The Philippines, the World, my friends

Back on the 5th of this Month I warned of something of this nature.    I noticed it was showing a very strong center eye and a devastatingly large wall cloud.    The wall cloud was as big as many Typhoons,  Hurricanes or Cyclones.     Each general region has it’s own particular name for it,  though the Cyclone in America is any area of low pressure.  

  Before I forget I have been a tropical weather forecaster for at least 25 years and a forecaster for a lot longer than that.   I have always had a penchant for feeling the weather and seeing the obvious warning signs.   Any forecaster who uses only data has a very limited sense of tropical weather and forecasting in general.    I have done tropical weather for the Caribbean,  Jamaica,  Monserrat, the Bahamas and the Virgin Islands.   I even done a station called,  WGOD.   And it was Christian because I can not imagine tempting God like that.  I have done weather for about 100 radio stations altogether.

  The country has 7,107 islands so that right there makes the country vulnerable to all sorts of mischief.   Couple that with the weather patterns that include Low Pressure Areas (LPAs),    Intertropical Convergence Zones,  Tropical Storms,  monsoonal patterns and the much despised Typhoons.   The basic issue with Typhoons is there is very little resistance in the atmosphere and the warm tropical waters in the Pacific. 

Their kin,  the Hurricane,  often starts early on off the coast of Africa as a cluster of thunderstorms and moves out to sea.   A general area of Low Pressure  becomes a noticeable wave or kink in the isotropic flow.    We do streamline  analyses of these systems and see if there is anything out there to enhance these disturbances.     Sheering can lop off the head of the beast or even cold waters.   Once out of the restrictive environments,   it can develop quickly as it reaches warmer waters or and cold air above the storm.   Once compacted these storms develop an eye and a wall cloud and of course,  the feeder bands.     Typhoon Yolanda had a very tight eye which suggests a strengthening storm and a humungous wall cloud.   That is the area right around the eye.    As I saw the projected trajectory I was immediately thinking this could be devastating.   Nothing but a freight train of winds and savage rainshowers.   The process that digests the thermal properties of the storm is called adiabatic cooling.   

Think of these as self-sustained entities which become engorged with moisture and a low pressure reading that is off the chart low.   If these systems have a very low pressure area that is also an indication of trouble ahead.  The next critical problem is storm path.   Generally one or two things happen,  either some upper air steering winds moves it or it goes towards lower pressure.   Think of this low pressure as a gutter in a bowling alley.     This was pretty clear with Yolanda,   as it’s forward speed was quite fast.    Of course track deviations are possible but at high speeds inertia keeps the area bound within some pretty broad parameters.  But this is the Meteorology and that alone is not the whole story.    Admittedly,  it is a difficult venture but now the country is suffering from a kind of organizational paralysis. 

  Also, forecasters and disaster preparedness types often don’t shoot for the high end numbers in a little trick of forecasting called persistence.   I am pretty sure that better warning systems could be used and a much better lead time.   That said,  this storm would have blown up places in Miami that have been reinforced since Andrew destroyed much of South Florida.    This storm (Yolanda) was virtually unprecedented.     I guess the question that many Filipino are asking,  is “why is cleanup taking so long?”  The problem is there are family members laying in the street,  bloated from the decay of death.    And I won’t make this just about the kids,  because it is any wonder that many of yesteryears kids are around given the raucous weather patterns in the deep Pacific.    On a personal level,   I am worn out.  


I am worried about the morale of the country and how it becomes personal when it is people you love and all those lives wiped out so mercilessly.    At this time,  the people who love that country can only sit back and perhaps donate some money.   It is really too early for care packages because disseminating them would be difficult,  given the roads are blocked and strewn with bodies.  

One who has little to do with the Philippines might keep in mind,  that this people are hale and hearty and sure to rebound in kind,  but like a boxer becomes punch weary.    I feel such sadness which complicates my severe depression anxiety,   but I will not stand idly by and do nothing.     The Philippine people and America are inextricably linked.   Though the country is independent and growing,   they also have a large love of this country.   They died in league with us and they were tortured and abused on a scale so horrific,  then mere words cannot cover the costs.   Suffice it to say,   that the American GI most of the time thinks kindly of their times at Angeles and Clark AB.    I guess all I can do is send my heart out to you.   My friend who now lives in the USA but was from Cebu,   tells me of her sadness and I have had the luxury of meeting and participating with the Pinoy people for a very long time and it has been my honor and privilege.


Bataan USA Honors


The above pics are graphic but tell the tale of a horrific and misused people and yet,  Americans marched along side the fateful Americans who died similarly with them.   This is why this should matter to Americans because they died for us and we died for them.   Our peoples suffered concentration camps and where Japanese soldiers beheaded children in front of the mothers and then raped them.


The country boasts some famous people like Manny Pacquiao,   the coach of the Miami Heat,   Jessica Sanchez and a cadre of war heroes both past and present.    Lou Diamond Philips and Tim Tebow was born there,  and Phoebe Cates has some Filipino blood also.

The Tebows are loved for what they do for the people there and a people who benefit from the love and understanding that we can use from time to time.   No man or woman is an island but in the Pacific there are 7,107 islands with a lot of pain and sadness.




I want to thank Will of Heart and to realize that there are others here who are frustrated, angry and confused. It is natural and as long as there is hope, I guess everything will be ok.



Photo credited to Mans Unides Flicker (under creative commons)

      I posted this content to Bubblews but I decided to share my point of view regarding the typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) hit my country just recently to my friends and fellow bloggers here in WordPress.

It took me quite some time before I was able to type my first word for this content, it is not because I am losing words but I wanna make sure I can stress my point with regards to this matter.

A few days ago, Typhoon Yolanda hit us, thousands of Filipinos died and injured. Many are now starving and stole foods from stores, supermarkets, and malls. Lots are asking for help and most felt depression due to the death of their loved ones and loss of homes.

Before the typhoon, we heard all the local TV networks and radio announcements and forecast all…

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NFL (No Fun League) – Penalties, safety and The Demise of Defense.

The Commissioner and his minions are destroying the game.  In a vain attempt to stanch the number of injuries,   their efforts are backfiring while players go down with serious injuries.   And the injuries are increasing at an exponential rate.  It seems that the new rules are not only getting our players severely injured but the scores look like Arena Football.

I can see it now.   Well son,  you only passed for 300 yards 10 times this year.  You must be losing your edge.   And 60 TD passes is a far cry from 115.   Eventually scores will mimic an old NBA game with teams averaging over 100 points in an off season.

Running backs will be converted into additional receivers.  Tony Romo will pass for 1,700 yards in a loss in the Super Bowl losing to Redux Rams  136-127.   I have often wondered if we should have toll booths and pit stops.     It appears as Drew Brees is coming in for a Happy Meal and a new set of alligator shoes. (but only on the right side).

Hey and I wouldn’t want to get that tab for the meal above!!!

We can have those chicks who smile and smile after the game,  just like at Daytona and other tracks.    You know those fake azz adoration and one day long after her days of smiling are over she can watch it all again on TIVO and tell her kid that maybe she too can grow up into a meaningful and integral part of racing.   By that time Danica Patrick will be selling insurance for AARP and Brett Favre reunretires for the 40th time.   Afterall,   all the defensive players went on to play badminton so anyone can play.  Maybe even Bob Costas.

Speaking of that pompous little twerp,  I wonder if he will still be on the hot issues of the day. Maybe we will be in an ice age,   and he comment on how he really knew it was getting colder.    Afterall,  Jim Scone wants to have Costas inducted in the NFL hall of fame.

So back to football,  see what happen when I don’t overdose on Ritalin?  Aaron Rodgers down down check didn’t go so well but at least the NFL is serious about concussions.    Maybe they should use those robots they had during a commercial break play defense.  Now that would be exciting,   kind of like RoboCop dressed as a Cylon.   Football players who are left,  won’t be for long as those bots play for keeps.

Which Cylon do you prefer?   Can I have a hottub??????

So what is all this noise?  Why are we so worried about someone using the N-Bomb and who is hazing whom?  Or maybe we can focus on A-Rod or how many mickeys Ben Folds Five Rothlisberger has downed and will he run a redlight so an overzealous Cop can render his take like the people living in trailers who are describing how the tornado moved.   Perhaps a better question would be why were you standing outside in the first place?  Or why is that car still on blocks in front of the church?

But I guess NFL officials have their priorities straight,  because flagging players for excessive celebrations really annoys us fans and how do I know that?  Bob Costas and football insiders say so.   These days it is better to look good than to feel that way unless you are on the practice squad.

Well anyway I am boring myself and I still want to see if Erin Andrews wants to arm wrestle?

Peace or something….