Tropical Unrest.

A few weeks ago we were basking in relative calm.   Even those systems would steer away into the Central Atlantic.  Those in the area of the Yucatan Peninsula and into Mexico.   But something was afoot,   I sensed a problem when the system slowed and gathered moisture and dumped tons of rain.

This was the perfect storm.   Harvey began to ramp up.  I referenced this slowing and the dangers, in so many words.   I did not expect what happened.   It was NOT climate change.   It was an anomaly and weather is about changes.  It’s highs and lows, tightening  pressure gradients and a myriad of other things.

As a consequence of what had happened, thousands were displaced and hungry,  exposed and afraid.  Let’s not criticise people who are doing the best they can.

Going forward,  there are new challenges and new storm systems.  This evening here in North Carolina, we are experiencing lower  clouds before the rain.    There is a quasi-stationary front (warm sector) which will keep the temperatures rather uniform, with overnight lows 68-70.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
448 PM EDT Thu Aug 31 2017

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-010930-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
448 PM EDT Thu Aug 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible along and south of southward
drifting cold front Friday afternoon and into Friday night. There is
a good chance for severe thunderstorms, capable of producing
tornadoes as well as damaging wind gusts. In addition, locally heavy
rain is expected which may lead to flash flooding, especially in poor
drainage areas.

US (5)

southmissvly_loop

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1101 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

ALZ011>015-017>050-011915-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
1101 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

The remnants of Harvey will approach Alabama and is expected to
bring a threat for brief tornadoes to the forecast area. The threat
could continue until 10 PM. The best chance for brief tornadoes
should generally be along and northwest of a line from Selma to
Clanton to Wedowee, though a brief tornado cannot be ruled out
farther south and east.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
through tonight.

$$



 

Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
249 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

...Gusty Winds Possible Across North Central Alabama...

ALZ011>015-017>020-024-026-011100-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WI.Y.0007.170831T1949Z-170901T2100Z/
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-
Cherokee-Jefferson-St. Clair-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Sulligent, Vernon, Fayette,
Double Springs, Jasper, Oneonta, Gadsden, Anniston, Centre,
Birmingham, Hoover, Pell City, and Moody
249 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 4 PM CDT Friday.

* TIMING...will continue through Friday afternoon.

* WINDS...will be between 15 and 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* IMPACTS...of the strong winds may break small limbs and cause
  hazardous driving conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that wind gusts of 35 mph are expected.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult...especially for
high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$



 

Tornado Watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 476
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT THU AUG 31 2017

TORNADO WATCH 476 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR THE
 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-057-059-063-065-073-075-077-079-083-
091-093-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-010100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0476.170831T1615Z-170901T0100Z/

AL
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIBB                 BLOUNT              CHILTON
COLBERT              CULLMAN             DALLAS
FAYETTE              FRANKLIN            GREENE
HALE                 JEFFERSON           LAMAR
LAUDERDALE           LAWRENCE            LIMESTONE
MARENGO              MARION              MORGAN
PERRY                PICKENS             SHELBY
SUMTER               TUSCALOOSA          WALKER
WINSTON

Birmingham, Birmingham International Airport 16:53 Overcast 81 71 72 SE 10 29.83
Anniston Metro Airport 16:53 Mostly Cloudy 84 71 65 SE 9 G 20 29.88
Atlanta, Hartsfield – Jackson Atlanta International Airport 16:52 Partly Cloudy 82 67 60 SE 5 29.96
Auburn-Opelika Airport 16:56 Mostly Cloudy 82 73 74 S 15 G 21 29.94
Nashville, Nashville International Airport 16:53 Overcast 77 73 88 NE 9 29.87
Alabaster, Shelby County Airport 16:53 Mostly Cloudy 84 72 67 S 17 G 23 29.82
Huntsville, Huntsville International / Jones Field 16:53 Overcast 82 74 77 SE 13 G 24 29.81
Jackson, Jackson International Airport 16:54 Light Rain Fog/Mist 74 72 94 SW 15 G 26 29.75
Memphis International Airport 16:54 Heavy Rain Fog/Mist and Windy 69 66 90 NE 28 G 44 29.67
Montgomery, Dannelly Field 16:53 Partly Cloudy 88 72 59 S 10 G 22 29.86
Tuscaloosa Regional Airport 16:53 Fair 83 76 79 S 13 G 24 29.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
317 PM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

.SHORT TERM...

The post-tropical center of Harvey is now analyzed south of Tunica,
MS. A synoptic scale warm front was located via surface pressure
field analysis from the surface low center east to just south of
Tupelo, MS. Across the state of Mississippi, surface winds generally
shift across this front but as this feature extends into Alabama, it
is primarily defined by a pressure trough with little in the way of
a wind shift or change in the thermodynamic environment.

Sounding data along with upper air guidance suggests drier air aloft
is present in greater magnitude to the east and the north while
profiles are more moist to the south and the west.

Rotating storms remain likely across our south-central, southwest
and western counties with a limited tornado risk. While
conditions had become somewhat calmer in the short- term,
additional development across our south and west counties continue
to be monitored closely. Tornadoes remain possible as we remain
in the synoptically favored right front quadrant of a former
tropical cyclone.

Breaks in cloud cover continue across our eastern, southeast and
south-central counties and solar insolation continues to result in
surface heating that is increasing instability values. Wind shear is
most prominent off the surface at this time, supporting broad storm
rotation. Wind shear values will increase across our western and
northwest counties for the remainder of this afternoon and evening
as the remnants of Harvey move into western Tennessee.

Radar imagery indicates storms that we are closely watching in
Pickens, Perry and Marengo Counties with more activity to the
southwest. Our southwest and west-central counties continue to have
the greatest potential for rotating storms and possible tornadoes.

JH/05

.LONG TERM...

Rain chances will drop significantly for Friday as much drier air
aloft moves into the region around the southern periphery of
Harvey`s remnant low. The weekend looks dry for most if not all
of our forecast area with the arrival of northwesterly flow. The
next chance of rain may not come until Tuesday as southerly flow
develops in advance of an approaching upper-level trough.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

Band one has exited the TAF window to the east and now watching
band 2 begin to work in from the west. Looks to move into TCL at
or just past 18Z and then work into EET and BHM by 20 to 21Z and
then sliding northeastward after that. There should be a line that
moves through MGM and TOI as well, but they may not see the amount
of activity as the northern sites. As the center of the remnants
of Harvey moves northeast, we will see low clouds and showers
overnight at the northern sites along with the main low itself.

Note: Have put in AMD NOT SKED for KASN TAF since winds are
missing from the observation and will be a factor in the forecast
today and tonight.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

High rain chances are expected through tonight with tropical
moisture in place. A drying trend will follow for Friday and the
weekend. There are no fire weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     69  80  60  81  60 /  90  50  20  10  10
Anniston    70  82  63  83  62 /  90  40  20  10  10
Birmingham  70  82  64  83  64 /  90  30  20  10  10
Tuscaloosa  70  84  66  86  64 /  90  20  10  10   0
Calera      70  82  65  85  65 /  90  20  10  10  10
Auburn      71  84  66  84  65 /  70  30  20  10  10
Montgomery  73  88  67  88  67 /  70  20  10  10  10
Troy        72  87  68  87  66 /  40  20  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT Friday for the following counties:
Blount...Calhoun...Cherokee...Etowah...Fayette...Jefferson...
Lamar...Marion...St. Clair...Walker...Winston.

&&

mcd1605

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1605
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

Areas affected…Parts of eastern Mississippi into western Alabama

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

Valid 311531Z – 311730Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent

SUMMARY…Some increase in the risk for generally isolated and
relatively short-lived tornadoes may occur through midday and early
afternoon. It is not yet certain that a watch will be needed, but
trends are being monitored for this possibility.

DISCUSSION…East of the remnant circulation center of Harvey,
tropical boundary layer moisture (mid 70s+ F surface dew points)
remains present in a narrow corridor roughly centered near the
Mississippi/Alabama state border area. Breaks in cloud cover across
this region have allowed for some insolation and destabilization, as
a broken band of convection pivots across the region. Coinciding
with a broad belt of 30-50 kt southerly 850 mb flow, which is
contributing to sizable low-level hodographs where near surface flow
remains southeasterly (mainly ahead of the broken band of
convection), at least some risk for brief tornadoes remains evident.
However, the extent of this threat remains unclear, and will
probably hinge on whether rain cooled air now present across much of
central and southern Alabama can modify appreciably. Currently this
seems unlikely, but a couple of corridors of substantive further
boundary layer destabilization seem at least possible. One of these
may extend north and east of Biloxi MS into southwestern Alabama
(near/north of Mobile). The other may develop near Tuscaloosa
northwestward into areas near/east of Tupelo and Columbus MS.

..Kerr/Grams.. 08/31/2017

…Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…BMX…HUN…MOB…MEG…JAN…LIX…

LAT…LON 30618883 31698838 33188861 33878880 34578878 34878820
33188731 32508771 31978792 31188782 30448833 30368885
30618883

================================================================

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/wwa/

enh_0000

 

ww0476_radar

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 476
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1115 AM CDT Thu Aug 31 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and western Alabama
Northeast Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee

* Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 1115 AM until
800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY…Arcing bands of showers and storms will pose a risk for
brief tornadoes this afternoon into early evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
either side of a line from 60 miles north of Oxford MS to 55 miles
southeast of Tuscaloosa AL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 20030.

 

Pretty much a rainmaker.

Hurricane and Tropical Flags may not fly,   but copious winds and torrential downpours is a given.  So much for a monster cyclone.  Be wary of relaxing with potentials still possible.    As I stated last night,  current conditions may pare the remnants of Harvey.  Most likely to be absorbed in the  front.

two_atl_2d0 (19)

NOUS42 KNHC 191654
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1250 PM EDT SAT 19 AUGUST 2017
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2017
TCPOD NUMBER…..17-080

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
FLIGHT ONE — NOAA 42 FLIGHT TWO — TEAL 76
A. 20/2100Z A. 20/2330Z,21/0530Z
B NOAA2 0609A HARVEY B. AFXXX 0709A HARVEY
C. 20/1900Z C. 20/2030Z
D. 14.7N 77.8W D. 14.9N 78.7W
E. 20/2030Z TO 21/0130Z E. 20/2300Z TO 21/0530Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE — NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR — TEAL 74
A. 21/0900Z A. 21/1130Z
B NOAA2 0809A HARVEY B. AFXXX 0909A HARVEY
C. 21/0700Z C. 21/0745Z
D. 15.5N 81.5W D. 15.7N 82.4W
E. 21/0830Z TO 21/1330Z E. 21/1100Z TO 21/1430Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON HARVEY WHILE IT REMAINS A THREAT.
B. POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST MISSION FOR 21/1800Z INTO SYSTEM
NORTH OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS NEAR 24.5N 72.0W.
3. REMARK: NOAA 42 P-3 MISSIONS TASKED FOR 19/1800Z AND 20/0600Z
IN TCPOD 17-079 HAVE BEEN CANCELED.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK…..NEGATIVE.

fps77gus

usaaEdCharlotte513

two_atl_2d0 (20)

Still scattershot, best guess and doubt. 5×5.

graphicast_at_latest_sm3 (1)

A real mess there.  This field of contradictions.

Meteorologist Larry Olson (Mike Scott)

Harvey ?

Harvey has been a tough nut to crack.  First:  Storm Center has been inconsistent and thunderstorm patterns erratic.   So right now the center is anyone’s guess.   These sudden flare-ups of Thunderstorm activity are partly due to convection over-land and sea-breezes.

If anything, circulation is closer to Florida,  with an elongated center.   The system  looks to be just off of  Florida.  The million dollar question is the actual center,  sustained winds and pressure.  There is a bit of Thunderstorm activity  in a cyclonic pattern off the coast of Florida.  Some of that is attributed to Thunderstorm Tops.   But this picture is NOT set at this time.

So for now, the next pressure recording and sustained winds are very importsnt. Florida two clusters of thunderstorms.  Wait, three, my bad.  One is superimposed on another.

GULFWV172321615

GULFVS172321945

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2

Jackson-real-estate-investing-1024x683

Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
259 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
210000-
/O.CON.KJAN.HT.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-170821T0000Z/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg,
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Rayville, Delhi, Tallulah, Winnsboro,
Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Newellton, St. Joseph, Waterproof,
Vidalia, Ferriday, West Ferriday, Cleveland, Indianola,
Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton,
Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Maben, Mathiston, West Point,
Columbus, Ackerman, Weir, Starkville, Greenville, Belzoni, Isola,
Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Kosciusko,
Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Mayersville, Rolling Fork,
Anguilla, Yazoo City, Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Carthage,
Philadelphia, Pearl River, De Kalb, Scooba, Vicksburg, Jackson,
Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Forest, Morton, Newton, Union, Decatur,
Conehatta, Meridian, Port Gibson, Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst,
Wesson, Magee, Mendenhall, Taylorsville, Raleigh, Bay Springs,
Heidelberg, Quitman, Stonewall, Shubuta, Fayette, Natchez, Bude,
Roxie, Meadville, Brookhaven, Monticello, New Hebron, Prentiss,
Bassfield, Collins, Mount Olive, Laurel, Columbia,
West Hattiesburg, Lumberton, Purvis, and Hattiesburg
259 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* TEMPERATURE...High temperatures in the mid 90s with peak
  afternoon heat index values ranging from 103 to 109 degrees.

* IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses may be possible for those
  outdoors in unshaded areas without proper precautions taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take extra precautions, if you work or spend time outside. When
possible, reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when
possible and drink plenty of water.

To reduce risk during outdoor work, the occupational safety and
health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency, call 9 1 1.

A Heat Advisory means that a period of hot temperatures is
expected. The combination of hot temperatures and high humidity
will combine to create a situation in which heat illnesses are
possible. Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned
room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and
neighbors.

&&

$$



 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
258 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

LAZ015-023>026-MSZ026>033-035>039-042>046-048>052-054>066-072>074-
212000-
Richland-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Grenada-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-
Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-
Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
258 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana and central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Through the remainder of this afternoon

Heat index values ranging from 105-110 degrees will remain
possible through early this evening  Exposure to these conditions
will raise the likelihood of heat related illnesses.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

$$

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*EXCESSIVE HEAT*
Extreme...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees for 3 or
 more days in a row and/or air temperatures greater than 107
 degrees.
Significant...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees
 and/or air temperatures greater than 105 degrees.
Elevated...Maximum heat index 105 to 110 degrees and/or air
 temperatures greater than 103 degrees.
Limited...Maximum heat index near 105 degrees and/or air
 temperatures 100 to 103 degrees.

download (8)

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
203 PM MDT Sun Aug 20 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR EAST IDAHO FIRE WEATHER ZONES 410
AND 425...

IDZ410-425-210300-
/O.CON.KPIH.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170821T0300Z/
Upper Snake River Valley/Idaho Falls BLM-
Middle Snake River Valley/Twin Falls BLM north of the Snake River-
203 PM MDT Sun Aug 20 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR EAST IDAHO FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 410 AND 425...

* AFFECTED AREA... Arco Desert Region of fire weather zone 410.
  Fire weather zone 425.

* WIND...Southwest to West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30
  mph.

* HUMIDITY...Minimum 9 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. Do not use fireworks.
  Engine heat from vehicles can spark wildfires, especially in
  grasses. Do not park on or drive over grassy areas or throw
  cigarettes out of cars.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A red flag warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. Fires may experience
rapid rates of growth. Please advise the appropriate officials or
fire crews in the field of the red flag warning for portions of
Southeast Idaho.

images (23)

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
356 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-211200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
356 PM CDT Sun Aug 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this evening,
mainly for areas north of Interstate 70, where strong gusty winds
and hail to the size of quarter dollars will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Monday
night for areas north of Interstate 70, and again on Tuesday for
areas south and east of Saint Louis.

 

Last Night, I couldn’t too….

Sleep?  Nah,  not sleep.  More like downed trees and a very long outage.  Got hot with Lows about 75 or so.

 

 

So now the power is on and the skies are partly cloudy.  That fair weather may be our undoing.   With high RH and plenty of lift that HAS triggered Thunderstorms.  The ones on the Leeside of course, will experience some weakening.

Even now, some of these showers are increasing with some severe.  Hope for no outages for Garden Variety weather.

Image result for free clipart Severe Thunderstormsweathrimage12.jpg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
655 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE…Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Saturday through Thursday.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along and
ahead of a cold front approaching from the north Saturday afternoon
and evening. Isolated storms could become severe, with a primary
threat of damaging winds

As we approach 9 and 10PM,  it appears the line is increasing across the SE USA.

Near North Central,  North Carolina is widely spred.  The more active are the mountain areas in Western,  North Carolina.

Our Temp right now is 82

Meteorologist Mike Scott,                                                                                                             Larry Olson, Meteorologist

World of Outlaws, World Racing Group                                                                                               Charlotte, NC.

The Abandoned "White Hall" at Chanute Air Force base in Rantoul, IL.

The Abandoned “White Hall” at Chanute Air Force base in Rantoul, IL.

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