Heavy rains bring flooding to Valley

Lacey1

 The town of Vestal is under a state of emergency, with roads closed and many homes still evacuated due to flooding.

Overnight, the Choconut Creek crested its banks, pushing floodwaters up to the streets.

38 homes had to be evacuated, one of those families needed to be rescued.

Emergency responders also had issues out on the roads.  They say crews had to help 13 people who got stuck trying to drive through standing water.  Despite all of this, there were no injuries to report.

The town supervisor says this was the third time the creek has flooded in recent memory, but to date, the DEC has refused to let his team go in and fix the water flow.

“There’s trees across there, we cannot go in and pick them up.  The owner can maybe go in and cut them and let them float down the stream.  But we can get them out of there.  We have the manpower to do it; we have the resources to do it.  We’re not asking for anything, we just want to be able to do it,” said Vestal Town Supervisor John Schaffer.

Overall 50 to 75 people were impacted by the flooding in Vestal.  The Red Cross is helping about a dozen of those displaced.

Volunteers will also be bringing in cleanup kits throughout affected area Monday.

The following roads are closed in Tioga County:

  • RT 17 East & West from Exit 64 to Exit 61

Town of Tioga:

  • Winters Road
  • West Whitcomb Hill
  • Neiger Hollow Rd

Town of Owego:

  • Fox Rd

 

METEOROLOGIST MIKE SCOTT

DoubleDownWeatherServices.

 

 

Here are some advisories and warnings.

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
204 PM EDT MON JUL 24 2017

NYC015-097-107-109-242100-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FA.Y.0100.170724T1804Z-170724T2100Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Schuyler NY-Chemung NY-Tioga NY-Tompkins NY-
204 PM EDT MON JUL 24 2017

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for…
Southeastern Schuyler County in central New York…
Northern Chemung County in central New York…
West central Tioga County in central New York…
Southwestern Tompkins County in central New York…

* Until 500 PM EDT

* At 203 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
the advisory area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include…
Horseheads, Newfield, Danby, Erin, Catharine, Spencer, Odessa,
Cayuta, Van Etten and Millport.


Flash Flood Warning
NYC023-109-242030-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FF.W.0032.170724T1734Z-170724T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
134 PM EDT MON JUL 24 2017

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for…
Southwestern Cortland County in central New York…
Northeastern Tompkins County in central New York…

* Until 430 PM EDT

* At 134 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include…
Ithaca, Cortland, Cayuga Heights, Lansing, Homer, Virgil, Groton,
Dryden, McGraw and Harford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

&&

LAT…LON 4263 7646 4262 7646 4262 7627 4266 7626
4266 7609 4241 7610 4241 7651 4263 7652

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.


Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1030 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-057-062-PAZ040-043-044-047-
048-072-251430-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Pike-Southern Wayne-
1030 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms with brief heavy rainfall are possible this afternoon
and evening. The thunderstorms could also produce locally strong
winds and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.


 

Last Night, I couldn’t too….

Sleep?  Nah,  not sleep.  More like downed trees and a very long outage.  Got hot with Lows about 75 or so.

 

 

So now the power is on and the skies are partly cloudy.  That fair weather may be our undoing.   With high RH and plenty of lift that HAS triggered Thunderstorms.  The ones on the Leeside of course, will experience some weakening.

Even now, some of these showers are increasing with some severe.  Hope for no outages for Garden Variety weather.

Image result for free clipart Severe Thunderstormsweathrimage12.jpg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
655 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2017

Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE…Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Saturday through Thursday.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along and
ahead of a cold front approaching from the north Saturday afternoon
and evening. Isolated storms could become severe, with a primary
threat of damaging winds

As we approach 9 and 10PM,  it appears the line is increasing across the SE USA.

Near North Central,  North Carolina is widely spred.  The more active are the mountain areas in Western,  North Carolina.

Our Temp right now is 82

Meteorologist Mike Scott,                                                                                                             Larry Olson, Meteorologist

World of Outlaws, World Racing Group                                                                                               Charlotte, NC.

The Abandoned "White Hall" at Chanute Air Force base in Rantoul, IL.

The Abandoned “White Hall” at Chanute Air Force base in Rantoul, IL.

FAX

Watch South Florida – Tropcial System?

The art of Forecasting is a sort existential nihilism,  in the minds of stage scientists.   They can’t expound on the tropics,  because many don’t know where the tropics are.   And even if they do,  it is a dog and pony show.

Secretly they pine for the drama.  Standing in the middle of a windy,  flooding town, they declare what some weather computer model might suggest.  With over 70 different nodes of information,  it is like finding needle in a haystack.

The strength and movement of a storm is so important because FEMA needs to be on the alert and Home Depot is readying for the onset of bad weather.

Image result for free hurricane clip artImage result for free hurricane clip artRelated image

Image result for free hurricane clip artImage result for free hurricane clip art

Catastrophic events that will last a lifetime.   The tears of families and the heartbreak of where they can go now.  But let’s forget about stagecraft.  Right now there is circulation over and near Ft Myers and up to Tampa.    The circulation means nothing by itself. And should this system gather steam and move into the Gulf of Mexico,  then that might be  that big story.  Like Clark Kent and Lois Lane,  the first to take notice gets the big lead.

At this time,  there is not much to take note of.  Careful scrutiny and the imagination that is required in forecasting.   Not some Bill Nye the Science Guy, opining on what he thinks can add.   Anyhow,  keep abreast of what comes next…

The land is a very hard environment for storms to begin not alone becoming a Hurricane.   We’ll see…

Image result for stay tuned clip art free

 

 

Here We Go Again. Tropical Weather

      The meat and potatoes of forecasting, during the Spring and Summer.  HEAT!!! Yes, those thunderstorms,  rainshowers and flooding are terrifying!  However an astonishing number of vulnerable people die in situations where family members leave the aged,  kids and pets to die.  Image you that guilt and to know, you did it.   You did it 

Heatstroke Deaths of Children in Vehicles

719 children left in vehicles have died of heatstroke since 1998. 
All of these deaths could have been prevented. 
Updated July 10, 2017

http://noheatstroke.org/

Image result for no heatstroke free graphics heat stroke: Heat Stroke rubber stamp

Celsius thermomether with hot background Stock Photo - 41602636

It ain't the heat, it's the humility. - Yogi Berra

If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen. - Harry S Truman

It is a criminal act.  It is selfish,  short-sighted and sad.   How could you rationalize it?  Tell that to the couple who can’t have kids.  Tell that to the elderly,  whose time is expedited by foolish idiots and their carelessness.  No amount of tears justify it.   Imagine you dying a painful death, the same way, your family or pets.

Pets are like family.  You did it.  Can you live with the heart-break? You can’t take back lives. It is done!

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sSbqm7ZK_9s

 

Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
308 PM CDT Tue Jul 11 2017

Atchison KS-Miami-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Holt-Andrew-
De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-Caldwell-
Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-Jackson-
Lafayette-Saline-Cass-Johnson MO-
Including the cities of Atchison, Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg,
Wathena, Elwood, Troy, Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth,
Lansing, Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe,
Shawnee, Lenexa, Tarkio, Rockport, Fairfax, Maryville,
Grant City, Albany, Stanberry, King City, Bethany, Princeton,
Mercer, Mound City, Oregon, Maitland, Forest City, Craig,
Savannah, Country Club Villa, Maysville, Stewartsville, Osborn,
Union Star, Clarksdale, Gallatin, Jamesport, Trenton, Milan,
Green City, Kirksville, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron,
Plattsburg, Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge,
Chillicothe, Brookfield, Marceline, Macon, La Plata, Parkville,
Platte City, Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone,
Liberty, Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson, Carrollton,
Salisbury, Brunswick, Keytesville, Kansas City, Independence,
Odessa, Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Marshall, Belton,
Raymore, Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, and Warrensburg


…HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY…

* TEMPERATURE…Highs in the middle 90s through Wednesday.

* HEAT INDEX…104 to 107 each afternoon.

* IMPACTS…Prolonged exposure to heat and humidity may lead to
heat-related illness if precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Heat Advisory means that a period of hot temperatures and high
humidity is anticipated, which will combine to create a situation
in which heat illnesses are possible. Wear light weight and loose
fitting clothing, drink plenty of fluids, stay out of the sun,
and check up on relatives and neighbors. If you work or spend
time outside, take extra precautions and reschedule strenuous
activities to early morning or evening when possible.

…HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY…

* TEMPERATURE…Highs in the middle 90s through Wednesday.

* HEAT INDEX…104 to 107 each afternoon.

* IMPACTS…Prolonged exposure to heat and humidity may lead to
heat-related illness if precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Heat Advisory means that a period of hot temperatures and high
humidity is anticipated, which will combine to create a situation
in which heat illnesses are possible. Wear light weight and loose
fitting clothing, drink plenty of fluids, stay out of the sun,
and check up on relatives and neighbors. If you work or spend
time outside, take extra precautions and reschedule strenuous
activities to early morning or evening when possible.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
502 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2017
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest…north central and
west central Missouri…as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE…Today and Tonight

High temperatures will reach into the mid 90s this afternoon with
heat index values between 102 and 107 degrees…a heat advisory is in
effect today through Wednesday at 7pm.

More detailed information can be accessed at…
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Wednesday through Monday

Heat index values between 100 and 107 degrees will remain in the
area Wednesday afternoon before a slight cool down on Thursday.
Clouds and precipitation are expected to return to the area Thursday
through Friday. These storms are not expected to be severe but heavy
rain could cause some localized flooding. The weather will improve
over the weekend with no precipitation expected and temperatures in
the lower 90s.

More detailed information can be accessed at…
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

 

 

Weather. Spring-like today!

http://doubledownweather.weebly.com/

Here is some of the best weather forecasting for the World of Outlaws, just click on the link, Mike Scott is my airname.

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Arctic Oscillation has a profound affect upon our weather  as cold air rushes out of Canada and Alaska,  Mountainous area tend to dry these systems out.

In the negative phases of AO, colder weather can subside into the SE US.  The trouble happens (ice and snow) when a Miller-B climate pattern exists.  Warm overruning, warm air going over the cold air and falls through that airmass,   Mid-latitude storms (Lows and troughs) spin that ‘

The Miller-B Climate Pattern induces cyclogenesis (Low Pressue Area)  Ex:  Cape Hatteras.  Italy has the same set-up,  pushing warm maritime moisture over the colder air.   Alaska’s temperatures are a precursor,  for what we see across the Tennessee Valley and into the southeast USA.

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    Pocatello,  ID.
Wind: N 6 MPHRH: 84%DewPt: 7 °F  More Details (KPIH)     XML View
Event:Winter Weather Advisory
Alert:…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON… * IMPACTS/TIMING…SNOW WILL GRADUALLY END WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT SLICK ROADS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. *

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS…AN ADDITIONAL INCH IS POSSIBLE. * LOCATIONS…MAINLY LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 15. INCLUDING IDAHO FALLS…BLACKFOOT…REXBURG…POCATELLO AND SODA SPRINGS.

Instructions:A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES…AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

Target Area:Caribou Highlands
Lower Snake River Plain
Upper Snake Highlands
Upper Snake River Plain

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URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 925 AM EST WED DEC 30 2015 NYZ007-008-301700- /O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151230T1700Z/

JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…WATERTOWN…LOWVILLE 925 AM EST WED DEC 30 2015 …FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY… * LOCATIONS…JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES…ESPECIALLY NORTHERN PORTIONS. * TIMING…THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS…A GLAZE OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. *

IMPACTS…OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BRING SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. ANY UNTREATED OR ELEVATED SURFACES ARE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO ICING…WHICH CAN MAKE FOR SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS. USE CAUTION AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME IF TRAVELING THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE AFFECTED AREAS…BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD…PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT…BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.

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Floyd Parton was a SMSgt in the Air Force’s ‘Air Weather Service’.   He also served at Hickam AB, HI in the Solar Observations and then retired and worked with the Treasury Department in Kentucky.

It has been around two years since Floyd passed due to complications of ALS (Lou Gehrig’s Disease).  This illness has been known to occur at higher rates amongst the military community.   


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For More detailed weather go to the fourth page in the dropdown menu of the upper right corner of this.
Forecast: 

Cloudy skies with light rains will be experienced over the regions of Ilocos, Cordillera and Cagayan. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will be experienced over metro manila and the rest of Luzon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms will prevail over Visayas and Mindanao.

Moderate to strong winds coming from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the northeast with slight to moderate seas.

Maulap na kalangitan na may mahinang pag-ulan ang mararanasan sa mga rehiyon ng Ilocos, Cordillera at Cagayan. Bahagyang maulap hanggang sa maulap na kalangitan na may pulu-pulong mahinang mga pag-ulan ang mararanasan sa Metro Manila at nalalabing bahagi ng Luzon. Bahagyang maulap hanggang sa maulap na papawirin na may pulu-pulong mga pag-ulan o pagkidlat-pagkulog ang iiral sa Kabisayaan at Mindanao.

Katamtaman hanggang sa malakas na hangin mula sa hilagang-silangan ang iiral sa Hilagang Luzon at ang mga baybaying dagat nito ay magiging katamtaman hanggang sa maalon. Sa ibang dako, ang hangin ay magiging mahina hanggang sa katamtaman mula sa hilagang-silangan na may banayad hanggang sa katamtamang pag-alon ng karagatan.



DECEMBER 2015 

RPMM: 290600 

AREA SYNOPSIS AND 24-HOUR SHIPPING FORECAST

BEGINNING: 291200 

SYNOPSIS:
Issued at: 5:00 PM today, 30 December 2015
Valid Beginning: 5:00 PM today until 5:00 PM tomorrow

Synopsis:

Northeast Monsoon affecting Northern Luzon.

FORECAST:

Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms will be experienced over Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region. Cloudy skies with light rains will prevail over Cagayan Valley and the provinces of Aurora and Quezon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains will be experienced over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms will prevail over the rest of the country.

Moderate to strong winds coming from the northeast will prevail over Northern Luzon and its coastal waters will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate blowing from the northeast with slight to moderate seas.

TERMINAL AREA FORECASTS (TAF)


​TAF RPLL

301100Z  3012/3118  09010KT 9999 FEW025 SCT100 TX31/3106Z TN23/3021Z TEMPO 3012/3018  08005KT FEW023 TEMPO 3018/3023 VRB02KT TEMPO 3101/3107  04011KT FEW025 BKN100=

TAF RPVM

301100Z 3012/3112  07008KT 9999 FEW020  TX31/3106Z TN21/3022Z TEMPO 3012/3018  04005KT FEW020 SCT080=

TAF RPLB
301100Z 3012/3112  07008KT 9999 FEW020  TX31/3106Z TN21/3022Z TEMPO 3012/3018  04005KT FEW020 SCT080=

TAF RPLC
301100Z 3012/3112  05006KT 9999  FEW020  BKN300  TX30/3106Z TN21/3021Z TEMPO 3012/3018  29008KT FEW020 SCT100 BKN300=


TAF RPLI

301100Z 3012/3112  04012KT  9999  FEW019 SCT100  TEMPO  3012/3018  04008KT FEW019 BKN100 TEMPO 3103/3109 04014G24KT=

TAF RPVP
301100Z 3012/3112  09008KT 9999  FEW019  SCT250 TEMPO 3015/3021  29006KT  FEW017CB SCT019 SCT250=

TAF RPVD
301100Z 3012/3112  02010KT 9999  FEW018 SCT220   TEMPO 3012/3018  36004KT FEW015CB SCT017 SCT080=


TAF RPMR

301100Z 3012/3112  04005KT 9999 FEW018  SCT080 TEMPO 3012/3018  02002KT  FEW018 BKN080=



TAF RPMD

301100Z 3012/3112  34006KT 9999  FEW016  SCT290  TEMPO 3012/3018  02007KT FEW016   SCT090=

TAF RPMZ
301100Z  3012/3112  04004KT 9999  FEW018  BKN300 TEMPO 3012/3018  00000KT FEW017CB  SCT018 BKN300=

Northern Luzon

RAINFALL WARNING 
 
NATION CAPITAL REGION


ADVISORYCommunity AWARENESS
FLOODING is POSSIBLE in low-lying areas
and near river channels ALERT
Community PREPAREDNESS
FLOODING is THREATHENING in low-lying areas
and near river channels EMERGENCY
Community RESPONSE
SEVERE FLOODING is EXPECTED
Take necessary precautionaryAL c measures
02x

The Philippines, the World, my friends

Back on the 5th of this Month I warned of something of this nature.    I noticed it was showing a very strong center eye and a devastatingly large wall cloud.    The wall cloud was as big as many Typhoons,  Hurricanes or Cyclones.     Each general region has it’s own particular name for it,  though the Cyclone in America is any area of low pressure.  

  Before I forget I have been a tropical weather forecaster for at least 25 years and a forecaster for a lot longer than that.   I have always had a penchant for feeling the weather and seeing the obvious warning signs.   Any forecaster who uses only data has a very limited sense of tropical weather and forecasting in general.    I have done tropical weather for the Caribbean,  Jamaica,  Monserrat, the Bahamas and the Virgin Islands.   I even done a station called,  WGOD.   And it was Christian because I can not imagine tempting God like that.  I have done weather for about 100 radio stations altogether.

  The country has 7,107 islands so that right there makes the country vulnerable to all sorts of mischief.   Couple that with the weather patterns that include Low Pressure Areas (LPAs),    Intertropical Convergence Zones,  Tropical Storms,  monsoonal patterns and the much despised Typhoons.   The basic issue with Typhoons is there is very little resistance in the atmosphere and the warm tropical waters in the Pacific. 

Their kin,  the Hurricane,  often starts early on off the coast of Africa as a cluster of thunderstorms and moves out to sea.   A general area of Low Pressure  becomes a noticeable wave or kink in the isotropic flow.    We do streamline  analyses of these systems and see if there is anything out there to enhance these disturbances.     Sheering can lop off the head of the beast or even cold waters.   Once out of the restrictive environments,   it can develop quickly as it reaches warmer waters or and cold air above the storm.   Once compacted these storms develop an eye and a wall cloud and of course,  the feeder bands.     Typhoon Yolanda had a very tight eye which suggests a strengthening storm and a humungous wall cloud.   That is the area right around the eye.    As I saw the projected trajectory I was immediately thinking this could be devastating.   Nothing but a freight train of winds and savage rainshowers.   The process that digests the thermal properties of the storm is called adiabatic cooling.   

Think of these as self-sustained entities which become engorged with moisture and a low pressure reading that is off the chart low.   If these systems have a very low pressure area that is also an indication of trouble ahead.  The next critical problem is storm path.   Generally one or two things happen,  either some upper air steering winds moves it or it goes towards lower pressure.   Think of this low pressure as a gutter in a bowling alley.     This was pretty clear with Yolanda,   as it’s forward speed was quite fast.    Of course track deviations are possible but at high speeds inertia keeps the area bound within some pretty broad parameters.  But this is the Meteorology and that alone is not the whole story.    Admittedly,  it is a difficult venture but now the country is suffering from a kind of organizational paralysis. 

  Also, forecasters and disaster preparedness types often don’t shoot for the high end numbers in a little trick of forecasting called persistence.   I am pretty sure that better warning systems could be used and a much better lead time.   That said,  this storm would have blown up places in Miami that have been reinforced since Andrew destroyed much of South Florida.    This storm (Yolanda) was virtually unprecedented.     I guess the question that many Filipino are asking,  is “why is cleanup taking so long?”  The problem is there are family members laying in the street,  bloated from the decay of death.    And I won’t make this just about the kids,  because it is any wonder that many of yesteryears kids are around given the raucous weather patterns in the deep Pacific.    On a personal level,   I am worn out.  

 

I am worried about the morale of the country and how it becomes personal when it is people you love and all those lives wiped out so mercilessly.    At this time,  the people who love that country can only sit back and perhaps donate some money.   It is really too early for care packages because disseminating them would be difficult,  given the roads are blocked and strewn with bodies.  

One who has little to do with the Philippines might keep in mind,  that this people are hale and hearty and sure to rebound in kind,  but like a boxer becomes punch weary.    I feel such sadness which complicates my severe depression anxiety,   but I will not stand idly by and do nothing.     The Philippine people and America are inextricably linked.   Though the country is independent and growing,   they also have a large love of this country.   They died in league with us and they were tortured and abused on a scale so horrific,  then mere words cannot cover the costs.   Suffice it to say,   that the American GI most of the time thinks kindly of their times at Angeles and Clark AB.    I guess all I can do is send my heart out to you.   My friend who now lives in the USA but was from Cebu,   tells me of her sadness and I have had the luxury of meeting and participating with the Pinoy people for a very long time and it has been my honor and privilege.

Surrender

Bataan USA Honors

Dead-soldiers-on-the-Bataan-Death-March

The above pics are graphic but tell the tale of a horrific and misused people and yet,  Americans marched along side the fateful Americans who died similarly with them.   This is why this should matter to Americans because they died for us and we died for them.   Our peoples suffered concentration camps and where Japanese soldiers beheaded children in front of the mothers and then raped them.

Filipino

The country boasts some famous people like Manny Pacquiao,   the coach of the Miami Heat,   Jessica Sanchez and a cadre of war heroes both past and present.    Lou Diamond Philips and Tim Tebow was born there,  and Phoebe Cates has some Filipino blood also.

The Tebows are loved for what they do for the people there and a people who benefit from the love and understanding that we can use from time to time.   No man or woman is an island but in the Pacific there are 7,107 islands with a lot of pain and sadness.