Hurricane Irma go West!!!~

mfl

This current fix (position) is helpful for me.   My daughter resides in Palm Beach and while Irma’s tentacles stretch encompasses most of the southern 2-3rds of Florida, it would be beneficial for me and a great many of Florida.

214634_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

Latest data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane a few hours ago
indicate that Irma’s intensity continues to fluctuate, and the
winds are estimated at 135 kt. The last minimum central pressure
was 925 mb. Another reconnaissance plane will check Irma soon.

The environment is favorable for Irma to maintain its category 4
status, and only unpredictable eyewall replacement cycles could
result in intensity fluctuations during the next 48 hours. The
interaction of the hurricane’s circulation with Cuba will probably
not result in any relevant change in intensity. In summary, the NHC
forecast brings Irma near south Florida as a category 4 hurricane.
After landfall, interaction with land and an increase in wind shear
should induce gradual weakening.

Satellite images and radar fixes from Cuba indicate that Irma has
slowed down and is now moving toward the west or 280 degrees at
about 10 kt. The hurricane should continue on this track for the
next 12 hours to 24 hours, and this track will bring the core of
Irma very close to the north coast of Cuba. After that time, Irma
should reach the southwestern edge of the subtropical high and begin
to move toward the northwest and north-northwest toward the Florida
peninsula. The precise moment of this turn is still uncertain, and
that is why NHC emphasizes that nobody should focus on the exact
track of the center. This afternoon’s NHC forecast was again
adjusted a little bit westward following the trend of the ECMWF
model and both the HFIP corrected consensus and the FSU
Superensemble. In fact, these 3 aids continued to be tightly packed.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Irma will continue to bring life-threatening wind, storm surge,
and rainfall hazards to portions of the Bahamas and the north coast
of Cuba, especially over the adjacent Cuban Keys, through Saturday.

2. Irma is expected to make landfall in Florida as an extremely
dangerous major hurricane, and will bring life-threatening wind
impacts to much of the state regardless of the exact track of the
center.

3. There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation in
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next 36 hours,
where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. The threat of significant
storm surge flooding along the southwest coast of Florida has
increased, and 8 to 12 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in this area. This is a life-threatening situation.
Everyone in these areas should take all actions to protect life and
property from rising water and follow evacuation instructions from
local officials.

4. Irma is expected to produce very heavy rain and inland flooding.
Total rain accumulations of 8 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of
20 inches are expected over the Florida Keys and much of the Florida
peninsula through Tuesday night. The highest amounts are expected
over the eastern Florida peninsula and upper Florida Keys. Irma
will likely bring periods of heavy rain to much of Georgia, South
Carolina, and western North Carolina early next week, including some
mountainous areas which are more prone to flash flooding. All areas
seeing heavy rainfall from Irma will experience a risk of flooding
and flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/2100Z 22.1N 76.5W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 09/0600Z 22.4N 78.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
24H 09/1800Z 23.0N 79.9W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 10/0600Z 24.1N 81.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
48H 10/1800Z 25.7N 81.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
72H 11/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W 50 KT 60 MPH…INLAND
96H 12/1800Z 35.0N 85.9W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
120H 13/1800Z 35.6N 87.0W 20 KT 25 MPH…POST-TROP/INLAND

=============================================================

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GULFWV172512145

214634 (1)

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

…HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS…
…HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA…

 

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…22.1N 76.5W
ABOUT 195 MI…310 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 345 MI…555 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…155 MPH…250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…925 MB…27.32 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward for east coast of
Florida to Sebastian Inlet, and along the west coast of the
peninsula northward to Anna Maria Island.

The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward along the west coast
of Florida to Suwannee River.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued north of Venice to the Anclote
River, including Tampa Bay, and from Ponce Inlet to the Flagler/
Volusia County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Venice
* Florida Keys

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County line
* North of Venice to Anclote River
* Tampa Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Anna
Maria Island
* Florida Keys
* Lake Okeechobee
* Florida Bay
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and
Villa Clara
* Central Bahamas
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County Line
* North of Anna Maria Island to the Suwannee River
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United
States should monitor the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 76.5 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest
is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of
Irma should continue to move near the north coast of Cuba and the
central Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and be near the Florida
Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
to continue during the next day or two, and Irma is expected to
remain a powerful category 4 hurricane as it approaches Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

SW Florida from Captiva to Cape Sable…8 to 12 ft
Cape Sable to Boca Raton including the Florida Key…5 to 10 ft
Venice to Captiva…5 to 8 ft
Anclote River to Venice including Tampa Bay…3 to 5 ft
Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County line…3 to 6 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

The combination of a life-threatening storm surge and large breaking
waves will raise water levels ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS by the
following amounts within the hurricane warning area near and to the
north of the center of Irma. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Southeastern and central Bahamas…15 to 20 ft
Northwestern Bahamas…5 to 10 ft
Northern coast of Cuba in the warning area…5 to 10 ft

WIND: Hurricane conditions are still occurring in portions of the
southeastern and Central Bahamas. Hurricane conditions are expected
to continue within the hurricane warning area along the north coast
of Cuba through Saturday. Hurricane conditions are expected in the
northwestern Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and in portions of
southern and central Florida and the Florida Keys Saturday night or
early Sunday.

Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area in central
and north Florida by Sunday, with tropical storm conditions
possible by late Saturday.

RAINFALL: Irma is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Tuesday night:

Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Turks and Caicos…additional 1 to 3
inches.
Southern Bahamas and northern Cuba…10 to 15 inches, isolated 20
inches.
Southern Cuba…4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.
Jamaica…1 to 2 inches.
The Florida Keys, much of the Florida peninsula, and southeast
Georgia…8 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches.
Western and Northern Florida peninsula from Tampa northward…4 to 8
inches, isolated 12 inches.
Rest of Eastern Georgia, western South Carolina, and Western North
Carolina…4 to 7 inches.
Western Georgia, eastern and northern Alabama, and southern
Tennessee…2 to 5 inches.

In all areas this rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods
and, in some areas, mudslides.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes will be possible beginning Saturday
morning across south Florida.

SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeastern
Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the northern coast of the
Dominican Republic, and should start affecting portions of the
southeast coast of the United States tonight. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

========================================================================

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FOR EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA TO SEBASTIAN INLET… AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.

THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TO SUWANNEE RIVER.

A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF VENICE TO THE ANCLOTE
RIVER… INCLUDING TAMPA BAY… AND FROM PONCE INLET TO THE FLAGLER/
VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO VENICE
* FLORIDA KEYS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF VENICE TO ANCLOTE RIVER
* TAMPA BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND
* FLORIDA KEYS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
* FLORIDA BAY
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY… CIEGO DE AVILA… SANCTI
SPIRITUS… AND
VILLA CLARA
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE
* NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO… HOLGUIN… LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO… HOLGUIN… AND LAS TUNAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION… FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE…
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC… AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION… FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE… IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC… AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS… CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA… FLORIDA… AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 76.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 MB
EYE DIAMETER 40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT……. 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…….100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…….160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..510NE 180SE 60SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 76.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 76.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 78.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT…GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 79.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT…GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 24.1N 81.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT…GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT…170NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N 81.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT…GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT…100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…190NE 170SE 130SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 30.6N 83.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT…170NE 170SE 150SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 35.0N 85.9W…INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 35.6N 87.0W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 76.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

=======================================================================

 

HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1
NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135
KTS…155 MPH…250 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

 

– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT

DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)

CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)

CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)

WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)

BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)

FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13)

COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) X(19)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)

LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)

MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13)

GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 4(24) X(24)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 5(33) 1(34)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)

ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22)

AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 12(28) 1(29)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)

SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 5(42) 1(43)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)

KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 62(64) 3(67) X(67)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 2(29) 1(30)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13)

WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 57(58) 8(66) 1(67)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) 1(24)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)

MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 65(69) 1(70) X(70)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 2(32) X(32)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) X(15)

JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 67(71) 2(73) 1(74)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 1(33) X(33)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 76(84) 1(85) X(85)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 2(52) X(52)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) X(22)

DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 67(82) X(82) X(82)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) X(47) X(47)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24)

THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 73(90) X(90) X(90)
THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 61(62) 1(63) X(63)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) X(33) X(33)

ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) 61(93) X(93) X(93)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 60(64) 1(65) X(65)
ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) X(36) X(36)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 30(36) 49(85) X(85) X(85)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 43(47) X(47) X(47)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)

PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 31(37) 48(85) X(85) 1(86)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 44(48) X(48) X(48)
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)

FT PIERCE FL 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 44(58) 28(86) X(86) X(86)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 34(45) X(45) X(45)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) X(21) X(21)

W PALM BEACH 34 2 5( 7) 28(35) 43(78) 11(89) X(89) X(89)
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 19(48) X(48) X(48)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) X(20) X(20)

FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 11(14) 44(58) 29(87) 5(92) X(92) X(92)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 11(11) 36(47) 9(56) X(56) X(56)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 8(25) X(25) X(25)

MIAMI FL 34 3 20(23) 50(73) 20(93) 2(95) X(95) X(95)
MIAMI FL 50 X 1( 1) 21(22) 40(62) 7(69) X(69) X(69)
MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 7(38) X(38) X(38)

HOMESTEAD ARB 34 4 30(34) 48(82) 14(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X 2( 2) 35(37) 35(72) 5(77) X(77) X(77)
HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) 10(10) 31(41) 4(45) X(45) X(45)

MARATHON FL 34 4 50(54) 41(95) 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MARATHON FL 50 X 6( 6) 72(78) 17(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
MARATHON FL 64 X 1( 1) 50(51) 28(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81)

KEY WEST FL 34 3 35(38) 53(91) 6(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
KEY WEST FL 50 X 3( 3) 59(62) 20(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) 35(35) 28(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64)

NAPLES FL 34 1 6( 7) 44(51) 41(92) 5(97) X(97) X(97)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 56(65) 17(82) X(82) X(82)
NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 21(64) X(64) X(64)

FT MYERS FL 34 X 5( 5) 27(32) 51(83) 13(96) X(96) X(96)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 45(48) 30(78) X(78) X(78)
FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 34(60) X(60) X(60)

VENICE FL 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 47(60) 26(86) X(86) X(86)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 40(62) X(62) X(62)
VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 38(46) X(46) X(46)

TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 51(86) X(86) X(86)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 56(62) X(62) X(62)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) X(42) X(42)

CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 64(75) X(75) X(75)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 45(46) 1(47) X(47)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 1(29) X(29)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 4(48) X(48)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13)

ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 46(48) 2(50) X(50)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 4(26) X(26)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15)

APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 1(38) X(38)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 2(19) X(19)
APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10)

GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 1(38) X(38)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 1(17) X(17)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)

PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 2(28) X(28)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)

COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27) X(27)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)

BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10)

MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) 1(16)

WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12)

MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 5( 8) 13(21) 24(45) 11(56) X(56) X(56)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34 20 10(30) 6(36) 5(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ANDROS 34 83 2(85) 1(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
ANDROS 50 11 4(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ANDROS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

GREAT EXUMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GREAT EXUMA 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

SAN SALVADOR 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

HAVANA 34 2 18(20) 33(53) 6(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
HAVANA 50 X 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
HAVANA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ISLE OF PINES 34 2 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

CIENFUEGOS 34 15 63(78) 7(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
CIENFUEGOS 50 2 26(28) 10(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

CAMAGUEY 34 92 1(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
CAMAGUEY 50 60 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
CAMAGUEY 64 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

GRAND CAYMAN 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

MONTEGO BAY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X(4)

============================================================================

 

IRMA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

.HURRICANE IRMA

CAUTION…THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST…AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.

FLZ069-070-073>078-168-172>174-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ054-059-064-160-162-165-265-090600-
/O.UPG.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ063-066>068-071-072-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ056>058-061-255-260-262-090600-
/O.UPG.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ155-090600-
/O.UPG.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.SS.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017$$

FLZ047-141-147-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ050-151-090600-
/O.EXA.KNHC.SS.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ041-044>046-052-053-144-251-090600-
/O.CON.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

$$

FLZ043-139-142-148-149-239-242-248-249-090600-
/O.EXA.KNHC.HU.A.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
547 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2017

===========================================================

http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mfl#hti

You can find  more information in the link above.   PLEASE DO THAT!!

And right behind that,  Hurricane Jose.  Pray for your loved-ones and what has turned out to be,  a virtual nightmare!!!

Be safe Rachel!

AMX_loop (2)

Hurricane Local Statement

Hurricane Irma Local Statement Advisory Number 39
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-090530-

Hurricane Irma Local Statement Advisory Number 39
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL112017
530 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

This product covers South Florida

**MAJOR HURRICANE IRMA CONTINUES MOVING CLOSER TO SOUTH FLORIDA FOR
THIS WEEKEND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Broward, Coastal Collier, Coastal Miami-Dade, Coastal
      Palm Beach, Far South Miami-Dade, Inland Collier, Inland
      Miami-Dade, Mainland Monroe, and Metro Miami-Dade
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Glades, Hendry, Inland
      Broward, Inland Palm Beach, Metro Broward, and Metro Palm Beach

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 340 miles southeast of Miami FL or about 430 miles
      southeast of Naples FL
    - 22.1N 76.5W
    - Storm Intensity 155 mph
    - Movement West or 280 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Category 4 Hurricane Irma continues to move west northwest across
the southern Bahamas this afternoon, and will impact South Florida
beginning Saturday. Hurricane Irma continues to remain a severe and
extremely dangerous threat for all of South Florida. Direct major
hurricane landfall is likely somewhere across South Florida this
weekend.

The primary concerns continue to be for catastrophic major hurricane
force winds and life-threatening storm surge. Additional concerns
include the potential for flooding rainfall, isolated tornadoes,
significant beach erosion and surf, and life-threatening rip currents.

Depending on the eventual track of Hurricane Irma, flash flooding is
also possible around portions of Lake Okeechobee in association with a
possible overwash or minor to moderate overtopping of the Herbert
Hoover Dike. Interests near Lake Okeechobee should heed the orders of
local and state emergency management officials.

Preparations to protect life and property are strongly urged to be
completed by tonight. All persons in South Florida should take shelter
by early Saturday morning. Hurricane Irma is a potentially deadly
situation and should not be taken lightly. Everyone is urged to
exercise extreme caution in order to protect their lives.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible devastating
impacts across coastal Miami-Dade, Mainland Monroe, and Collier
counties. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly
      accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to
      buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded
      from considerable floating debris. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
      severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
    - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted
      onshore and stranded.

Also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible
significant to extensive impacts across the immediate coast of Broward
and Palm Beach counties.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across all of South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
      and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
      greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
      may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
    - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Widespread power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets, parking lots and underpasses become submerged. Driving
      conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with
      some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across South Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Broward County: Mandatory evacuation ordered for areas east of
Federal Highway, barrier islands, low-lying areas, and mobile homes.

Collier County: Mandatory evacuations of locations south and west of US
41, and those living in mobile homes.

Miami-Dade County: Mandatory evacuation of mobile homes, evacuation
zone A, zone B, portions of zone C, and barrier islands which
include Bal Harbour, Bay Harbour Islands, Golden Beach, Indian Creek
Village, Miami Beach, North Bay Village, Sunny Isles Beach, and
Surfside.

Palm Beach County: Mandatory evacuation of zones A and B, as well as
mobile homes and flood-prone areas. Voluntary evacuation of zone C.
Effective at 10 AM Friday.

For further information, contact 311 for Miami-Dade and Broward counties
and 211 across the rest of South Florida.

If evacuating away from the area or relocating to a nearby shelter,
leave early before weather conditions become hazardous.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Check-in with your emergency points of contact among family, friends,
and workmates. Inform them of your status and well-being. Let them
know how you intend to ride out the storm and when you plan to
check-in again.

Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.

In emergencies it is best to remain calm. Stay informed and focused
on the situation at hand. Exercise patience with those you encounter.
Be a good neighbor and help others.

If relocating to a nearby shelter or to the home of a family member
or friend, drive with extra caution, especially on secondary roads.
Remember, many bridges and causeways will be closed once higher winds
arrive. Also, if you encounter water covering the road, seek an
alternate route. Always obey official road signs for closures and
detours.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$



 

Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Miami FL
538 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

FLZ068>075-168-172>174-090800-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.A.0005.170908T2138Z-170912T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-Inland Broward-
Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-Mainland Monroe-
Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-Dade-
Far South Miami-Dade-
538 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of South Florida, including the
  following areas, Coastal Broward, Coastal Collier, Coastal
  Miami-Dade, Coastal Palm Beach, Far South Miami-Dade, Inland
  Broward, Inland Collier, Inland Miami-Dade, Mainland Monroe,
  Metro Broward, Metro Miami-Dade, and Metro Palm Beach.

* Through Monday evening.

* Excessive rainfall from Hurricane Irma which will lead to
  possible widespread flooding.

* Impacts: Flood waters entering structures, significant to major
  street flooding with road closures, areas of rapid inundation at
  underpasses, low lying, and poor drainage areas, and possible
  evacuations and rescues due to flood waters.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$


 

Hurricane Warning

Irma Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 39
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL112017
520 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

FLZ068-090530-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Metro Palm Beach-
520 PM EDT Fri Sep 8 2017

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Boca West
    - Palm Springs
    - Florida Gardens
    - Palm Beach Gardens

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 75 mph
        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Sunday morning
          until early Monday morning

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Extreme
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          major hurricane force wind greater than 110 mph of
          equivalent Category 3 intensity or higher.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          devastating to catastrophic wind impacts. Remaining efforts
          to secure properties should now be brought to completion.
        - Extremely dangerous and life-threatening wind is possible.
          Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury,
          loss of life, or immense human suffering. Move to safe
          shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete
          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile
          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne
          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or
          months.
        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences
          and roadway signs blown over.
        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within
          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,
          and access routes impassable.
        - Widespread power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 8-12 inches, with locally
          higher amounts

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: High
        - The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
          assessment.
        - Emergency plans should include a reasonable threat for
          major flooding where peak rainfall totals well exceed
          amounts conducive for flash flooding and rapid inundation.
          Rescues and emergency evacuations are likely.
        - To be safe, aggressively prepare for the potential of
          extensive flooding rain impacts.
        - Life-threatening flooding is possible. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury or significant loss of
          life. If flood related watches and warnings are issued,
          heed recommended actions. Poor decisions may result in
          being cut off or needlessly risk lives. If vulnerable,
          relocate to safe shelter on higher ground before flood
          waters arrive.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
          rescues.
        - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in
          multiple places. Flood control systems and barriers may
          become stressed.
        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
          escape routes. Streets, parking lots and underpasses become
          submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road
          and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes

    - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Moderate
        - The tornado threat has increased from the previous
          assessment.
        - When implementing emergency plans, include should include a
          reasonable threat for scattered tornadoes.
        - To be safe, earnestly prepare for the potential of
          significant tornado impacts.
        - Listen for tornado watches and warnings. Be ready to
          shelter quickly if a tornado approaches.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
          communications failures.
        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Florida  ----------------------


 

 

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