Tropical Weather Outlook
The Hurricane Season is quickly winding down with only a minor disturbance in the Atlantic and this is moving away. Additionally it is not expected to intensify as generally it’s location is not conducive to formation.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... http://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER STEWART
Thursday expect showers and possible Thunderstorms across North Carolina
by midday to this evening with the strongest chances expected for Friday
This forecast position above is valid til tomorrow morning
Friday 18th, 2013 High Pressure over North Carolina is
weakening as it moves it.
The above chart is valid until Saturday 19th, 2013 at 0700L
This system is clearly out by the overnight period into
This is valid above until Sunday 20th, 2013 0700L Eastern
A vigorous Low over the Northwestern Gulf will elongate
and spread into Georgia and South Carolina as the sytem moves
East and Northeast
This is a 48HR forecast and shows a potential rain area
extending back to the Central NC as the system continues to work
East and Northeast.
This is the 7 day forecast valid until Thursday 22nd, 2013
at 0700L. Indicating there the weather will be unsettled
through around Thursday-Friday.
The Weather Pattern is very complex with a series of lows
spreading across the Ohio Valley and Upper Great Lakes.
By looking at the Satellite Imagery the rain fall rates are not