89

%

Not available
29.71

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
De Quincy
Rain
71.0

°F

70.0

°F

96

%

from the Northeast at 6.9 gusting to 17.3 MPH (6 gusting to 15 KT)
29.78

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
De Ridder
Light Rain
72.0

°F

70.3

°F

96

%

Northeast at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
29.82

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
Fort Polk
Light Rain Fog/Mist
71.0

°F

69.8

°F

95

%

Northeast at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
29.81

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:58 pm CDT
Jasper
Light Rain
73.0

°F

71.6

°F

96

%

from the Northeast at 12.7 gusting to 19.6 MPH (11 gusting to 17 KT)
29.83

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
Jennings
Rain and Breezy
73.0

°F

71.1

°F

92

%

East at 21.9 MPH (19 KT)
29.75

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
Lafayette
Overcast
75.0

°F

73.0

°F

94

%

from the East at 9.2 gusting to 17.3 MPH (8 gusting to 15 KT)
29.79

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:53 pm CDT
Nederland/Port Arthur
Overcast and Breezy
75.0

°F

72.0

°F

90

%

from the Northeast at 21.9 gusting to 33.4 MPH (19 gusting to 29 KT)
29.69

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:53 pm CDT
New Iberia
Overcast and Breezy
76.0

°F

71.1

°F

85

%

from the East at 21.9 gusting to 29.9 MPH (19 gusting to 26 KT)
29.78

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:53 pm CDT
Opelousas
Overcast
72.0

°F

70.0

°F

93

%

East at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
29.80

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
Orange
Overcast
75.0

°F

73.0

°F

93

%

from the Northeast at 17.3 gusting to 26.5 MPH (15 gusting to 23 KT)
29.74

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:55 pm CDT
Patterson
Mostly Cloudy
77.0

°F

73.9

°F

90

%

from the East at 15.0 gusting to 23.0 MPH (13 gusting to 20 KT)
29.80

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:56 pm CDT
Pineville
Overcast
72.0

°F

71.1

°F

97

%

East at 4.6 MPH (4 KT)
29.85

inches

Last Updated on Aug 28 2017, 6:53 pm CDT

Henry Already!!! Say it’s not so!

mcd1593

 Mesoscale Discussion 1593
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0358 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

   Areas affected...Coastal LA and southeast TX

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 474...

   Valid 282058Z - 282230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 474 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat is expected to remain isolated, but a
   brief tornado cannot be ruled out.

   DISCUSSION...Substantial rain and storms have produced outflow and
   reinforced the front across much of the area with surface winds
   mainly out of the northeast. East to southeasterly winds do exist
   south of the main boundary, which currently exists near the coast.

   A line of storms extends from southwestern LA southward, with some
   cellular structures within. As these cells continue to train
   northward, they will encounter the surface front and may acquire
   rotation briefly with effective SRH on the order of 200 M2/s2.

   Farther west, storms over southeast TX are moving cyclonically
   northwestward around TC Harvey. Some of these cells may also contain
   a threat briefly as they cross the aforementioned boundary.

   ..Jewell.. 08/28/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...HGX...

   LAT...LON   30449196 30389328 30339409 30159448 29889466 29629447
               29589415 29699344 29569283 29419194 29339164 29509123
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0474.html
validww

US (3)


Click on the links above for information on the various watches and warnings.  It looks as if Harvey could have yet another life.

two_atl_0d0 (1).png

GULFIR172402015

weather.gov     images (24)National Weather ServiceWatches, Warnings & AdvisoriesGo to the NOAA HomepageNWS Homepage
Local weather forecast by “City, St” or zip code 

 
8 products issued by NWS for: Orange County Airport TX


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
635 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
291200-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
635 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Heavy rainfall from slowly moving Tropical Storm Harvey along the
Texas coast will produce several rounds of training showers and
thunderstorms across Southeast Texas, Central and Southern
Louisiana. A flash flood watch for the entire area continues.

The prolonged east to southeast winds will lead to minor coastal
flooding across Southeast Texas and Southwestern Louisiana.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Continued heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Harvey will continue
through Thursday. The chances of precipitation will slowly diminish
Friday into the Labor Day weekend and the entire system moves
further inland and weakens.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be required.

$$


Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
416 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

TXC199-241-245-361-282245-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-170828T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson TX-Hardin TX-Orange TX-Jasper TX-
416 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

...THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR Jefferson and Hardin
Counties...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
JEFFERSON...HARDIN...ORANGE AND SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES...

At 411 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
that heavy rain was once again falling over the area that has.
received a tremndous amount of rainfall the past few days. Flash
flooding is currently ogoing with evacuations ongoing along Taylors,
Hillebrandt, and Pine Island Bayous.

This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Jefferson and Hardin Counties.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches, Lumberton,
Vidor, Bridge City, Silsbee, Kountze, Sour Lake, Nome, Evadale,
Central Gardens, Thicket, Saratoga, Hamshire, Wildwood, Mauriceville
and Buna.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to three inches with locally
higher amounts are possible in the warned area for the remainder of
the afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3049 9473 3049 9454 3053 9454 3052 9393
      3024 9390 3024 9384 3001 9376 2999 9386
      2993 9386 2984 9395 2979 9395 2968 9385
      2967 9405 2956 9435 2989 9436 2989 9444
      3011 9445 3011 9460

$$



Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
402 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...HEAVY RAINS FROM HARVEY POISED TO BRING MORE FLOODING...

.Showers and thunderstorms associated with the outer bands of
Tropical Storm Harvey will continue to develop and move ashore
across Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana through much of
the coming week. Excessive rainfall amounts are likely through
Thursday, and with soil already saturated from recent rains,
flash flooding is likely.

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
290500-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170901T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
Including the cities of Fort Polk, Pickering, Leesville, Slagle,
Alexandria, Pineville, Effie, Marksville, Bunkie, Cottonport,
Simmesport, Mansura, Bundick Lake, De Ridder, Fields, Oretta,
Oakdale, Kinder, Ville Platte, Beaver, St. Landry, Mamou,
Reddell, Lawtell, Opelousas, Eunice, Lake Charles, Sulphur,
Hathaway, Jennings, Topsy, Roanoke, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Crowley,
Rayne, Branch, Church Point, Richard, Lafayette, Breaux Bridge,
Cade, St. Martinville, Abbeville, Intracoastal City, Meaux,
Forked Island, Kaplan, New Iberia, Morgan City, Burns Point,
Centerville, Franklin, Patterson, Berwick, Bayou Vista,
Stephensville, Hackberry, Johnson Bayou, Grand Lake, Klondike,
Cameron, Creole, Grand Chenier, Rutherford Beach, Town Bluff,
Fred, Hillister, Ivanhoe, Spurger, Warren, Woodville, Lumberton,
Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange,
Vidor, Bridge City, Holly Springs, Jasper, Kirbyville,
Magnolia Springs, Mt. Union, Roganville, Burkeville, Farrsville,
Jamestown, Newton, Wiergate, Bleakwood, Call, Gist, Buna,
Evadale, and Deweyville
402 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Louisiana and southeast Texas, including the
  following areas, in Louisiana, Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles,
  Beauregard, Calcasieu, East Cameron, Evangeline, Iberia,
  Jefferson Davis, Lafayette, Lower St. Martin, Rapides, St.
  Landry, St. Mary, Upper St. Martin, Vermilion, Vernon, and
  West Cameron. In southeast Texas, Hardin, Jefferson, Northern
  Jasper, Northern Newton, Orange, Southern Jasper, Southern
  Newton, and Tyler.

* Through Thursday evening

* Areal rainfall amounts of 10 to 15 inches are expected across
  Southeast Texas, Southwest Louisiana and portions of South-
  Central Louisiana, with 5 to 10 inches expected across Central
  Louisiana. Intense rainfall rates may overwhelm local drainage
  capacity.

* The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor
  drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways,
  remember to turn around, don`t drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

25



Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
331 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Louisiana...

  Bayou Vermilion Near Carencro

...Observed Flooding Changed from Minor to Minor Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...Texas...
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...Texas...
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont

291031-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NSBT2.3.ER.170827T1530Z.170902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
331 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
 the Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Monday the stage was 6.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 10.0 feet...Major flooding along the river
  including Northwest Orange County From Lake View to the Saltwater
  Barrier with several homes and camps flooded. Flooding is also
  occurring along the river in Beaumont.
* Impact...At stages near 9.5 feet...Major flooding in Lakeview
  Estates.
* Impact...At stages near 8.0 feet...Widespread flooding, especially
  in Northwest Orange County from Lake View downstream to the
  Saltwater Barrier. Several homes and camps are flooded or
  threatened.

&&

LAT...LON 3033 9404 3008 9401 3008 9413 3033 9421

$$

TXC245-361-291030-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BEAT2.3.ER.170827T2236Z.170902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
331 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
 the Neches River Near Beaumont.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.2 feet by
  Saturday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At stages near 13.0 feet...River is near flood of record
  which occurred October 1994. Widespread major flooding is
  occurring. Numerous homes in Northeast Beaumont and Rose City are
  flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 11.0 feet...Major flooding occurs at
  Colliers Ferry Park and around the Beaumont Country Club.
  Residential roads off of Pine Street are impassable and water up to
  homes. Several streets in Northeast Beaumont also become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 7.5 feet...Moderate flooding is occurring.
  River levels are near those reached during Tropical Storm Allison
  in June 2001. Flooding of Colliers Ferry Park and secondary roads
  near the river can be expected.



&&

LAT...LON 3019 9417 3023 9411 3004 9378 2992 9387 2998 9406

$$


Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
226 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

...The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Louisiana...Texas...

  Calcasieu River Near Oakdale
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Sabine River Near Orange

...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to Minor Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau

...Observed Flooding Changed from Minor to Nonflood Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile

LAC019-TXC361-290925-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0116.170830T1000Z-170903T0200Z/
/ORNT2.1.ER.170830T1000Z.170830T1200Z.170902T0200Z.NO/
226 PM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Sabine River Near Orange.
* from late Tuesday night to Saturday evening...or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  1:46 PM Monday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue
  to rise to near 4.1 feet by early Friday morning. the river will
  fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Moderate flooding can be
  expected along the river with some roads in Orange likely flooded.
  Back water flooding can also be expected along Adams Bayou in
  Orange.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Flooding of mainly secondary
  roads near the river can be expected. Steward Road may become
  impassable near the weigh station in Louisiana. The Louisiana weigh
  station is flooded. Water surrounds the Louisiana and Texas welcome
  centers.

&&

LAT...LON 3018 9376 3018 9365 3014 9363 2998 9372
      3001 9381

$$




Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning
LAC011-019-023-053-TXC351-361-282345-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FF.W.0067.000000T0000Z-170828T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1232 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Cameron Parish in southwestern Louisiana...
  Jefferson Davis Parish in southwestern Louisiana...
  Southwestern Beauregard Parish in southwestern Louisiana...
  Calcasieu Parish in southwestern Louisiana...
  Southwestern Newton County in southeastern Texas...
  Eastern Orange County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 645 PM CDT Monday

* At 1228 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
  scattered heavy rain showers continue falling across the warned
  area. Flash flooding is already occurring per stream gauges
  located across the area with rapid rises noted on some gauges with
  several secondary roads becoming flooded. Rainfall since this
  morning has been between two and four inches with an additional
  two to four inches expected across the area this afternoon.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Lake Charles, Sulphur, Orange, Jennings, Westlake, West Orange,
  Welsh, Vinton, Iowa, Lake Arthur, Elton, Fenton, Grand Lake,
  Deweyville, Hayes, Moss Bluff, De Quincy, Lacassine National
  Wildlife Refuge, Lake Charles Regional Airport and Starks.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
Residents living along streams and creeks or poor drainage
areas should take immediate precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 2993 9324 2997 9327 3002 9327 3005 9329
      3005 9333 2993 9334 2993 9376 3040 9389
      3052 9389 3050 9313 3042 9313 3044 9278
      3049 9277 3049 9263 3008 9263 3004 9272
      3004 9263 2993 9263

$$



Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 474
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

TORNADO WATCH 474 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC245-361-290500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0474.170828T1715Z-170829T0500Z/

TX
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

JEFFERSON            ORANGE
$$



Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Bayou Des Cannes NEAR Eunice
  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
  Bayou Nezpique Near Basile
  Mermentau River Near Mermentau
  Vermilion River At Lafayette, Surrey Street Gage
  Bayou Anacoco Near Rosepine
  Sabine River Near Bon Wier
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Neches River Near Town Bluff
  Neches River Near Evadale
  Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
  Neches River Near Beaumont
  Village Creek Near Kountze
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
  Bundick Creek At Bundick Lake
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State Park

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-290551-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DWYT2.2.ER.170828T1352Z.170901T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Mon Aug 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.2 feet by
  Thursday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At stages near 27.0 feet...Widespread moderate lowland
  flooding will occur. Homes in Deweyville closest to the river are
  flooded. Flooding of homes in the Indian Lakes and River Oaks
  sections will also occur. Low-lying roads and a few homes in
  Southwest Beauregard Parish have some flooding.
* Impact...At stages near 26.8 feet...Deweyville schools may be
  closed due to school bus routes being flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 26.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding will
  occur. The lowest homes between Deweyville and the river begin to
  flood, especially in the Indian Lakes and River Oaks sections.
  Low-lying roads and a few homes in Southwestern Beauregard Parish
  have some flooding.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river
  flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition,
  low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded
  including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of
  Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around
  the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County
  become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will
  occur.
* Impact...At stages near 23.0 feet...The river is at bankfull

Go away Harvey…

212527_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind (1)

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Harvey Intermediate Advisory Number 26A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
700 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

…TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD…
…TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE…

 

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.2N 97.4W
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM NW OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 70 MI…115 KM ESE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 060 DEGREES AT 2 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…992 MB…29.29 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas to High Island Texas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Baffin Bay to High Island Texas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the
indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see
the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was
located by Doppler radar near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 97.4
West. Harvey has been drifting east-northeastward for the past few
hours. Little additional motion is anticipated during the next few
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next
day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center. San Marcos Regional Airport recently reported
sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a wind gust of 53 mph
(85 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 15 to 25 inches over the middle and upper Texas
coast through Thursday. Isolated storm totals may reach around 40
inches in this area. Elsewhere during the same period, Harvey is
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 15 inches
farther south toward the lower Texas coast, farther west toward the
Texas Hill Country and southwest and central Louisiana. Rainfall of
this magnitude will cause catastrophic and life-threatening
flooding. A list of rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Port Aransas to Sargent…4 to 7 ft
Sargent to High Island including Galveston Bay…2 to 4 ft
High Island to Morgan City…1 to 2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large
and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in portions of
the tropical storm warning area, and are likely to persist along
portions of the coast through at least Sunday.

SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the Texas,
Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through Monday near the
middle and upper Texas coast into far southwest Louisiana.

====================================================================

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
2100 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PORT ARANSAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* BAFFIN BAY TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE
INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC…
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT……. 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT……. 75NE 100SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 97.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.1N 97.6W…INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 75NE 100SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.9N 97.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 75NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.5N 97.3W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.3N 97.1W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 29.5N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 30.5N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 97.6

============================================================================

Tropical Storm Harvey Discussion Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

Harvey has continued to weaken while located inland over Texas.
Doppler radar data indicate that winds are now 55 kt, and since
there are no surface observations near the center, this is the
intensity used in this advisory. A continued weakening is
anticipated, and the NHC forecast uses the trend provided by the
SHIPS decay model. However, if a large portion of Harvey’s
circulation remains over the Gulf of Mexico, the cyclone could
weaken at a slower rate than shown here.

Harvey has barely moved during the past few hours and little motion
is anticipated. Since the steering currents are forecast to remain
light, Harvey could easily meander for the next 4 to 5 days over
southeast Texas as indicated in the NHC forecast. Guidance disagrees
in which direction the cyclone will move, but all the models agree
that any motion will be quite slow.

 

Key Messages:

1. While Harvey’s winds are decreasing, life-threatening hazards
will continue from heavy rainfall over much of southeastern
Texas and from storm surge along portions of the Texas coast.

2. Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is expected across the
middle and upper Texas coast from additional rainfall of 15 to
25 inches, with isolated storm totals as high as 40 inches, through
Thursday. Please heed the advice of local officials and do not
drive into flooded roadways. Refer to products from your local
National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction
Center for more information on the flooding hazard. A summary of
rainfall totals compiled by the Weather Prediction Center can be
found at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

3. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for portions of the
Texas coast. Life-threatening storm surge flooding will be slow to
recede due to the slow motion of Harvey and a prolonged period of
onshore flow. For a depiction of areas at risk, see the Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic at hurricanes.gov.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 29.1N 97.6W 55 KT 65 MPH…INLAND
12H 27/0600Z 29.1N 97.6W 45 KT 50 MPH…INLAND
24H 27/1800Z 28.9N 97.7W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
36H 28/0600Z 28.5N 97.3W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
48H 28/1800Z 28.3N 97.1W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
72H 29/1800Z 28.7N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
96H 30/1800Z 29.5N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
120H 31/1800Z 30.5N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND

====================================================================

 

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
2100 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS…65 MPH…100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

 

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)

SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)

FORT POLK LA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)

LAKE CHARLES 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)

CAMERON LA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)

JASPER TX 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)

KOUNTZE TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)

GALVESTON TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14)

HOUSTON TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 2(16)

AUSTIN TX 34 11 4(15) 2(17) 2(19) 3(22) 3(25) 1(26)
AUSTIN TX 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34 18 13(31) 2(33) 2(35) 2(37) 1(38) 1(39)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)

FREEPORT TX 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) 4(10) 6(16) 2(18) 1(19)
FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 1(14)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 2(11)

MATAGORDA TX 34 12 4(16) 4(20) 4(24) 5(29) 2(31) 1(32)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)

PORT O CONNOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT O CONNOR 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

ROCKPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ROCKPORT TX 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34 8 10(18) 10(28) 4(32) 4(36) 1(37) 1(38)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15)

MCALLEN TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)

HARLINGEN TX 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

============================================================

HARVEY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL092017
758 PM EDT SAT AUG 26 2017

.TROPICAL STORM HARVEY

CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.

TXZ234>238-245>247-270800-
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
658 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

$$

TXZ213-214-270800-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
658 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

$$

TXZ191-193-200-205>212-220>227-231>233-241>244-270800-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
658 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

$$

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...

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