Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 26 2017
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Harvey, located inland over eastern Texas.
1. An elongated area of low pressure stretching across north-central
Florida continues to produce a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from the southwest coast of
Florida northeastward into the western Atlantic. Although
upper-level winds are not particularly conducive, this system has
the potential to become a tropical or subtropical depression
early next week after it moves off the northeast coast of Florida
on Sunday. The low is forecast to move close to the southeastern
coast of the United States and merge with a cold front by mid-week.
Regardless of tropical cyclone development, the low is expected to
cause increasing winds and rough surf along the coasts of Georgia
and the Carolinas through early next week. Heavy rain is also
expected to continue over portions of southern and central Florida
during the next day or two. Please refer to products from your local
National Weather Service forecast office for more information on
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.
2. A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to emerge over the
far eastern Atlantic Ocean on Sunday. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for slow development by the middle of next
week while the wave moves westward about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
=================================================================
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Harvey Advisory Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
…TROPICAL STORM HARVEY BARELY MOVING…
…TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE…
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.1N 97.6W
ABOUT 45 MI…70 KM WNW OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 60 MI…95 KM ESE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.24 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas to High Island Texas
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Baffin Bay to High Island Texas
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the
indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see
the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was
located by Doppler radar near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 97.6
West. Harvey has been nearly stationary and little motion is
anticipated during the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the
next day or two.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations of 15 to 25 inches over the middle and upper Texas
coast through Thursday. Isolated storm totals may reach around 40
inches in this area. Elsewhere during the same period, Harvey is
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 15 inches
farther south toward the lower Texas coast, farther west toward the
Texas Hill Country and southwest and central Louisiana. Rainfall of
this magnitude will cause catastrophic and life-threatening
flooding. A list of rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Port Aransas to Sargent…4 to 7 ft
Sargent to High Island including Galveston Bay…2 to 4 ft
High Island to Morgan City…1 to 2 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near the
area of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large
and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in portions of
the tropical storm warning area, and are likely to persist along
portions of the coast through at least Sunday.
SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the Texas,
Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through Monday near the
middle and upper Texas coast into far southwest Louisiana.
NEXT ADVISORY
————- 7pm
==================================================================
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
2100 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* PORT ARANSAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* BAFFIN BAY TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE
INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC…
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT……. 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT……. 75NE 100SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 97.6W
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.1N 97.6W…INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 75NE 100SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.9N 97.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 75NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.5N 97.3W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.3N 97.1W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.7N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 29.5N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 30.5N 97.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 97.6W
============================================================================
Tropical Storm Harvey Discussion Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
400 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017
Harvey has continued to weaken while located inland over Texas.
Doppler radar data indicate that winds are now 55 kt, and since
there are no surface observations near the center, this is the
intensity used in this advisory. A continued weakening is
anticipated, and the NHC forecast uses the trend provided by the
SHIPS decay model. However, if a large portion of Harvey’s
circulation remains over the Gulf of Mexico, the cyclone could
weaken at a slower rate than shown here.
Harvey has barely moved during the past few hours and little motion
is anticipated. Since the steering currents are forecast to remain
light, Harvey could easily meander for the next 4 to 5 days over
southeast Texas as indicated in the NHC forecast. Guidance disagrees
in which direction the cyclone will move, but all the models agree
that any motion will be quite slow.
Key Messages:
1. While Harvey’s winds are decreasing, life-threatening hazards
will continue from heavy rainfall over much of southeastern
Texas and from storm surge along portions of the Texas coast.
2. Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is expected across the
middle and upper Texas coast from additional rainfall of 15 to
25 inches, with isolated storm totals as high as 40 inches, through
Thursday. Please heed the advice of local officials and do not
drive into flooded roadways. Refer to products from your local
National Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction
Center for more information on the flooding hazard. A summary of
rainfall totals compiled by the Weather Prediction Center can be
found at: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html
3. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for portions of the
Texas coast. Life-threatening storm surge flooding will be slow to
recede due to the slow motion of Harvey and a prolonged period of
onshore flow. For a depiction of areas at risk, see the Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic at hurricanes.gov.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/2100Z 29.1N 97.6W 55 KT 65 MPH…INLAND
12H 27/0600Z 29.1N 97.6W 45 KT 50 MPH…INLAND
24H 27/1800Z 28.9N 97.7W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
36H 28/0600Z 28.5N 97.3W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
48H 28/1800Z 28.3N 97.1W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
72H 29/1800Z 28.7N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
96H 30/1800Z 29.5N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
120H 31/1800Z 30.5N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
============================================================
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
2100 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS…65 MPH…100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)…SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)…SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
…34 KT (39 MPH… 63 KM/H)…
…50 KT (58 MPH… 93 KM/H)…
…64 KT (74 MPH…119 KM/H)…
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34…50…64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
– – – – WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS – – – –
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
LOCATION KT
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
FORT POLK LA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
LAKE CHARLES 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
CAMERON LA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
JASPER TX 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
KOUNTZE TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9)
GALVESTON TX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14)
HOUSTON TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 2(16)
AUSTIN TX 34 11 4(15) 2(17) 2(19) 3(22) 3(25) 1(26)
AUSTIN TX 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 18 13(31) 2(33) 2(35) 2(37) 1(38) 1(39)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
FREEPORT TX 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) 4(10) 6(16) 2(18) 1(19)
FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 1(14)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 2(11)
MATAGORDA TX 34 12 4(16) 4(20) 4(24) 5(29) 2(31) 1(32)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
PORT O CONNOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT O CONNOR 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ROCKPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ROCKPORT TX 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 8 10(18) 10(28) 4(32) 4(36) 1(37) 1(38)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15)
MCALLEN TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
HARLINGEN TX 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
=====================================================
HARVEY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017
148 PM EDT SAT AUG 26 2017
.TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
CAUTION…THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST…AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.
TXZ235>238-245>247-270200-
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ234-270200-
/O.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ222-224-233-270200-
/O.CAN.KNHC.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ213-214-270200-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KNHC.SS.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
$$
TXZ191-193-200-205>212-220-221-223-225>227-231-232-241>244-270200-
/O.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
1248 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 335 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017 ...COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND... .HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER AROUND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST OVER NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...MAINTAINING A PROLONGED ELEVATED SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION. COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE...WITH TIDE LEVELS EXPECTED TO RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL PROJECTED LEVELS. LAZ052>054-073-074-TXZ215-271500- /O.CON.KLCH.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-170827T1500Z/ VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 335 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SUNDAY... * COASTAL FLOODING...TIDES WILL RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. * TIMING...FLOODING AROUND TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. * IMPACTS...FLOODING OF SOME ROADWAYS NEAR SABINE PASS, HOLLY BEACH, HACKBERRY, CAMERON, GRAND CHENIER, DELCAMBRE, AND CYPERMORT POINT CAN BE EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ 25
Flash Flood Watch
Flood Watch National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 330 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 ...HEAVY RAINS FROM HARVEY POISED TO BRING POSSIBLE FLOODING... .Showers and thunderstorms associated with the outer bands of Hurricane Harvey will continue to develop and move ashore across Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana into early next week. Excessive rainfall amounts are likely through Wednesday...and with soil already saturated from recent rains, flash flooding is likely. Additional rains associated with the storm are likely to continue past mid-week. TXZ201-215-216-261-262-271000- /O.EXT.KLCH.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170831T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- Including the cities of Lumberton, Silsbee, Beaumont, Sabine Pass, Sea Rim State Park, Orange, Vidor, Bridge City, Gist, Buna, Evadale, and Deweyville 330 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * A portion of southeast Texas, including the following areas, Hardin, Jefferson, Orange, Southern Jasper, and Southern Newton. * Through Wednesday evening * Areal rainfall amounts of 10 to 14 inches are expected in the watch area through Tuesday, with locally higher amounts possible. Intense rainfall rates may overwhelm local drainage capacity. * The flooding of roads, low lying areas, and areas with poor drainage will be possible. If encountering flooded roadways, remember to turn around, don`t drown. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ 25
Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
219 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
TXC199-241-245-351-361-262245-
/O.CON.KLCH.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-170826T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson TX-Newton TX-Hardin TX-Orange TX-Jasper TX-
219 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
JEFFERSON...SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON...HARDIN...ORANGE AND SOUTHEASTERN
JASPER COUNTIES...
At 213 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
that heavy rain was falling over the area. Various amounts of rain
have fallen so far with two to six inches having already occurred
across Orange, Jasper and Hardin counties with one to three inches
of rain have fallen in Jefferson County. Flash flooding has already
been reported in Orange and Jasper Counties. The heaviest rains are
just now beginning to move into Jefferson County.
Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Orange, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches,
Lumberton, Vidor, Bridge City, Silsbee, West Orange, Kountze, Sour
Lake, Nome, Evadale, Central Gardens, Sabine Pass, Hamshire, Wildwood
and Mauriceville.
Additional rainfall amounts of two to five inches are possible
through 6 PM with locally higher amounts.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.
&&
LAT...LON 3052 9454 3052 9374 3034 9376 3002 9375
2998 9383 2999 9386 2997 9384 2986 9393
2984 9392 2984 9395 2981 9393 2981 9395
2968 9385 2967 9406 2956 9436 2989 9436
2989 9443 3011 9445 3011 9448 3049 9456
$$
Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 468 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1245 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017 TORNADO WATCH 468 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-185-199-201-241-245-291-321-339-351- 361-473-477-481-270700- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0468.170826T1745Z-170827T0700Z/ TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES HARDIN HARRIS JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY NEWTON ORANGE WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON $$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement National Weather Service Lake Charles La 1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana...Texas... Sabine River Near Deweyville Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier Neches River Near Beaumont Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana.. Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier TXC199-245-270601- /O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0099.170828T0539Z-000000T0000Z/ /SOLT2.1.ER.170828T0539Z.170830T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake. * from late Sunday night until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.3 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 25.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to rise to near 28.6 feet by early Wednesday morning. This forecast is based upon 72 hours of expected precipitation. Further rises based upon continued rainfall are possible. * Impact...At stages near 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding will occur. Water covers roads in Bevil Oaks. * Impact...At stages near 25.0 feet...Water inundates roads in lowland areas near the river. Low spots on Old Sour Lake Road are under water. * Impact...At stages near 22.0 feet...River is at bankfull stage. && LAT...LON 3012 9445 3024 9423 3021 9407 3013 9406 3004 9445 $$
Flood Warning
Flood Statement National Weather Service Lake Charles La 1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana...Texas... Sabine River Near Deweyville Neches River at Neches River Saltwater Barrier Neches River Near Beaumont Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana.. Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay Calcasieu River Near Salt Water Barrier TXC245-361-270601- /O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0098.170829T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /BEAT2.1.ER.170829T1800Z.170831T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1102 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 The Flood Warning continues for The Neches River Near Beaumont. * from Tuesday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 2.3 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 4.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 5.1 feet by Thursday morning. This forecast is based upon 72 hours of expected precipitation. Further rises based upon continued rainfall are possible. * Impact...At stages near 4.0 feet...Minor flooding of Beaumont Country Club and Colliers Ferry Park can be expected. Also flooding in Northwest Orange County south of River Oaks to Bunns Bluff can be expected. Water may go over Four Oaks Ranch Road in Northwest Orange County. && LAT...LON 3019 9417 3023 9411 3004 9378 2992 9387 2998 9406 $$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262- 271030- Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry- Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron- East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper- Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton- 518 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana, and southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Harvey made landfall last night and has moved inland very slowly. The majority of the rainbands continue across the central Texas coast with this region this morning getting brushed but the outer bands. A Tornado Watch continues for Jefferson... Hardin... and Orange counties in southeast Texas. Rains will continue through the day and into tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Harvey is expected to bring bands of showers and isolated thunderstorms across the region through the weekend and into next week. Rainfall will be heavy at times and flooding of some locations is expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Floyd, Times Are Changin 