Another Atlantic Disturbance

1799images (3)

The depression that is near the coast of Africa is a disturbance (13 degrees North Latitude, 32 degrees West  Longitude) is little  more than a few Thunderstorms. Now let’s say for the sake of argument that this (Tropical Wave) flowers unto a larger, more organized system.  Over the next two days, we are seeing a 20% chance of becoming  more organized.

IMHO, this disturbance will  go the way of the last storm.  A few thunderstorms to the south and winds moving to the West at 10-20mph.  This system has the earmarks of the last one.  A fluff of clouds,  a cup of coffee and another system that is absorbed and forgotten.

Tropical Storm Hilary is off the Western side of Mexico.  I wonder if there is a recount looming.   Tropical Storms Irving and Hilary are feeding upon each other.  These storms will coalesce into a bigger ripple, a few thunderstorms and some wind.

two_pac_2d0

COHIOco101

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
351 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

OHZ003-007-009>012-089-PAZ001-300800-
Lucas-Ottawa-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Northern Erie-
351 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$


 

Beach Hazards Statement

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017


OHZ003-007-009>012-089-PAZ001-300345-
/O.EXT.KCLE.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-170730T0800Z/
LUCAS-OTTAWA-ERIE-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-
NORTHERN ERIE-
332 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...LAKESHORE FROM LUCAS COUNTY EAST TO ERIE COUNTY
  PENNSYLVANIA.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH SWIMMING RISK FROM WAVES AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN SWIMMING RISKS EXIST
FROM A COMBINATION OF WIND AND LARGE WAVES INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS
AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS. THESE SWIMMING RISKS CAN CREATE LIFE-
THREATENING CONDITIONS EVEN FOR GOOD SWIMMERS. FOLLOW THE
INSTRUCTION OF LOCAL AUTHORITIES OR STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

gf mt

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
246 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

MTZ112>114-301300-
/O.UPG.KTFX.FW.A.0008.170730T1700Z-170731T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KTFX.FW.W.0009.170730T1700Z-170731T0400Z/
Eastern Glacier/Toole/Central/Eastern Pondera/Liberty-
Hill and Blaine Counties-
Lewis and Clark National Forest Rocky Mountain District-
Rocky Mountain Front-
246 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Great Falls has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 11 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday. the
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* IMPACTS: Low Humidities...Hot Temperatures...and Strong Gusty
  Winds will create erratic fire behavior and an increased risk
  of new fire starts.

* AFFECTED AREA:
  In North Central Montana, Fire Weather Zones 112, 113 and 114.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED:
 In Central Montana, Lewis and Clark.

 In North Central Montana, Blaine, Chouteau, Glacier, Hill
                            Liberty, Phillips, Pondera, Teton,
                            Toole.

* WIND: West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* HUMIDITY: As low as 12 percent.

* TEMPERATURES: In the mid 90s to around 100 across the lower
  elevations with low to mid 80s across the higher terrain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are
either occurring now, or will shortly.  A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in these
areas of this Red Flag Warning.

gfmt1

houston

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
348 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

TXZ195>197-210>214-226-227-235>238-302100-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Harris-Jackson-Matagorda-Waller-Washington-Wharton-
348 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas..

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

High temperatures between 100 to 103 degrees inland and the mid
90s at the coast can be expected through early evening. Heat
index values should peak between 107 and 112 degrees later today.
Take the necessary precautions to keep people and pets safe from
the heat.

A few thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon and
overnight. Some may be capable of gusty winds or locally heavy
rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$


 

Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1013 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...Heat Advisory Remains in Effect...

.The combination of hot temperatures and high humidity will
create a situation in which heat illnesses are possible if
precautions are not taken.

TXZ195>197-210>214-226-227-235>238-300000-
/O.CON.KHGX.HT.Y.0002.170729T1800Z-170730T0000Z/
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston-Harris-Jackson-Matagorda-Waller-Washington-Wharton-
Including the cities of Alvin, Anahuac, Angleton, Bay City,
Bellville, Brenham, Brookshire, Bryan, Caldwell, College Station,
Columbus, Eagle Lake, Edna, El Campo, Freeport, Friendswood,
Galveston, Hempstead, Houston, Humble, Katy, Lake Jackson,
Lake Somerville, League City, Missouri City, Mont Belvieu,
Palacios, Pasadena, Pearland, Pierce, Prairie View, Richmond,
Rosenberg, Sealy, Sugar Land, Texas City, Tomball, Weimar,
Wharton, and Winnie
1013 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* EVENT...High temperatures near 103 degrees in the Brazos
  Valley. Heat index values 107 to 110 degrees across the all of
  the advisory area.

* TIMING...This afternoon into early evening.

* IMPACT...Prolonged exposure to the heat and/or exertion
  outdoors without proper hydration and other precautionary
  actions may result in heat exhaustion or heat stroke.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible...reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when
possible and drink plenty of water.

To reduce risk during outdoor work...the occupational safety and
health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency - call 911.

Each year...a number of fatalities occur nationwide due to
children accidentally being left in vehicles during the summer
months. In the past dozen years...500 children have died due to
hyperthermia after being left in or gaining access to cars. Never
leave children or pets unattended in a vehicle not even for a
minute. Remember...beat the heat...check the backseat.

cospafa

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1218 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-301830-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1218 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across
the mountains this afternoon then spread eastward across the
southeast plains late this afternoon through this evening. A few
storms across the southeast plains could become severe producing
hail around 1 inch in diameter or larger, and wind gust over 60 mph.
Thunderstorms will congeal into a large cluster across the
southeast plains this evening which will move slowly eastward into
KS during the overnight hours. The primary thunderstorm risk across
much of southern CO through tonight will be heavy rainfall and flash
flooding, particularly where ground conditions are already saturated
by recent heavy rains. Burn scars will also be susceptible to
flash flooding through this evening, and heavy rainfall in steep
terrain could cause rock slides and rapid flooding of streams and
creeks.

Cloud to ground lightning will also be a risk with thunderstorms
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered to numerous afternoon into evening showers and
thunderstorms are anticipated into Monday. The primary
thunderstorm threats during this time-frame will be heavy rainfall
capable of producing localized flash flooding, hazardous
lightning, hail generally under the size of dimes and wind gusts
around 50 mph at times.

Then, generally isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorms,
favoring higher terrain locations, should be noted from Tuesday
into Friday. The more intense storms during this time frame will
be capable of producing heavy rain and localized flash flooding,
hazardous lightning, small hail and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely this afternoon through tonight across much of south
central and southeast Colorado.

$$

13/13


 

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1149 AM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...Monsoon moisture will bring threat for Flash Flooding for
portions of Southern Colorado through tonight...

.Monsoon moisture and lift overtop of a cold front will result in
another round of widespread showers and thunderstorms across
southern Colorado this afternoon and evening. The ground in this
region is already saturated from recent heavy rains, and any
additional heavy rain could result in flash flooding. Burn scars
in the mountains will also be vulnerable to flash flooding.

COZ058>063-072>089-093>099-300200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0007.170729T1800Z-170730T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike`s Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
Including the cities of Climax, Leadville, Bonanza, Alpine,
Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass,
Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale,
Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff,
Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose,
Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg,
Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson,
Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield,
and Walsh
1149 AM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and
  southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central
  Colorado, Eastern Sawatch Range, Fremont County, Mosquito
  Range, Teller County and the Rampart Range, and Upper Arkansas
  River Valley. In east central Colorado, El Paso County. In
  southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County,
  Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano
  County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County,
  Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo
  Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County,
  Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains.

* Through late tonight

* Monsoon moisture and an upper level disturbance will result in
  another round of afternoon and evening thunderstorms capable of
  producing heavy rain across and near the mountains.
  Thunderstorms will spread eastward and persist into the
  overnight hours across the southeast plains, particularly to the
  north of highway 50.

* Mud and ash flows will be possible in and near burn scars
  should heavy rainfall impact these areas. Quick runoff from
  heavy rains which may occur across urban areas or areas with
  saturated soil conditions may quickly result in flooded
  roadways, creeks and drainages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.                                 
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