BULLETIN
Hurricane Harvey Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
…HARVEY DRENCHING TEXAS…
…TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE DAYS…
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…28.9N 97.3W
ABOUT 25 MI…35 KM W OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 80 MI…130 KM ESE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 350 DEGREES AT 2 MPH…4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…984 MB…29.06 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Storm Surge Warning for the Texas coast south of Port Aransas
has been discontinued.
The Hurricane Warning for the Texas coast has been replaced with a
Tropical Storm Warning.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas to High Island Texas
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Baffin Bay to High Island Texas
Hurricane warnings continue for inland areas near the center of
Harvey. Please see products from your local National Weather
Service office.
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the
indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see
the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Harvey was
located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 97.3 West. Harvey is
moving slowly toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h), and little
motion is anticipated during the next several days.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. These winds are confined to a small area near the
center. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Harvey
is expected to become a tropical storm this afternoon.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
15 to 30 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches over the
middle and upper Texas coast through Thursday. During the same
time period Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 5 to 15 inches in far south Texas, the Texas Hill Country
and southwest and central Louisiana. Rainfall of this magnitude
will cause catastrophic and life-threatening flooding. A list of
rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center
can be found at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Port Aransas to Sargent…4 to 7 ft
Sargent to High Island including Galveston Bay…2 to 4 ft
High Island to Morgan City…1 to 3 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large
and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are occuring inland near the core
of Harvey. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in portions of
the tropical storm warning area, and are likely to persist along
portions of the coast through at least Sunday.
SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the Texas,
Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible today and tonight near the middle
and upper Texas coast into far southwest Louisiana.
============================================================================
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
============================================================================
HURRICANE HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
1500 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…
THE STORM SURGE WARNING FOR THE TEXAS COAST SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TEXAS COAST HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PORT ARANSAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* BAFFIN BAY TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
HURRICANE WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR INLAND AREAS NEAR THE CENTER OF
HARVEY. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE
INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC…
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 97.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT……. 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT……. 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…….120NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 97.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 97.2W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.1N 97.4W…INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 29.2N 97.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 29.0N 97.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.7N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.7N 96.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 29.5N 96.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 30.5N 96.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 97.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
===========================================================================
Hurricane Harvey Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
Harvey has been inland for about 12 hours and weakening is under
way. Doppler radar data indicate that winds have decreased to 65 kt,
and that is the intensity used in this advisory. Since Harvey is
over land, a continued weakening is anticipated, and the NHC
forecast uses the trend provided by the SHIPS decay model. However,
if a portion of Harvey’s circulation remains over the Gulf of
Mexico, the cyclone could weaken at a slower rate than shown here.
The hurricane is moving very slowly toward the north at about 2 kt.
Harvey is embedded within very light steering currents, and global
models keep this weak flow in place for the next several days. Based
on this pattern, Harvey could easily meander for the next 4 to 5
days over southeast Texas as indicated in the NHC forecast. The only
agreement among the track guidance is that Harvey is certainly not
going anywhere fast.
This slow motion of the cyclone is expected to exacerbate the
potential for catastrophic flooding from heavy rainfall at least
through the middle of next week.
Please note that hourly Tropical Cyclone Updates (TCUs) have been
discontinued due to the degradation of Harvey’s center on radar.
Key Messages:
1. While Harvey’s winds have begun to weaken, life-threatening
hazards will continue from heavy rainfall over much of southeastern
Texas and from storm surge along portions of the Texas coast.
2. Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is expected across the
middle and upper Texas coast from heavy rainfall of 15 to 30 inches,
with isolated amounts as high as 40 inches, through Thursday.
Please heed the advice of local officials and do not drive into
flooded roadways. Refer to products from your local National
Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for
more information on the flooding hazard. A summary of rainfall
totals compiled by the Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html
3. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for portions of the
Texas. Life-threatening storm surge flooding will be slow to recede
due to the slow motion of Harvey and a prolonged period of onshore
flow. For a depiction of areas at risk, see the Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic at hurricanes.gov.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/1500Z 28.9N 97.3W 65 KT 75 MPH…INLAND
12H 27/0000Z 29.1N 97.4W 45 KT 50 MPH…INLAND
24H 27/1200Z 29.2N 97.5W 40 KT 45 MPH…INLAND
36H 28/0000Z 29.0N 97.5W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
48H 28/1200Z 28.7N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
72H 29/1200Z 28.7N 96.7W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
96H 30/1200Z 29.5N 96.7W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
120H 31/1200Z 30.5N 96.5W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
============================================================================
HURRICANE HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
1500 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS…75 MPH…120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
FORT POLK LA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
LAKE CHARLES 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
CAMERON LA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9)
JASPER TX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9)
KOUNTZE TX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 2(12)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 2(11)
GALVESTON TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 5(11) 4(15) 2(17)
HOUSTON TX 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 4(19) 3(22) 2(24)
AUSTIN TX 34 16 18(34) 8(42) 3(45) 2(47) 1(48) X(48)
AUSTIN TX 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 17 20(37) 10(47) 2(49) 1(50) 1(51) 1(52)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
FREEPORT TX 34 6 4(10) 3(13) 5(18) 4(22) 2(24) 2(26)
FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 2(14)
MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT O CONNOR 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ROCKPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ROCKPORT TX 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 1(15)
MCALLEN TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
HARLINGEN TX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2(
=======================================================================
HARVEY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
148 PM EDT SAT AUG 26 2017
.TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
CAUTION…THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST…AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.
TXZ235>238-245>247-270200-
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ234-270200-
/O.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ222-224-233-270200-
/O.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ213-214-270200-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ191-193-200-205>212-220-221-223-225>227-231-232-241>244-270200-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
============================================================================
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
271030-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Harvey made landfall last night and has moved inland very slowly.
The majority of the rainbands continue across the central Texas
coast with this region this morning getting brushed but the outer
bands. A Tornado Watch continues for Jefferson... Hardin... and
Orange counties in southeast Texas. Rains will continue through
the day and into tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Harvey is expected to bring bands of showers and isolated
thunderstorms across the region through the weekend and into next
week. Rainfall will be heavy at times and flooding of some
locations is expected.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
$$
Severe Weather Statement
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1245 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
LAC019-261800-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170826T1800Z/
Calcasieu LA-
1245 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CALCASIEU PARISH...
At 1244 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Carlyss, or 8
miles southwest of Sulphur, moving north at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
Locations impacted include...
Vinton and Edgerly.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
&&
LAT...LON 3032 9365 3037 9341 3005 9335 3005 9348
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 162DEG 25KT 3014 9345
TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...0.00IN
$$
Jones
Tornado Warning
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1245 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
LAC019-261800-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0048.000000T0000Z-170826T1800Z/
Calcasieu LA-
1245 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CALCASIEU PARISH...
At 1244 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Carlyss, or 8
miles southwest of Sulphur, moving north at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Damaging tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
Locations impacted include...
Vinton and Edgerly.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!
&&
LAT...LON 3032 9365 3037 9341 3005 9335 3005 9348
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 162DEG 25KT 3014 9345
TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...0.00IN
$$
Jones
Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 468
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
TORNADO WATCH 468 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
LAC019-023-270700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0468.170826T1745Z-170827T0700Z/
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU CAMERON
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas...
Sabine River Near Deweyville
Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
Neches River Near Beaumont
Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
LAC011-019-TXC351-361-270601-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0096.170829T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.170829T0000Z.170830T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* from Monday evening until further notice...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to
rise to near 24.5 feet by Wednesday morning. This forecast is based
upon 72 hours of expected precipitation. Further rises based upon
continued rainfall are possible.
* Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Lowest roads beside the river
flood around Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition,
low-lying roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded
including Robert Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of
Niblett Bluff Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around
the park. Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County
become flooded.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will
occur.
* Impact...At stages near 23.0 feet...The river is at bankfull
stage.
&&
LAT...LON 3057 9363 3011 9364 3011 9378 3031 9381
3062 9378
$$
270601-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0097.170830T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/NSBT2.1.ER.170830T0600Z.170831T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier.
* from late Tuesday night until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Saturday the stage was 3.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and
continue to rise to near 4.6 feet by early Thursday morning.
This forecast is based upon 72 hours of expected precipitation.
Further rises based upon continued rainfall are possible.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Water is about two feet over
portions of Four Oaks Ranch Road.
&&
LAT...LON 3033 9404 3008 9401 3008 9413 3033 9421
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas...
Sabine River Near Deweyville
Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
Neches River Near Beaumont
Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
LAC019-270602-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OTBL1.1.FS.170826T1136Z.170829T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5:00 AM Saturday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to
rise to near 5.0 feet by Tuesday morning. This forecast is based upon
storm surge and 72 hours of expected precipitation. Further rises based upon
continued rainfall are possible.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Water over lowest portions of
Goos Ferry Road. Cars should be moved to higher ground.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Goos Ferry
Road will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 3.5 feet...Ponding of water on low spots
along Goos Ferry Road will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321 3030 9329
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas...
Sabine River Near Deweyville
Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier
Neches River Near Beaumont
Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana..
Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier
LAC019-270601-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LCHL1.1.FS.170826T1637Z.170829T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 5.5 feet by Tuesday morning. This forecast is based upon
storm surge and 72 hours of expected precipitation. Further rises based upon
continued rainfall are possible.
* Impact...At stages near 6.0 feet...Significant flooding of
numerous recreational camps and homes will occur. River Road and
much of Mims Road are impassable.
* Impact...At stages near 5.5 feet...Access roads including River
Road in North Lake Charles and Mims Road in Westlake become
impassable to some vehicles.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...River Road in North Lake
Charles and Mims Road in Westlake are flooded. Extensive marshland
flooding will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 4.5 feet...Water covers portions of River
Road in north Lake Charles.
* Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor marshland flooding
occurs. Flooding also begins on River Road in north Lake Charles.
&&
LAT...LON 3036 9309 3029 9303 3014 9328 3017 9335 3035 9332
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1054 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Louisiana...
West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State Park
LAC019-270554-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0100.170829T1200Z-170830T1800Z/
/LCRL1.1.ER.170829T1200Z.170829T1200Z.170829T1800Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the West Fork Of The Calcasieu River At Sam Houston Jones State
Park.
* from Tuesday morning to Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 2.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Tuesday morning. This forecast is based upon 72 hours of expected
precipitation. Further rises based upon continued rainfall are
possible.
* Impact...At stages near 5.0 feet...Low spots on South Perkins
Ferry Road have water on it. Water is over some boat docks on South
Perkins Ferry Road and over boat ramps at Sam Houston Jones State
Park. Extensive marshland flooding will occur upstream and
downstream from the park.
&&
LAT...LON 3032 9323 3028 9323 3028 9331 3030 9332 3032 9329
$$
Hurricane Local Statement
Hurricane Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 25
TXZ229>234-239>247-262345-
Hurricane Harvey Local Statement Advisory Number 25
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX AL092017
1035 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
This product covers SOUTH TEXAS
**HARVEY REMAINS A WEAK CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE OVER THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Duval,
and McMullen
- The Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning have been
cancelled and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for
Kleberg, Nueces, and San Patricio
- The Hurricane Warning has been cancelled and a Tropical Storm
Warning has been issued for Aransas, Bee, Calhoun, Jim Wells,
Live Oak and Refugio
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bee, Jim Wells,
Kleberg, Live Oak, Nueces, and San Patricio
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Victoria
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Aransas, Calhoun, and Refugio
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Goliad
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 60 miles west-northwest of Port O`Connor TX
- 28.9N 97.3W
- Storm Intensity 75 mph
- Movement North or 350 degrees at 2 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Harvey remains a Category 1 hurricane over Goliad and
Victoria Counties where Hurricane Warning continues. Hurricane Warning
has been replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning for the coastal
counties of the Middle Texas coast, as well as the inland counties of
the Coastal Bend, and the coastal waters. Harvey will continue to move
slowly northwest today across South Texas and become a Tropical Storm.
Harvey will slow down and stall northwest of Cuero tonight and then
drift southeast back toward the coast Sunday through Tuesday.
Hurricane force wind gusts will continue to affect portions of Goliad
and Victoria counties, mainly through early this afternoon. Meanwhile,
tropical storm force winds will continue to impact portions of South
Texas generally east of Highway 281 for most of today.
Catastrophic life-threatening flooding is still expected due to the
heavy rainfall that is expected over the next several days. Storm
total rainfall accumulations will be as much as 20 to 30 inches of
rainfall with isolated 40 inches across eastern portions of South
Texas, mainly east of a line from Rockport to Goliad. West of that
area up to highway 16, generally 5 to 15 inches of rainfall will be
possible with isolated 20 inches possible. West of highway 16,
generally 5 inches or less of rainfall is expected.
Storm surge inundation will remain from 4 to 7 feet from Port Aransas
to Port Lavaca today. Flooding from storm surge inundation will
gradually subside through the day. South of Port Aransas, offshore
winds have provided a significant decrease in tide levels.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible along and to the east of a line
from Port Aransas to Beeville.
Mandatory evacuations are in effect for the following areas:
- Port Aransas
- Aransas County
- Refugio County
- San Patricio County
- Victoria County
- Calhoun County
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads area, mainly east of Highway
281. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood waters having
possible catastrophic impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
or washed out.
* SURGE:
Impacts from the surge event are now unfolding across the Middle Texas
coast between Port Aransas and Port Lavaca. Tide inundation levels will
continue to be from 4 to 7 feet AGL. Remain well away from
life-threatening surge having additional extensive impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.
* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads area, mainly east of Interstate
37. If realized, these impacts include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across SOUTH TEXAS, little to no impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across the
Victoria Crossroads. If realized, these impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across SOUTH TEXAS, little to no impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
RECOVERY PHASE - Do not return to evacuated areas until it is safe.
Listen for the all-clear signal from local authorities.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Corpus Christi TX around 1 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
89
Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1043 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Atascosa River At Whitsett affecting Live Oak County
Aransas River Near Skidmore affecting Bee County
San Antonio River At Goliad affecting Calhoun...Goliad...Refugio and
Victoria Counties
Coleto Creek At Arnold Road Crossing affecting Goliad and Victoria
Counties
Coleto Creek At Highway 59, Victoria affecting Victoria County
Guadalupe River At Victoria affecting Victoria County
Guadalupe River Near Bloomington affecting Calhoun...Refugio and
Victoria Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County
.Recent and anticipated rainfall over the area will bring the
aforementioned rivers above flood stage for the next few days.
These forecasts are based on 72 hours of forecast rainfall
over the area, and are subject to change with rainfall
forecasts. Also additional rainfall beyond 72 hours will
result in possibly even higher rises.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local TV and radio
stations, or cable TV outlets, for the latest weather
information, as additional rainfall could affect crest
forecasts.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our AHPS page at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=crp
&&
TXC175-469-270942-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0021.170826T1701Z-170831T0503Z/
/SCDT2.3.ER.170826T1701Z.170828T1800Z.170830T1303Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for the Coleto Creek At Arnold Road
Crossing.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:45 AM Saturday, the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by this afternoon, and continue
to rise to near 31.0 feet by early Monday afternoon. The river will
fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
FLD LATEST FORECAST 6 AM LST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Coleto Creek
Arnold Road Crossing 15 10.4 Sat 10 AM 29.5 30.2 25.8 15.3 10.1
&&
LAT...LON 2888 9729 2893 9721 2874 9710 2871 9722
$$
Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1043 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Atascosa River At Whitsett affecting Live Oak County
Aransas River Near Skidmore affecting Bee County
San Antonio River At Goliad affecting Calhoun...Goliad...Refugio and
Victoria Counties
Coleto Creek At Arnold Road Crossing affecting Goliad and Victoria
Counties
Coleto Creek At Highway 59, Victoria affecting Victoria County
Guadalupe River At Victoria affecting Victoria County
Guadalupe River Near Bloomington affecting Calhoun...Refugio and
Victoria Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
Mission River At Refugio affecting Refugio County
.Recent and anticipated rainfall over the area will bring the
aforementioned rivers above flood stage for the next few days.
These forecasts are based on 72 hours of forecast rainfall
over the area, and are subject to change with rainfall
forecasts. Also additional rainfall beyond 72 hours will
result in possibly even higher rises.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local TV and radio
stations, or cable TV outlets, for the latest weather
information, as additional rainfall could affect crest
forecasts.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our AHPS page at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=crp
&&
TXC057-175-391-469-270942-
/O.EXT.KCRP.FL.W.0022.170828T1041Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLIT2.3.ER.170828T1041Z.170830T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for the San Antonio River At Goliad.
* from late Sunday night, until further notice, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9 AM Saturday, the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage late Sunday night, and continue to
rise to near 39.6 feet by Wednesday morning.
* At 40.0 feet, major flooding occurs. Nearly all of Goliad State Park
floods, except the headquarters area and mission, causing major
damage to the park. Many secondary and primary roads and low bridges
flood. The flow is within a few feet of the lowest residences in the
south edge of Goliad and Highway 183. Hundreds of livestock are cut
off, and can potentially drown in the flood plain below Falls City to
the Guadalupe River confluence.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and stage forecasts:
FLD LATEST FORECAST 6 AM LST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
San Antonio River
Goliad 25 10.1 Sat 09 AM 17.4 25.7 36.6 39.6 38.0
&&
LAT...LON 2871 9772 2878 9762 2855 9690 2848 9692
2863 9759
$$
Hurricane Warning
Harvey Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 25
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX AL092017
1017 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
TXZ233-262330-
/O.CON.KCRP.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KCRP.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Goliad-
1017 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Goliad
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 50-65 mph with gusts to 80 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Sunday
afternoon
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: High
- The wind threat has decreased from the previous assessment.
- Remain braced against the reasonable threat for hurricane
force wind of 75 mph of equivalent Category 1 intensity.
- To be safe, efforts should fully focus on protecting life.
Properties remain subject to extensive wind impacts.
- Now is the time to urgently hide from the wind. Failure to
adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Remain sheltered until the hazardous wind subsides.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 18-24 inches, with
locally higher amounts
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- Emergency considerations should include a threat of
flooding.
- Be safe and remain ready to protect against flooding rain
impacts.
- If flood related watches and warnings are in effect, heed
recommended actions.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations
and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their
banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams,
creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood
control systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures
with some weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- Emergency considerations should include a reasonable threat
for tornadoes.
- Be safe and remain ready to protect against tornado
impacts. Stay informed.
- Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado
approaches, quickly move to the safest place within your
shelter.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=crp
$$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
852 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
San Antonio River near Floresville Affecting Karnes and Wilson Counties
San Antonio River Near near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
San Antonio River at Hwy 72 nr Runge Affecting Goliad and Karnes Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 72 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC175-255-270751-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0028.170827T1415Z-000000T0000Z/
/SRRT2.3.ER.170827T1415Z.170830T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
852 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
The flood warning continues for
the San Antonio River at Hwy 72 nr Runge.
* At 8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to
rise to near 46.2 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Imapct...At 39.0 feet...Water is well into the floodplain. No impacts to roads
or structures. Cattle and farm equipment should have been removed from the
floodplain or face the threat of being cut off lost.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Hwy 72 nr Runge 22 27 10.8 Sat 08 AM 24.9 39.9 45.5 46.0 42.7
&&
LAT...LON 2883 9779 2890 9772 2876 9764 2872 9770
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
621 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-271130-
Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas-
Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O`Connor-
Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-
Jim Wells-Kleberg-Nueces-San Patricio-Aransas-Refugio-Calhoun-
621 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
This hazardous weather outlook is for South Texas and the Middle
Texas Coastal Waters.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Thunderstorms will continue to be possible within rain bands from
Hurricane Harvey.
Hurricane warnings continue this morning for much of the area and
will likely be replaced by Tropical Storm warnings as they are
cancelled today.
Very heavy rainfall will continue today and tonight with 20 to 30
inches of rain possible with isolated 40 inch totals north of a
line from Rockport to Goliad.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Although Harvey will weaken, it is expected to meander near South
Texas over the next couple of days, resulting in a continuance of
heavy rainfall, flash flooding and strong winds. Harvey is
forecast to begin to moving away from South Texas early next
week, gradually bringing diminishing rainfall chances through the
rest of the week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is anticipated. Spotter safety is of highest
concern, but any information that can be relayed is appreciated.
$$
Flash Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
427 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...Life threatening flooding from excessive rainfall expected
across South Texas Today through the weekend...
.Heavy rains from Hurricane Harvey will continue across much of
South Texas through the weekend. Catastrophic and life
threatening flooding from excessive rainfall is expected as
Hurricane Harvey meanders slowly through the region through
Tuesday. A Flash Flood watch is now in effect through Tuesday
evening.
TXZ230>234-240>247-261730-
/O.CON.KCRP.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170830T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Duval-Jim Wells-Kleberg-
Nueces-San Patricio-Aransas-Refugio-Calhoun-
Including the cities of Calliham, Cross, Loma Alta, Tilden,
George West, Three Rivers, Beeville, Goliad, Victoria, Freer,
Benavides, San Diego, Alice, Orange Grove, Kingsville,
Corpus Christi, Portland, Ingleside, Aransas Pass, Sinton,
Mathis, Rockport, Refugio, Woodsboro, and Port Lavaca
427 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* A portion of south Texas, including the following areas,
Aransas, Bee, Calhoun, Duval, Goliad, Jim Wells, Kleberg, Live
Oak, McMullen, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio, and Victoria.
* Through Tuesday evening
* Heavy rains from Harvey will impact much of South Texas late
this week into the weekend. A prolonged heavy rain and flash
flood threat may evolve over parts of the area. The heaviest
rains are most likely to occur east of Interstate 37. Rainfall
amounts of 20 to 30 inches are expected north and east of a
line from Port Aransas to Goliad with isolated higher amounts
possible. 10 to 20 inches of rain are likely south and west of
this line to Hwy 281. Lower rainfall amounts will occur
further to the west, but significant flooding will still be
possible.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
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