Another Atlantic Disturbance

1799images (3)

The depression that is near the coast of Africa is a disturbance (13 degrees North Latitude, 32 degrees West  Longitude) is little  more than a few Thunderstorms. Now let’s say for the sake of argument that this (Tropical Wave) flowers unto a larger, more organized system.  Over the next two days, we are seeing a 20% chance of becoming  more organized.

IMHO, this disturbance will  go the way of the last storm.  A few thunderstorms to the south and winds moving to the West at 10-20mph.  This system has the earmarks of the last one.  A fluff of clouds,  a cup of coffee and another system that is absorbed and forgotten.

Tropical Storm Hilary is off the Western side of Mexico.  I wonder if there is a recount looming.   Tropical Storms Irving and Hilary are feeding upon each other.  These storms will coalesce into a bigger ripple, a few thunderstorms and some wind.

two_pac_2d0

COHIOco101

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
351 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

OHZ003-007-009>012-089-PAZ001-300800-
Lucas-Ottawa-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Northern Erie-
351 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$


 

Beach Hazards Statement

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017


OHZ003-007-009>012-089-PAZ001-300345-
/O.EXT.KCLE.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-170730T0800Z/
LUCAS-OTTAWA-ERIE-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...LAKESHORE FROM LUCAS COUNTY EAST TO ERIE COUNTY
  PENNSYLVANIA.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH SWIMMING RISK FROM WAVES AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN SWIMMING RISKS EXIST
FROM A COMBINATION OF WIND AND LARGE WAVES INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS
AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS. THESE SWIMMING RISKS CAN CREATE LIFE-
THREATENING CONDITIONS EVEN FOR GOOD SWIMMERS. FOLLOW THE
INSTRUCTION OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES OR STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

gf mt

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
246 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

MTZ112>114-301300-
/O.UPG.KTFX.FW.A.0008.170730T1700Z-170731T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KTFX.FW.W.0009.170730T1700Z-170731T0400Z/
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-
246 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Great Falls has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday. the
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* IMPACTS: Low Humidities...Hot Temperatures...and Strong Gusty
  Winds will create erratic fire behavior and an increased risk
  of new fire starts.

* AFFECTED AREA:
  In North Central Montana, Fire Weather Zones 112, 113 and 114.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED:
 In Central Montana, Lewis and Clark.

 In North Central Montana, Blaine, Chouteau, Glacier, Hill
                            Liberty, Phillips, Pondera, Teton,
                            Toole.

* WIND: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* HUMIDITY: As low as 12 percent.

* TEMPERATURES: In the mid 90s to around 100 across the lower
  elevations with low to mid 80s across the higher terrain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now, or will shortly.  A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in these
areas of this Red Flag Warning.

gfmt1

houston

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
348 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

TXZ195>197-210>214-226-227-235>238-302100-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Harris-Jackson-Matagorda-Waller-Washington-Wharton-
348 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

High temperatures between 100 to 103 degrees inland and the mid
90s at the coast can be expected through early evening. Heat
index values should peak between 107 and 112 degrees later today.
Take the necessary precautions to keep people and pets safe from
the heat.

A few thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon and
overnight. Some may be capable of gusty winds or locally heavy
rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$


 

Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1013 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...Heat Advisory Remains in Effect...

.The combination of hot temperatures and high humidity will
create a situation in which heat illnesses are possible if
precautions are not taken.

TXZ195>197-210>214-226-227-235>238-300000-
/O.CON.KHGX.HT.Y.0002.170729T1800Z-170730T0000Z/
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Harris-Jackson-Matagorda-Waller-Washington-Wharton-
Including the cities of Alvin, Anahuac, Angleton, Bay City,
Bellville, Brenham, Brookshire, Bryan, Caldwell, College Station,
Columbus, Eagle Lake, Edna, El Campo, Freeport, Friendswood,
Galveston, Hempstead, Houston, Humble, Katy, Lake Jackson,
Lake Somerville, League City, Missouri City, Mont Belvieu,
Palacios, Pasadena, Pearland, Pierce, Prairie View, Richmond,
Rosenberg, Sealy, Sugar Land, Texas City, Tomball, Weimar,
Wharton, and Winnie
1013 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* EVENT...High temperatures near 103 degrees in the Brazos
  Valley. Heat index values 107 to 110 degrees across the all of
  the advisory area.

* TIMING...This afternoon into early evening.

* IMPACT...Prolonged exposure to the heat and/or exertion
  outdoors without proper hydration and other precautionary
  actions may result in heat exhaustion or heat stroke.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible...reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when
possible and drink plenty of water.

To reduce risk during outdoor work...the occupational safety and
health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency - call 911.

Each year...a number of fatalities occur nationwide due to
children accidentally being left in vehicles during the summer
months. In the past dozen years...500 children have died due to
hyperthermia after being left in or gaining access to cars. Never
leave children or pets unattended in a vehicle not even for a
minute. Remember...beat the heat...check the backseat.

cospafa

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1218 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-301830-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1218 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across
the mountains this afternoon then spread eastward across the
southeast plains late this afternoon through this evening. A few
storms across the southeast plains could become severe producing
hail around 1 inch in diameter or larger, and wind gust over 60 mph.
Thunderstorms will congeal into a large cluster across the
southeast plains this evening which will move slowly eastward into
KS during the overnight hours. The primary thunderstorm risk across
much of southern CO through tonight will be heavy rainfall and flash
flooding, particularly where ground conditions are already saturated
by recent heavy rains. Burn scars will also be susceptible to
flash flooding through this evening, and heavy rainfall in steep
terrain could cause rock slides and rapid flooding of streams and
creeks.

Cloud to ground lightning will also be a risk with thunderstorms
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered to numerous afternoon into evening showers and
thunderstorms are anticipated into Monday. The primary
thunderstorm threats during this time-frame will be heavy rainfall
capable of producing localized flash flooding, hazardous
lightning, hail generally under the size of dimes and wind gusts
around 50 mph at times.

Then, generally isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorms,
favoring higher terrain locations, should be noted from Tuesday
into Friday. The more intense storms during this time frame will
be capable of producing heavy rain and localized flash flooding,
hazardous lightning, small hail and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely this afternoon through tonight across much of south
central and southeast Colorado.

$$

13/13


 

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1149 AM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...Monsoon moisture will bring threat for Flash Flooding for
portions of Southern Colorado through tonight...

.Monsoon moisture and lift overtop of a cold front will result in
another round of widespread showers and thunderstorms across
southern Colorado this afternoon and evening. The ground in this
region is already saturated from recent heavy rains, and any
additional heavy rain could result in flash flooding. Burn scars
in the mountains will also be vulnerable to flash flooding.

COZ058>063-072>089-093>099-300200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.170729T1800Z-170730T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
Including the cities of Climax, Leadville, Bonanza, Alpine,
Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass,
Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale,
Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff,
Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose,
Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg,
Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson,
Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield,
and Walsh
1149 AM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and
  southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central
  Colorado, Eastern Sawatch Range, Fremont County, Mosquito
  Range, Teller County and the Rampart Range, and Upper Arkansas
  River Valley. In east central Colorado, El Paso County. In
  southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County,
  Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano
  County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County,
  Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo
  Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County,
  Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains.

* Through late tonight

* Monsoon moisture and an upper level disturbance will result in
  another round of afternoon and evening thunderstorms capable of
  producing heavy rain across and near the mountains.
  Thunderstorms will spread eastward and persist into the
  overnight hours across the southeast plains, particularly to the
  north of highway 50.

* Mud and ash flows will be possible in and near burn scars
  should heavy rainfall impact these areas. Quick runoff from
  heavy rains which may occur across urban areas or areas with
  saturated soil conditions may quickly result in flooded
  roadways, creeks and drainages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.                                 
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A few questions about Weather. Monday 07/17/2017

More questions are coming to light and you will hear a couple.  Questions in the Tropics center about environments.   One:  How long will it last?  Two: Where will it go?  What am I talking about?   Yep!  Don!   It is doing some indication of intensification.  But that is counteracted by a few competing processes.  That will result in a probable dissipation.  And that is going to happen in 2-3 days.   Bye Don.  It was sweet!

 

Related imageImage result for clip art free weather

Here in Greensboro, North Carolina the temperature  has slipped some 22 degrees after 0.25 degrees of rain.   It has been hot and humid and as a consequence stormy.

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Summer is heading into the Fall.  The prognostications  for Hurricanes and then landfall,  are quite over-casted.

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                                               Air Quality Alert

Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-Platte-Clay-Jackson-
Including the cities of…Leavenworth…Kansas City KS…
Overland Park…Olathe…Parkville…Platte City…Weston…
Liberty…Excelsior Springs…Kansas City MO…Independence
253 PM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

…Air Quality Alert in effect for Tuesday July 18…

 

The Mid-America Regional Council has issued an Air Quality Alert…in
effect for Tuesday July 18. Outdoor Air Quality Index, or AQI, values
in excess of 100 are expected with ozone being the primary pollutant.

People and businesses are urged to avoid activities which lead to
ozone formation. These activities include refueling vehicles or
topping off when refueling idling vehicles unnecessarily and using
gasoline powered lawn equipment. Positive activities include car
pooling, biking to work, delaying or combining errands, and using
water-based paints and cleaners.

When pollution levels are elevated, the Mid-America Regional Council
recommends that individuals consider limiting strenuous outdoor
physical activity to reduce the risk of adverse health effects.
People who may be especially sensitive to the effects of elevated
levels of pollutants include the very young, and those with pre-
existing respiratory problems such as asthma or heart disease. Those
with symptoms should consider consulting their personal physician.

                              Excessive Heat Warning

URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
251 PM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

…Dangerous Heat Returns This Week…

.Hot and humid temperatures are expected to build this week and
linger through Saturday across the region. Air temperatures will
reach near the triple digit mark by midweek, and heat indices may
reach or exceed 105 to 110 degrees each afternoon Wednesday
through Saturday. While the entire area is currently expected to
experience these dangerously hot conditions over the prolonged
period from Wednesday through Saturday, cloud cover or perhaps a
few isolated storms could provide some periodic cooling across
northern Missouri, and confidence for a warning is lower along and
north of Highway 36 where the watch remains in effect.

Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-
Johnson KS-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-
Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-
Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-Cooper-Bates-Henry-
Including the cities of Atchison, Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg,
Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, Wathena, Elwood, Troy,
Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing,
Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee,
Lenexa, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron, Plattsburg,
Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge, Chillicothe,
Brookfield, Marceline, Macon, La Plata, Parkville, Platte City,
Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, Liberty,
Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson, Carrollton, Salisbury,
Brunswick, Keytesville, Moberly, Kansas City, Independence,
Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Marshall, Fayette,
Glasgow, New Franklin, Belton, Raymore, Harrisonville,
Pleasant Hill, Warrensburg, Sedalia, Boonville, Butler, Adrian,
Rich Hill, Clinton, and Windsor

…EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM
CDT SATURDAY…

The National Weather Service in Kansas City/Pleasant Hill has
issued an Excessive Heat Warning, which is in effect from noon
Wednesday to 8 PM CDT Saturday. The Excessive Heat Watch is no
longer in effect.

* TEMPERATURE…Highs from the mid 90s to near 100 degrees. Low
temperatures will only drop to the middle to upper 70s.

* HEAT INDEX…105 to 110.

* IMPACTS…Prolonged exposure to heat and humidity may lead to
heat-related illness if precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

An Excessive Heat Warning means that a prolonged period of
dangerously hot temperatures will occur. The combination of hot
temperatures and high humidity will combine to create a DANGEROUS
SITUATION in which heat illnesses are likely. Drink plenty of
fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and
check up on relatives and neighbors.

Young children and pets should never be left unattended in
vehicles under any circumstances. This is especially true during
warm or hot weather when car interiors can reach lethal
temperatures in a matter of minutes.

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